AZ Alkmaar vs Groningen: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer Dutch Eredivisie AZ Alkmaar - Groningen
Result
3:0
11/05/2025 at 10:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Eredivisie - Round 32
AZ Alkmaar - Groningen - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
3.260.65
Ball Possession
50%50%
Total shots
1910
Shots on target
124
Big Chances
90
Corner Kicks
114
Passes
85% (370/433)85% (381/447)
Yellow Cards
12
Expected Goals (xG)
3.260.65
xG on target (xGOT)
3.210.36
Total shots
1910
Shots on target
124
Shots off target
63
Blocked Shots
13
Shots inside the Box
148
Shots outside the Box
52
Hit the Woodwork
20
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
90
Corner Kicks
114
Touches in opposition box
3016
Accurate through passes
11
Offsides
01
Free Kicks
119
Passes
85% (370/433)85% (381/447)
Long passes
58% (21/36)54% (21/39)
Passes in final third
72% (80/111)71% (64/90)
Crosses
39% (7/18)50% (5/10)
Expected assists (xA)
1.350.81
Throw-ins
912
Fouls
911
Tackles
36% (5/14)31% (4/13)
Duels won
4746
Clearances
1224
Interceptions
74
Errors leading to shot
02
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
49
xGOT faced
0.363.21
Goals prevented
0.360.10

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 0)
  • 9', 1 - 0, Mijnans S. , Kasius D. (A),
  • 30', 2 - 0, Poku E. ,
  • 39', Ekdal H. 🟨,
  • 45+2', van Bommel R. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Peersman M. , Prins W. ,
  • 48', 3 - 0, Meerdink M. , Koopmeiners P. (A),
  • 68', Mijnans S. , Buurmeester Z. ,
  • 68', van Bommel R. , Addai J. ,
  • 68', Meerdink M. , Sadiq I. ,
  • 71', van Bergen T. , Willumsson B. ,
  • 71', Valente L. , Postema R. ,
  • 71', Ekdal H. , Stam F. ,
  • 81', Prins W. 🟨,
  • 84', Poku E. , Lahdo M. ,
  • 84', Addai J. , de Wit M. ,
  • 87', Resink S. , de Jonge T. ,

Chances of winning


AZ Alkmaar
55.3%
Draw
24.9%
Groningen
19.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
65.4% 20.6% 14%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66.6% 20.2% 13.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • AZ Alkmaar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that AZ Alkmaar's form might have worsened.
  • Groningen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Groningen's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for AZ Alkmaar than the current prediction. (+11.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for AZ Alkmaar, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Groningen than the current prediction. (-6.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Groningen, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • AZ Alkmaar - Groningen Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.72
    (1.44)
    3.82
    (4.57)
    4.8
    (6.75)
    5.3%
    (6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for AZ Alkmaar - Groningen?
  • Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. AZ will win (votes: 10 - 100%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for AZ: 100%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. AZ (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Conference League ~ Play Offs: ) and 10).
    • AZ is Qualified for Eredivisie (Conference League ~ Play Offs )
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, AZ won 4.
    • AZ is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Groningen has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Groningen may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, AZ is a strong favorite.
    • There will not play in AZ: Belic K. (Ribs Injury) Clasie J. (Calf Injury) Goes W. (Red Card) Parrott T. (Groin Injury) Zoet J. (Finger Injury)
    • There will not play in Groningen: Mariani M. (Knock) Turay F. (Achilles Tendon Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, AZ won 11 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 34:19. (average 1.7:1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, AZ won 7 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 18:7. (average 1.8:0.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between AZ Alkmaar - Groningen were as follows:
    18.12.2024 AZ Alkmaar - Groningen 3:1
    25.08.2024 Groningen - AZ Alkmaar 0:0
    11.03.2023 AZ Alkmaar - Groningen 1:0
    01.10.2022 Groningen - AZ Alkmaar 1:4
    Latest results of AZ Alkmaar
    Latest results of Groningen
    03.05.2025 Groningen - Waalwijk 6:1
    13.04.2025 Utrecht - Groningen 3:1
    05.04.2025 Groningen - PSV Eindhoven 1:3
    02.04.2025 Feyenoord - Groningen 4:1
    Dutch Eredivisie Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Sittard00000:000
    2Telstar00000:000
    3FC Volendam00000:000
    4Zwolle00000:000
    5PSV00000:000
    6Ajax00000:000
    7NAC Breda00000:000
    8Twente00000:000
    9Heerenveen00000:000
    10Feyenoord00000:000
    11Nijmegen00000:000
    12Utrecht00000:000
    13AZ Alkmaar00000:000
    14Sparta Rotterdam00000:000
    15Heracles00000:000
    16Excelsior00000:000
    17G.A. Eagles00000:000
    18Groningen00000:000

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Conference League ~ Play Offs: )
          Eredivisie (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ Eerste Divisie

    Which TV channels are streaming of AZ Alkmaar - Groningen?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
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