Gauthier Onclin vs Ilia Simakin – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Tennis Guangzhou 2 Challenger Men Gauthier Onclin - Ilia Simakin
Result
2:0
09/09/2025 at 03:10 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Guangzhou 2, hard - 1/16-finals

Match Stats

Aces
59
Double Faults
15
1st Serve Percentage
62%58%
1st Serve Points Won
78% (31/40)68% (28/41)
2nd Serve Points Won
52% (13/25)37% (11/30)
Break Points Saved
100% (6/6)73% (8/11)
1st Return Points Won
32% (13/41)23% (9/40)
2nd Return Points Won
63% (19/30)48% (12/25)
Break Points Converted
27% (3/11)0% (0/6)
Service Points Won
68% (44/65)55% (38/69)
Return Points Won
45% (31/69)32% (21/65)
Total Points Won
56% (75/134)44% (59/134)
Last 10 Balls
73
Match Points Saved
01
Service Games Won
100% (9/9)67% (6/9)
Return Games Won
33% (3/9)0% (0/9)
Total Games Won
67% (12/18)33% (6/18)

Chances of winning


Gauthier Onclin
44.9%
Ilia Simakin
55.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
49.8% 50.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.1% 51.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Gauthier Onclin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)
  • Ilia Simakin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gauthier Onclin than the current prediction. (+3.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ilia Simakin than the current prediction. (-3.2%)
  • Gauthier Onclin - Ilia Simakin Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.08
    (1.85)

    1.7
    (1.83)
    7.1%
    (8.8%)
    Preview Facts
    • Onclin is ranked ATP: 213. Simakin is ranked ATP: 236.
    • Onclin is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • In recent matches, Simakin has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Simakin may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Simakin could have a small edge in this match.
    • In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.
    Latest results of Gauthier Onclin
    Latest results of Ilia Simakin
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1O'Connell C. (1)Te R. (WC)2 : 0
    2Samrej K. (Q)Eubanks C.0 : 2
    3Castelnuovo L. (Q)Jasika O.2 : 0
    4Sharipov M.Daniel T. (9)2 : 1
    5Basavareddy N. (3)Ramanathan R. (Q)2 : 0
    6Zhu E. (LL)Zeppieri G.0 : 2
    7Kikuchi Y. (Q)Hsu Y. H.1 : 2
    8Kotov P.Tabilo A. (6)0 : 2
    9Harris B. (8)Yevseyev D. (RET.)1 : 0
    10Gea A.Binda A. (Q)2 : 0
    11Onclin G.Simakin I.2 : 0
    12McCabe J.Basilashvili N. (4)2 : 0
    13Evans D. (7)Chen C. (WC)2 : 0
    14Crawford O.Xiao L. (WC)2 : 0
    15Bar Biryukov P. (Alt)Zhang T. (Q)2 : 0
    16Shimizu Y.Cerundolo J. M. (2)0 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1O'Connell C. (1)Eubanks C.2 : 1
    2Castelnuovo L.Sharipov M.1 : 2
    3Basavareddy N. (3)Zeppieri G. (RET.)1 : 0
    4Hsu Y. H.Tabilo A. (6)0 : 2
    5Harris B. (8)Gea A.2 : 0
    6Onclin G.McCabe J. (RET.)1 : 0
    7Evans D. (7)Crawford O.2 : 1
    8Bar Biryukov P. (RET.)Cerundolo J. M. (2)0 : 1

    Quarter-finals
    1O'Connell C. (1)Sharipov M.2 : 0
    2Basavareddy N. (3)Tabilo A. (6)1 : 2
    3Harris B. (8)Onclin G.2 : 0
    4Evans D. (RET.) (7)Cerundolo J. M. (2)1 : 0

    Semi-finals
    1O'Connell C. (RET.) (1)Tabilo A. (6)0 : 0
    2Harris B. (8)Cerundolo J. M. (2)1 : 2

    Final
    1Tabilo A. (6)Cerundolo J. M. (2)0 : 2