Result
1:2
14/09/2025 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Primera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 3
- Where to Watch on TV:
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Spain | Footballclub, LaLiga+ |
Match Stats
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Ball Possession |
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47% | 53% |
Total shots |
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6 | 14 |
Shots on target |
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1 | 8 |
Corner Kicks |
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2 | 5 |
Yellow Cards |
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3 | 4 |
Red Cards |
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1 | 0 |
Total shots |
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6 | 14 |
Shots on target |
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1 | 8 |
Shots off target |
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5 | 6 |
Corner Kicks |
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2 | 5 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
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6 | 0 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 7', 0 - 1, Munoz D. (Own goal),
- 14', Di Renzo G. 🟨,
- 22', Moreno M. 🟨,
- 29', Yuste A. 🟥,
- 37', Punzano I. ↓, Prado M. ↑,
- 45+9', Navarro I. 🟨,
- 45+13', 1 - 1, Bouzaig A. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Ouacharaf B. ↓, Rodriguez F. ↑,
- 55', Gomez V. ↓, Gallardo Rodriguez E. ↑,
- 55', Moreno M. ↓, Arroyo N. ↑,
- 60', Ramos J. ↓, Vazquez K. ↑,
- 60', Ouhdadi O. ↓, Camus M. ↑,
- 60', Bouzaig A. ↓, Moreno C. ↑,
- 73', Guerrero A. ↓, Aranzabe A. ↑,
- 76', 1 - 2, Sanchez L. ⚽,
- 84', 🟨,
- 84', 🟨,
- 90+4', 🟨,
- 90+7', 🟨,
Chances of winning
Ourense CF 33.3% | Draw 34.4% | Talavera de la Reina 32.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ourense CF has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.9%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Ourense CF's form might have worsened.Talavera de la Reina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ourense CF than the current prediction. (+10.1%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Ourense CF, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Talavera de la Reina than the current prediction. (-4.7%)
Ourense CF - Talavera de la Reina Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
3.07 ↑ (2.21) |
2.8 ↓ (3.07) |
3 ↓ (3.14) |
1.6% (9.7%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
Preview Facts
- Ourense CF is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Talavera has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Talavera may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, Ourense CF has had a series of away games.
- Ourense CF is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- Recently, the teams have not faced each other.
How many head-to-head matches has Ourense CF won against Talavera de la Reina?
Ourense CF has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Talavera de la Reina won against Ourense CF?
Talavera de la Reina has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Ourense CF - Talavera de la Reina were as follows:
Latest results of Ourense CF
Latest results of Talavera de la Reina
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Tenerife | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7:0 | 7 | 9 |
2 | Guadalajara | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 6:3 | 3 | 9 |
3 | Racing Club Ferrol | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5:2 | 3 | 9 |
4 | Ath Bilbao B | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3:1 | 2 | 8 |
5 | Arenteiro | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4:2 | 2 | 7 |
6 | Zamora | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 6 |
7 | Cacereno | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 5:6 | -1 | 5 |
8 | Celta Vigo B | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4:3 | 1 | 4 |
9 | Arenas Getxo | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5:5 | 0 | 4 |
10 | CF Talavera | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4:4 | 0 | 4 |
11 | Barakaldo | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3:3 | 0 | 4 |
12 | Osasuna B | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2:3 | -1 | 4 |
13 | Real Aviles | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2:3 | -1 | 4 |
14 | Pontevedra | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2:4 | -2 | 4 |
15 | Ponferradina | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5:6 | -1 | 3 |
16 | Real Madrid B | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2:3 | -1 | 3 |
17 | Merida AD | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4:9 | -5 | 3 |
18 | Ourense CF | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2:3 | -1 | 2 |
19 | Lugo | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1:3 | -2 | 1 |
20 | Unionistas | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0:4 | -4 | 0 |
Promotion ~ LaLiga2
Promotion ~ Primera RFEF ~ Group 1
Relegation