Result
1:1
19/04/2026 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- USL League One
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Brazil | Disney+ |
 Chile | Disney+ |
 Colombia | Disney+ |
 Mexico | Disney+ |
 North-central-america | Disney+ Caribbean |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | ESPN App, ESPN+, NESN Plus |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.81 | 0.45 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 43% | 57% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 70% (202/290) | 73% (280/385) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.81 | 0.45 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.28 | 0.46 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 23 | 9 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 70% (202/290) | 73% (280/385) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 39% (27/70) | 38% (29/76) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 61% (70/114) | 50% (51/103) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 20% (3/15) | 13% (2/15) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.70 | 0.44 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 30 | 30 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 14 | 10 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 83% (10/12) | 64% (9/14) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 52 | 46 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 32 | 26 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.46 | 1.28 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.54 | 0.28 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 36', 1 - 0, Wright O. ⚽, Drack J. (A),
- 44', Barbosa D. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 63', Miglietti G. ↓, O'Connor K. ↑,
- 64', Washington T. 🟨,
- 74', Kamara J. 🟨,
- 74', Camara A. ↓, Kidd M. ↑,
- 74', Kamara J. ↓, Georgallides K. ↑,
- 76', Gray T. ↓, Arevalo W. ↑,
- 77', Rose T. 🟨,
- 84', Mesias A. ↓, Gay H. ↑,
- 85', Kidd M. 🟨,
- 87', 1 - 1, Glasser M. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Portland Hearts of Pine
45.2% | Draw
28.9% | Naples
25.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Portland Hearts of Pine has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.6%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Portland Hearts of Pine's performance.Naples has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.2%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Naples might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Portland Hearts of Pine than the current prediction. (-10%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Portland Hearts of Pine that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Naples than the current prediction. (+8.6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Naples could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Portland Hearts of Pine - Naples Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.04 ↓
(2.62) |
3.18 ↑
(2.99) |
3.56 ↑
(2.58) |
8.6%
(10.4%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 9 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ USL League One (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
- The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
- Naples may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, Hearts of Pine has had a series of away games.
- Recently, Naples has had a series of home games.
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Hearts of Pine won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1. (average 1.5:0.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Hearts of Pine won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1. (average 1.5:0.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Portland Hearts of Pine won against Naples?
Portland Hearts of Pine has won 2 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Naples won against Portland Hearts of Pine?
Naples has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Portland Hearts of Pine - Naples were as follows:
21.09.2025
Portland Hearts of Pine
-
Naples
1:0
17.05.2025
Portland Hearts of Pine
-
Naples
2:1
Latest results of Portland Hearts of Pine
USL League One Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | One Knoxville | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 12:6 | 6 | 17 |
| 2 | Union Omaha | 7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 12:7 | 5 | 15 |
| 3 | Spokane Velocity | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 11:8 | 3 | 14 |
| 4 | FC Naples | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 9:7 | 2 | 14 |
| 5 | Boise | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 12:7 | 5 | 11 |
| 6 | Forward Madison | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8:5 | 3 | 10 |
| 7 | Portland Hearts of Pine | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 7:4 | 3 | 9 |
| 8 | Westchester SC | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 12:14 | -2 | 7 |
| 9 | Richmond Kickers | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 5:7 | -2 | 7 |
| 10 | New York Cosmos | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 12:16 | -4 | 7 |
| 11 | Sarasota Paradise | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 7:13 | -6 | 7 |
| 12 | Greenville | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 8:9 | -1 | 6 |
| 13 | Charlotte Independ | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 10:8 | 2 | 5 |
| 14 | Fort Wayne | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5:8 | -3 | 5 |
| 15 | Chattanooga Red Wolves | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5:6 | -1 | 4 |
| 16 | AV Alta | 6 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 7:11 | -4 | 4 |
| 17 | Corpus Christi FC | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 5:11 | -6 | 3 |
Promotion ~ USL League One (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
