Result
3:1
28/02/2026 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Primera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 26
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Spain | Footballclub, LaLiga+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 50% | 50% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 7 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 7 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 27', 1 - 0, Ferni ⚽,
- 33', 2 - 0, Molina S. ⚽,
- 37', Pitu 🟨,
- 39', Gallardo Rodriguez E. 🟨,
- 43', Ramon A. 🟨,
- 45', Cuenca D. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Miguel ↓, Garcia S. ↑,
- 46', Pascu ↓, Escobar A. ↑,
- 46', Gorostidi A. ↓, Tejera S. ↑,
- 60', 2 - 1, Gimenez A. ⚽,
- 66', Dacosta R. ↓, Noriega J. ↑,
- 67', Ferni ↓, Roig A. ↑,
- 67', Pitu ↓, Acosta L. ↑,
- 67', Sanchez L. ↓, Gomez V. ↑,
- 79', 3 - 1, Moreno M. ⚽,
- 83', Artetxe M. ↓, Concha D. ↑,
- 84', 🟨,
Chances of winning
Talavera de la Reina
32.4% | Draw
31.1% | Ferrol
36.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Talavera de la Reina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)Ferrol has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Talavera de la Reina than the current prediction. (+3.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ferrol than the current prediction. (-3.6%)
Talavera de la Reina - Ferrol Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.84 ↑
(2.59) |
2.92 ↓
(3) |
2.52 ↓
(2.79) |
9.1%
(7.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Talavera de la Reina - Ferrol?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- AH +0.25 - Talavera (1.70) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Talavera (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 9).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Talavera won 0.
- Talavera is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Ferrol's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
- In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Talavera won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 5:8. (average 0.7:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Talavera won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 1:4. (average 0.3:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Talavera de la Reina won against Ferrol?
Talavera de la Reina has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Ferrol won against Talavera de la Reina?
Ferrol has won 3 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Talavera de la Reina - Ferrol were as follows:
31.08.2025
Ferrol
-
Talavera de la Reina
2:1
20.05.2023
Talavera de la Reina
-
Ferrol
0:1
08.10.2022
Ferrol
-
Talavera de la Reina
1:0
Latest results of Talavera de la Reina
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Tenerife | 34 | 20 | 10 | 4 | 55:20 | 35 | 70 |
| 2 | Celta Vigo B | 34 | 17 | 10 | 7 | 56:43 | 13 | 61 |
| 3 | Zamora | 34 | 15 | 10 | 9 | 46:38 | 8 | 55 |
| 4 | Real Madrid B | 34 | 15 | 8 | 11 | 54:43 | 11 | 53 |
| 5 | Pontevedra | 34 | 13 | 14 | 7 | 43:26 | 17 | 53 |
| 6 | Ponferradina | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 38:29 | 9 | 51 |
| 7 | Barakaldo | 34 | 13 | 12 | 9 | 44:34 | 10 | 51 |
| 8 | Unionistas | 34 | 13 | 10 | 11 | 47:44 | 3 | 49 |
| 9 | AD Merida | 34 | 13 | 9 | 12 | 44:47 | -3 | 48 |
| 10 | Arenas Getxo | 34 | 14 | 5 | 15 | 40:49 | -9 | 47 |
| 11 | Lugo | 34 | 11 | 13 | 10 | 32:37 | -5 | 46 |
| 12 | Racing Club Ferrol | 34 | 13 | 7 | 14 | 38:43 | -5 | 46 |
| 13 | Ath Bilbao B | 34 | 12 | 9 | 13 | 34:38 | -4 | 45 |
| 14 | Real Aviles | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 49:56 | -7 | 42 |
| 15 | Ourense CF | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 38:40 | -2 | 38 |
| 16 | CF Talavera | 34 | 9 | 9 | 16 | 33:43 | -10 | 36 |
| 17 | Guadalajara | 34 | 9 | 9 | 16 | 37:52 | -15 | 36 |
| 18 | Cacereno | 34 | 7 | 14 | 13 | 31:45 | -14 | 35 |
| 19 | Osasuna B | 34 | 8 | 9 | 17 | 24:39 | -15 | 33 |
| 20 | Arenteiro | 34 | 6 | 9 | 19 | 29:46 | -17 | 27 |
Promotion ~ LaLiga2
Promotion ~ Primera RFEF ~ Group 1
Relegation
