Result
2:2
26/01/2026 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Eerste Divisie - Round 22
- Referee: Sturm R. (Ned)
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.97 | 2.09 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 43% | 57% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 25 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 10 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (337/422) | 87% (465/536) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.97 | 2.09 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.18 | 1.90 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 25 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 10 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 3 | 9 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 6 | 14 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 2 | 11 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 8 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 13 | 36 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (337/422) | 87% (465/536) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 52% (32/62) | 60% (29/48) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 73% (58/79) | 75% (107/143) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 29% (2/7) | 23% (7/30) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.45 | 0.74 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 13 | 18 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 6 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 50% (7/14) | 67% (6/9) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 40 | 43 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 44 | 13 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 13 | 12 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 7 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.90 | 2.18 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.10 | 0.18 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 6', 1 - 0, van der Leij T. ⚽, Uneken J. (A),
- 20', 2 - 0, van der Leij T. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 2)
- 46', El Arguioui R. ↓, van Ommeren J. ↑,
- 60', Sneijder J. ↓, Dundas N. ↑,
- 63', Al Mazyani F. 🟨,
- 69', Roemeratoe G. ↓, Witteveen M. ↑,
- 69', Kuster H. ↓, Held N. ↑,
- 78', Uneken J. ↓, van der Veen Y. ↑,
- 78', Plantinga V. ↓, van Riel J. ↑,
- 78', Agougil O. ↓, Menzo B. ↑,
- 78', Familia-Castillo J. ↓, van der Venne R. ↑,
- 85', den Boggende T. ↓, Arcos G. ↑,
- 88', van der Leij T. ↓, van Beekveld Q. ↑,
- 90', 2 - 1, Kooy W. ⚽,
- 90+2', Spenkelink M. 🟨,
- 90+4', 2 - 2, Ghaddari M. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Waalwijk
55.9% | Draw
22% | Jong Utrecht
22.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Waalwijk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Waalwijk's form might have worsened.Jong Utrecht has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Waalwijk than the current prediction. (+5.8%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Waalwijk, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jong Utrecht than the current prediction. (-3.6%)
Waalwijk - Jong Utrecht Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.67 ↑
(1.52) |
4.2 ↓
(4.66) |
4.21 ↓
(5.01) |
7.5%
(7.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
What is the prediction for Waalwijk - Jong Utrecht?
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Waalwijk will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%). Jong Utrecht will win (votes: 2 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Waalwijk: 29% – 96%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .
- O/U 3 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Waalwijk will win (3 of 4 users predict this - 75%) 🥉 Bronze Tip. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- Postponed due to bad weather.
- Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 10 and 13).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Waalwijk won 2.
- The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
- Recently, Waalwijk has had a series of away games.
- In this match, Waalwijk is a strong favorite.
- There will not play in Waalwijk: van Gelderen L.
(Knock)
van de Loo T.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Jong Utrecht: Iqbal Z.
(Inactive)
- In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Waalwijk won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 16:19. (average 2:2.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Waalwijk won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 9:10. (average 2.3:2.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Waalwijk won against Jong Utrecht?
Waalwijk has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Jong Utrecht won against Waalwijk?
Jong Utrecht has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Waalwijk - Jong Utrecht were as follows:
12.09.2025
Jong Utrecht
-
Waalwijk
2:0
Latest results of Waalwijk
Latest results of Jong Utrecht
Dutch Eerste Divisie Table
Main | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Den Haag | 29 | 22 | 2 | 5 | 70:30 | 40 | 68 |
| 2 | Cambuur | 28 | 19 | 6 | 3 | 60:32 | 28 | 63 |
| 3 | De Graafschap | 29 | 14 | 7 | 8 | 55:44 | 11 | 49 |
| 4 | Jong PSV | 29 | 14 | 5 | 10 | 59:53 | 6 | 47 |
| 5 | Roda | 29 | 12 | 10 | 7 | 49:43 | 6 | 46 |
| 6 | Willem II | 29 | 13 | 7 | 9 | 41:36 | 5 | 46 |
| 7 | Almere City | 29 | 13 | 3 | 13 | 60:50 | 10 | 42 |
| 8 | Waalwijk | 29 | 11 | 8 | 10 | 47:44 | 3 | 41 |
| 9 | Dordrecht | 29 | 11 | 8 | 10 | 39:38 | 1 | 41 |
| 10 | Den Bosch | 29 | 11 | 6 | 12 | 51:53 | -2 | 39 |
| 11 | Venlo | 29 | 11 | 4 | 14 | 38:43 | -5 | 37 |
| 12 | Eindhoven FC | 29 | 10 | 4 | 15 | 41:53 | -12 | 34 |
| 13 | FC Emmen | 28 | 9 | 6 | 13 | 43:51 | -8 | 33 |
| 14 | Jong Utrecht | 29 | 8 | 9 | 12 | 47:52 | -5 | 33 |
| 15 | Helmond | 29 | 9 | 5 | 15 | 36:53 | -17 | 32 |
| 16 | Maastricht | 29 | 8 | 7 | 14 | 35:58 | -23 | 31 |
| 17 | Jong AZ | 29 | 9 | 3 | 17 | 49:57 | -8 | 30 |
| 18 | Vitesse | 29 | 10 | 9 | 10 | 43:45 | -2 | 27 |
| 19 | Oss | 29 | 6 | 9 | 14 | 35:50 | -15 | 27 |
| 20 | Jong Ajax | 29 | 6 | 8 | 15 | 40:53 | -13 | 26 |
Promotion ~ Eredivisie
Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Promotion: )
