Result
0:1
12/09/2025 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- USL League One
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Usa | ESPN App, ESPN+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.89 | 1.59 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 60% | 40% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 91% (506/558) | 85% (327/384) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.89 | 1.59 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.27 | 1.08 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 11 | 2 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 13 | 6 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 36 | 19 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 91% (506/558) | 85% (327/384) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 76% (41/54) | 50% (24/48) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 86% (204/236) | 69% (50/72) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 17% (6/35) | 43% (3/7) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.64 | 1.41 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 20 | 12 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 13 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 80% (12/15) | 69% (9/13) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 45 | 39 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 13 | 42 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.08 | 0.27 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.08 | 0.27 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 40', Jauregui R. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 74', 0 - 1, Onen J. (Pen),
- 75', Jauregui R. ↓, Moreno J. ↑,
- 75', Bakero J. ↓, Chaney C. ↑,
- 75', Sulia R. ↓, Fernandes G. ↑,
- 84', Marou S. ↓, Ngah F. ↑,
- 84', Moshobane T. ↓, Jaime C. ↑,
- 84', Ferrin A. ↓, Bachstein D. ↑,
- 85', Onen J. 🟨,
- 89', Sorenson A. ↓, Mbuyu T. ↑,
- 89', Onen J. ↓, Cerro I. ↑,
- 90+4', Cerro I. 🟨,
- 90+5', Delgado E. 🟨,
- 90+7', O'Connor K. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Charlotte Independence
42.8% | Draw
26.4% | Naples
30.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Charlotte Independence has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Charlotte Independence's form might have worsened.Naples has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Charlotte Independence than the current prediction. (+7.3%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Charlotte Independence, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Naples than the current prediction. (-5.5%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Naples, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Charlotte Independence - Naples Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.16 ↑
(1.88) |
3.5 ↓
(3.53) |
3.01 ↓
(3.45) |
8.2%
(10.7%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
Preview Facts
- Charlotte Ind has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Naples is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Charlotte Ind will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- Recently, the teams have not faced each other.
How many head-to-head matches has Charlotte Independence won against Naples?
Charlotte Independence has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Naples won against Charlotte Independence?
Naples has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Charlotte Independence - Naples were as follows:
Latest results of Charlotte Independence
USL League One Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Chattanooga Red Wolves ✔ | 24 | 13 | 9 | 2 | 37:21 | 16 | 48 |
| 2 | Spokane Velocity | 24 | 12 | 7 | 5 | 35:25 | 10 | 43 |
| 3 | One Knoxville | 24 | 11 | 9 | 4 | 33:22 | 11 | 42 |
| 4 | FC Naples | 25 | 11 | 8 | 6 | 33:27 | 6 | 41 |
| 5 | Portland Hearts of Pine | 23 | 9 | 10 | 4 | 35:26 | 9 | 37 |
| 6 | Charlotte Independ | 25 | 9 | 7 | 9 | 41:42 | -1 | 34 |
| 7 | Union Omaha | 24 | 9 | 5 | 10 | 39:36 | 3 | 32 |
| 8 | Tormenta | 25 | 9 | 5 | 11 | 40:42 | -2 | 32 |
| 9 | AV Alta | 25 | 7 | 10 | 8 | 35:37 | -2 | 31 |
| 10 | Greenville | 25 | 7 | 6 | 12 | 36:38 | -2 | 27 |
| 11 | Texoma | 25 | 6 | 8 | 11 | 32:48 | -16 | 26 |
| 12 | Forward Madison | 25 | 5 | 11 | 9 | 24:32 | -8 | 26 |
| 13 | Richmond Kickers | 25 | 6 | 5 | 14 | 34:44 | -10 | 23 |
| 14 | Westchester SC | 25 | 4 | 8 | 13 | 37:51 | -14 | 20 |
Promotion ~ USL League One (Play Offs: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Chattanooga Red Wolves is Qualified for USL League One (Play Offs )
