Benfica vs Qarabağ Agdam – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football UEFA Champions League
Result
2:3
16/09/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Champions League - League phase - Round 1
  • Referee: Lambrechts E. (Bel)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaDStv Now, New World Sport 4, SuperSport GOtv Football, SuperSport Maximo 3, SuperSport OTT 2, SuperSport Variety 2
albaniaAlbaniaTring Sport 4
argentinaArgentinaDisney+, ESPN 3
armeniaArmeniaFast Sports
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 5, Q Arena Asia, TOD
australiaAustraliaStan Sport
austriaAustriaSky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria 1, Sky Sport Austria 5
azerbaijanAzerbaijanIctimai TV
belgiumBelgiumPickx+ Sports 5, Pickx+ Sports 5
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Sport 1
brazilBrazilHBO Max
bulgariaBulgariaMax Sport 1
canadaCanadaAmazon Prime Video, DAZN Canada
chileChileDisney+
chinaChinaiQIYI, QQ Sports
colombiaColombiaDisney+, ESPN 3
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 6, MAXtv To Go
cyprusCyprusCytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 6, Cytavision Sports 6
czech-republicCzech-republicNova Sport 5, Oneplay
denmarkDenmarkTV3 MAX, Viaplay
europeEuropeGo3 Extra Sports Baltic
finlandFinlandMTV Katsomo+
franceFranceCanal+ Live 4
germanyGermanyAmazon Prime Video, DAZN Deutsch
greeceGreeceCOSMOTE Sport 5
hong-kongHong-kongbeIN Sports 3, beIN SPORTS MAX
hungaryHungaryRTL+
icelandIcelandSÝN Sport Viaplay, Viaplay
indonesiaIndonesiabeIN SPORTS MAX, Vidio
italyItalyNOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 255
kazakhstanKazakhstanQazsport
kenyaKenyaGotv
kosovoKosovoArena Premium 4
malaysiaMalaysiabeIN SPORTS MAX, Canal+ Action
mexicoMexicoAmazon Prime Video, HBO Max
netherlandsNetherlandsZiggo Sport 6
new-zealandNew-zealandDAZN New Zealand
nigeriaNigeriaSuperSport OTT 2
norwayNorwayTV2 Play, TV2 Sport 1
peruPeruDisney+
philippinesPhilippinesbeIN SPORTS MAX
polandPolandCanal+ Extra 3
portugalPortugalSport TV5
romaniaRomaniaDigi Online, Digi Sport 4, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 4, Prima TV
russiaRussiaOkko Sport
serbiaSerbiaArena Premium 4
singaporeSingaporebeIN SPORTS MAX
slovakiaSlovakiaVoyo
south-africaSouth-africaSuperSport OTT 2, SuperSport Variety 2
south-americaSouth-americaViX Latin America
south-koreaSouth-koreaSPOTV Now
spainSpainM+ Liga de Campeones 6
swedenSwedenViaplay
switzerlandSwitzerlandBlue Sport 5, Blue Sport 5
thailandThailandbeIN SPORTS MAX
turkeyTurkeyTabii, TRT Spor
ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 4
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomAmazon Prime Video, Discovery+ App, Discovery+, TNT Sports 3
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaCBS Sports Network, Fubo Sports Network, Paramount+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+, Inter
worldWorldVIX App

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.191.55
Ball Possession
53%47%
Total shots
1410
Shots on target
35
Big Chances
22
Corner Kicks
83
Passes
85% (408/480)82% (351/429)
Expected Goals (xG)
1.191.55
xG on target (xGOT)
1.382.70
Total shots
1410
Shots on target
35
Shots off target
53
Blocked Shots
62
Shots inside the Box
69
Shots outside the Box
81
Hit the Woodwork
11
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
22
Corner Kicks
83
Touches in opposition box
2824
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
11
Free Kicks
611
Passes
85% (408/480)82% (351/429)
Long passes
65% (34/52)44% (21/48)
Passes in final third
76% (130/172)66% (55/83)
Crosses
7% (1/15)25% (2/8)
Expected assists (xA)
0.920.90
Throw-ins
1918
Fouls
116
Tackles
50% (9/18)65% (11/17)
Duels won
4342
Clearances
1232
Interceptions
910
Errors leading to shot
11
Errors leading to goal
01
Goalkeeper Saves
21
xGOT faced
2.701.38
Goals prevented
-0.30-0.62

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 1)
  • 6', 1 - 0, Barrenechea E. ⚽, Sudakov G. (A),
  • 16', 2 - 0, Pavlidis V. ⚽, Sudakov G. (A),
  • 30', 2 - 1, Leandro Andrade ⚽, Duran C. (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 2)
  • 48', 2 - 2, Duran C. ⚽, Jankovic M. (A),
  • 66', Leandro Andrade ↓, Addai E. ↑,
  • 70', Aursnes F. ↓, Ivanovic F. ↑,
  • 70', Schjelderup A. ↓, Prestianni G. ↑,
  • 77', Jankovic M. ↓, Kashchuk O. ↑,
  • 77', Cafarquliyev E. ↓, Bayramov T. ↑,
  • 79', Pavlidis V. ↓, Araujo H. ↑,
  • 79', Rios R. ↓, Barreiro L. ↑,
  • 86', 2 - 3, Kashchuk O. ⚽, Zoubir A. (A),
  • 90', Duran C. ↓, Qurbanly M. ↑,

Chances of winning


Benfica
80.3%		Draw
13.4%		Qarabağ Agdam
6.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
76.7% 15.5% 7.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Benfica has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)
  • Qarabağ Agdam has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)
    •

    Benfica - Qarabağ Agdam Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 1.21 ↓
    (1.23)    		 6.92 ↑
    (6.09)    		 15.33 ↑
    (12)    		 4%
    (6.1%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.50
    What is the prediction for Benfica - Qarabağ Agdam?
  • Users Predictions: 52 users predict this event. Benfica will win (votes: 45 - 86.5%). Qarabağ will win (votes: 3 - 5.8%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 7.7%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Benfica: 77.2% – 95.8%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • BTS - no (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • BTTS - no (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .
    • 1X2, 1st Half - Benfica (1.55) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 3.25 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -2 - Benfica (1.71) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • DC - draw (votes: 0 - 0%) .
    • O/U 5.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 3.5 - over (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Benfica will win (19 of 21 users predict this - 90.48%) 🥇 Gold Tip.
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 23 high ROI users predict this event. Benfica (votes: 21 - 91.3%). Tie (votes: 2 - 8.7%).
    •
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • Benfica is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Qarabağ's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • In this match, Benfica is the undeniable favorite.
    • There will not play in Benfica: Bah A. (Knee Injury) Bruma (Achilles Tendon Injury) Dedic A. (Injury) Felix N. (Injury) Lukebakio D. (Foot Injury) Manu (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Qarabağ: Montiel J. (Thigh Injury) Rzayev A. (Inactive)
    • The teams have not played against each other recently.
    Latest results of Benfica
    12.09.2025 Benfica - Santa Clara 1:1 ✺
    31.08.2025 Alverca - Benfica 1:2 ✺
    27.08.2025 Benfica - Fenerbahçe 1:0 ✺
    23.08.2025 Benfica - Tondela 3:0 ✺
    20.08.2025 Fenerbahçe - Benfica 0:0 ✺
    Latest results of Qarabağ Agdam
    12.09.2025 Qarabağ Agdam - Zira 1:1
    31.08.2025 Karvan - Qarabağ Agdam 0:2
    27.08.2025 Qarabağ Agdam - Ferencvárosi 2:3 ✺
    22.08.2025 Qarabağ Agdam - Sumgayit 0:1
    19.08.2025 Ferencvárosi - Qarabağ Agdam 1:3 ✺
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/16-finals
    1Monaco (21)PSG (11)2 : 2, 2 : 3
    2Chelsea (6)Bye
    3Galatasaray (20)Juventus (13)2 : 3, 5 : 2
    4Liverpool (3)Bye
    5Benfica (24)Real Madrid (9)1 : 2, 0 : 1
    6Manchester City (8)Bye
    7Dortmund (17)Atalanta (15)1 : 4, 2 : 0
    8Bayern Munich (2)Bye
    9Qarabag (22)Newcastle (12)2 : 3, 1 : 6
    10Barcelona (5)Bye
    11Club Brugge KV (19)Atl. Madrid (14)1 : 4, 3 : 3
    12Tottenham (4)Bye
    13Bodo/Glimt (23)Inter (10)2 : 1, 3 : 1
    14Sporting CP (7)Bye
    15Olympiacos Piraeus (18)Bayer Leverkusen (16)0 : 0, 0 : 2
    16Arsenal (1)Bye

    1/8-finals
    1PSG (11)Chelsea (6)3 : 0, 5 : 2
    2Galatasaray (20)Liverpool (3)0 : 4, 1 : 0
    3Real Madrid (9)Manchester City (8)2 : 1, 3 : 0
    4Atalanta (15)Bayern Munich (2)1 : 4, 1 : 6
    5Newcastle (12)Barcelona (5)2 : 7, 1 : 1
    6Atl. Madrid (14)Tottenham (4)2 : 3, 5 : 2
    7Bodo/Glimt (23)Sporting CP (7)0 : 5, 3 : 0
    8Bayer Leverkusen (16)Arsenal (1)0 : 2, 1 : 1

    Quarter-finals
    1PSG (11)Liverpool (3)
    2Real Madrid (9)Bayern Munich (2)
    3Barcelona (5)Atl. Madrid (14)
    4Sporting CP (7)Arsenal (1)

    Semi-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2
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