Result
3:3
17/09/2025 at 18:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie A Betano - Round 12
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Brazil | Amazon Prime Video, Claro TV+, Globoplay, Premiere, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping |
 China | K-Ball |
 Mexico | Fanatiz |
 Russia | MATCH! Futbol 3, Match TV, Sportbox.ru |
 Spain | Movistar+ Lite, Movistar+ Vamos Bar 1 |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.16 | 1.61 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 57% | 43% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (416/481) | 82% (304/371) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.16 | 1.61 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.49 | 2.63 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 12 | 8 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 27 | 15 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 18 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (416/481) | 82% (304/371) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 68% (41/60) | 55% (18/33) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 76% (83/109) | 65% (59/91) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 22% (5/23) | 29% (5/17) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.30 | 0.82 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 16 | 24 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 18 | 11 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 69% (18/26) | 64% (9/14) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 54 | 48 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 25 | 26 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 9 | 12 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.63 | 1.49 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.37 | -1.51 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (3 - 0)
- 12', 1 - 0, Savarino J. ⚽, Rodriguez S. (A),
- 31', 2 - 0, Ramos C. ⚽, Alex Telles (A),
- 36', Danilo 🟨,
- 40', 3 - 0, Montoro A. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 3)
- 46', Danilo ↓, Newton ↑,
- 46', Cristian Renato ↓, Chico ↑,
- 46', 3 - 1, Chico ⚽, Negueba (A),
- 58', 3 - 2, Jemmes ⚽,
- 60', Rodriguez S. 🟨,
- 61', 3 - 3, Lucas Ramon ⚽, Alesson (A),
- 63', Alex Telles ↓, Cuiabano ↑,
- 68', Negueba ↓, Carlos Eduardo ↑,
- 68', Alesson ↓, Edson Carioca ↑,
- 72', Joao Victor 🟨,
- 76', Jose Aldo ↓, Shaylon ↑,
- 78', Montoro A. ↓, Jeffinho ↑,
- 83', Barboza A. 🟨,
- 86', Neto Moura ↓, Yago Felipe ↑,
- 90+2', Savarino J. ↓, Matheus Martins ↑,
- 90+2', Rodriguez S. ↓, Gonzalo Mastriani ↑,
- 90+3', Matheus Martins 🟨,
Chances of winning
Botafogo RJ
70.7% | Draw
18.7% | Mirassol
10.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Botafogo RJ has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Botafogo RJ's performance.Mirassol has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.7%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Mirassol might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Botafogo RJ than the current prediction. (-15.3%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Botafogo RJ that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mirassol than the current prediction. (+7.4%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Mirassol could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Botafogo RJ - Mirassol Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.57 ↓
(1.62) |
6.5 ↑
(3.73) |
11.93 ↑
(5.45) |
-12.7%
(6.9%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Botafogo RJ - Mirassol?
Users Predictions:
13 users predict this event. Botafogo will win (votes: 9 - 69.2%). Mirassol will win (votes: 2 - 15.4%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 15.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Botafogo: 44.1% – 94.3%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Botafogo (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Mirassol (votes: 2 - 66.7%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: ) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )).
- Recent performances by Botafogo have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Mirassol is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Botafogo may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Botafogo is seen as the favorite.
- There will not play in Botafogo: Arthur Cabral
(Inactive)
Artur
(Injury)
Barrera J.
(Inactive)
Bastos
(Knee Injury)
Nathan Fernandes
(Arm Injury)
- There will not play in Mirassol: Guilherme
(Injury)
PH
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Botafogo: Neto
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Mirassol: Da Silva
(Injury)
Matheus Sales
(Injury)
- Recently, there has been no match between the teams.
How many head-to-head matches has Botafogo RJ won against Mirassol?
Botafogo RJ has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Mirassol won against Botafogo RJ?
Mirassol has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Botafogo RJ - Mirassol were as follows:
Latest results of Botafogo RJ
Latest results of Mirassol
Brazilian Serie A Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Flamengo RJ | 23 | 15 | 6 | 2 | 48:11 | 37 | 51 |
| 2 | Cruzeiro | 24 | 15 | 5 | 4 | 39:17 | 22 | 50 |
| 3 | Palmeiras | 22 | 15 | 4 | 3 | 36:18 | 18 | 49 |
| 4 | Mirassol | 23 | 11 | 9 | 3 | 41:23 | 18 | 42 |
| 5 | Botafogo RJ | 23 | 11 | 6 | 6 | 34:17 | 17 | 39 |
| 6 | Bahia | 22 | 10 | 7 | 5 | 30:25 | 5 | 37 |
| 7 | Sao Paulo | 24 | 9 | 8 | 7 | 27:24 | 3 | 35 |
| 8 | Fluminense | 22 | 9 | 4 | 9 | 26:29 | -3 | 31 |
| 9 | Bragantino | 24 | 9 | 4 | 11 | 29:35 | -6 | 31 |
| 10 | Corinthians | 24 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 24:29 | -5 | 29 |
| 11 | Ceara | 23 | 7 | 7 | 9 | 22:23 | -1 | 28 |
| 12 | Gremio | 23 | 7 | 7 | 9 | 23:29 | -6 | 28 |
| 13 | Internacional | 23 | 7 | 6 | 10 | 28:36 | -8 | 27 |
| 14 | Santos | 23 | 7 | 5 | 11 | 22:32 | -10 | 26 |
| 15 | Atletico-MG | 22 | 6 | 7 | 9 | 21:26 | -5 | 25 |
| 16 | Vasco | 23 | 6 | 6 | 11 | 33:34 | -1 | 24 |
| 17 | Vitoria | 24 | 4 | 10 | 10 | 19:35 | -16 | 22 |
| 18 | Juventude | 23 | 6 | 3 | 14 | 19:45 | -26 | 21 |
| 19 | Fortaleza | 23 | 4 | 6 | 13 | 23:38 | -15 | 18 |
| 20 | Sport Recife | 22 | 2 | 8 | 12 | 16:34 | -18 | 14 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )
Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet
