Arsenal Tula vs Spartak Kostroma – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:2
13/09/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • FNL - Round 10
  • Referee: Matveev S. (Rus)

Match Stats

Ball Possession
63%37%
Total shots
56
Shots on target
33
Corner Kicks
20
Yellow Cards
12
Total shots
56
Shots on target
33
Shots off target
23
Corner Kicks
20
Free Kicks
1511
Goalkeeper Saves
12

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 34', Enin I. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 2)
  • 46', Enin I. , Chursin K. ,
  • 46', Botaka-Yoboma E. , Karmaev N. ,
  • 58', Lipovoy D. , Mirzov R. ,
  • 58', Brnovic M. , Troshechkin A. ,
  • 61', 1 - 0, Troshechkin A. ,
  • 61', Chikanchi M. , Gharibyan A. ,
  • 61', Nazarenko E. , Bokov D. ,
  • 64', Nemchenko A. 🟨,
  • 72', Sadov D. , Tlekhugov M. ,
  • 72', Nemchenko A. , Demyanov V. ,
  • 79', Tsaraev A. , Ahlinvi M. ,
  • 82', 1 - 1, Gharibyan A. ,
  • 90', 1 - 2, Chursin K. ,
  • 90+6', 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Arsenal Tula
51.5%
Draw
30.7%
Spartak Kostroma
17.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
53.9% 28.1% 18%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.8% 28.6% 17.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Arsenal Tula has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)
  • Spartak Kostroma has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arsenal Tula than the current prediction. (+3.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Spartak Kostroma than the current prediction. (-0.1%)
  • Arsenal Tula - Spartak Kostroma Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.85
    (1.76)
    3.1
    (3.37)
    5.32
    (5.27)
    5.3%
    (5.6%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
    What is the prediction for Arsenal Tula - Spartak Kostroma?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Arsenal (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 8 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Premier League (Promotion: )).
    • Recent performances by Arsenal have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Spartak Kostroma is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • In this match, Arsenal is seen as the favorite.
    • Recently, there has been no match between the teams.
    Latest results of Arsenal Tula
    Latest results of Spartak Kostroma
    Russian FNL Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Fakel Voronezh22163330:111951
    2Ural22125530:191141
    3Rodina Moscow22109330:171339
    4S. Kostroma2298531:25635
    5Chelyabinsk2298528:20835
    6Kamaz2289537:251233
    7SKA Khabarovsk2288624:22232
    8R. Volgograd2287725:18731
    9Neftekhimik22710527:24331
    10Arsenal Tula22611530:26429
    11Shinnik Yaroslavl2268819:21-226
    12Yenisey2259815:26-1124
    13Torpedo Moscow22661019:29-1024
    14Chernomorets Novorossijsk22661025:29-424
    15Ulyanovsk22651125:35-1023
    16Ufa22481024:31-720
    17Saratov222101010:23-1316
    18FK Chayka22261419:47-2812

          Promotion ~ Premier League
          Promotion ~ Premier League (Promotion: )
          Relegation