Result
1:1
13/09/2025 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Challenge League - Round 7
- Referee: Prskalo Z. (Sui)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Switzerland | Blue Sport 4, Blue Sport 4 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.06 | 1.92 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 44% | 56% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 0 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (353/424) | 87% (450/515) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.06 | 1.92 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.97 | 1.27 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 10 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 0 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 9 | 24 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (353/424) | 87% (450/515) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 37% (14/38) | 67% (33/49) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 60% (52/87) | 75% (80/106) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 22% (2/9) | 22% (6/27) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.44 | 2.16 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 24 | 22 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 9 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 61% (11/18) | 75% (12/16) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 45 | 45 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 35 | 15 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 10 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.27 | 0.97 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.27 | -0.03 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 24', 0 - 1, So S. ⚽, De Carvalho F. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Shabani M. ↓, Rey A. ↑,
- 50', 1 - 1, Sadiku A. ⚽, Vogt W. (A),
- 62', Goncalves M. 🟨,
- 73', Jaiteh M. ↓, Philipona N. ↑,
- 77', Emini L. 🟨,
- 78', De Carvalho F. ↓, Schmidt J. ↑,
- 78', Saliji R. ↓, Ndema L. ↑,
- 78', Kamberi F. ↓, Bakayoko A. ↑,
- 85', Lymann F. ↓, Jashari E. ↑,
- 90+4', Rey A. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Bellinzona
29.2% | Draw
27.8% | Rapperswil-Jona
43% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Bellinzona has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.6%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Bellinzona's form might have worsened.Rapperswil-Jona has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.8%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Rapperswil-Jona's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bellinzona than the current prediction. (+12.1%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Bellinzona, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rapperswil-Jona than the current prediction. (-11%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Rapperswil-Jona, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Bellinzona - Rapperswil-Jona Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.34 ↑
(2.33) |
3.51 ↑
(3.43) |
2.27 ↓
(2.79) |
2.5%
(8%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
Preview Facts
- An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 10 in the zone Relegation ~ Promotion League and 7).
- Both teams are currently in poor form.
- Recently, Bellinzona has had a series of away games.
- In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
- There will not play in Bellinzona: Amelibia J.
(Inactive)
Dermaku D.
(Injury)
Mihajlovic D.
(Injury)
Osigwe S.
(Inactive)
Tutonda D.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Rapperswil: Ajeti Ad.
(Inactive)
Marchand Y.
(Inactive)
Ribeiro A.
(Injury)
- In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Bellinzona won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:4. (average 1:1.3).
- Including home match between the teams, Bellinzona won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.
How many head-to-head matches has Bellinzona won against Rapperswil-Jona?
Bellinzona has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Rapperswil-Jona won against Bellinzona?
Rapperswil-Jona has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Bellinzona - Rapperswil-Jona were as follows:
Latest results of Bellinzona
Latest results of Rapperswil-Jona
Swiss Challenge League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Aarau | 7 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 16:5 | 11 | 21 |
| 2 | Vaduz | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 15:5 | 10 | 14 |
| 3 | Yverdon | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 15:7 | 8 | 13 |
| 4 | Xamax | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 13:10 | 3 | 11 |
| 5 | Lausanne Ouchy | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 11:11 | 0 | 11 |
| 6 | Stade Nyonnais | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 11:13 | -2 | 8 |
| 7 | Rapperswil-Jona | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 6:9 | -3 | 7 |
| 8 | Etoile-Carouge | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 5:9 | -4 | 5 |
| 9 | Wil | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 6:16 | -10 | 4 |
| 10 | Bellinzona | 7 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 5:18 | -13 | 3 |
Promotion ~ Super League
Promotion ~ Super League (Promotion: )
Relegation ~ Promotion League
