Result
1:2
25/01/2026 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Tercera RFEF - Group 16 - Round 19
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 2)
- 8', 0 - 1, ⚽,
- 34', 0 - 2, ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 72', 1 - 2, ⚽,
Chances of winning
San Marcial 22.5% | Draw 28.6% | Oyonesa 48.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
San Marcial has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.6%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that San Marcial's form might have worsened.Oyonesa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.6%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Oyonesa's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Marcial than the current prediction. (+5.8%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for San Marcial, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Oyonesa than the current prediction. (-7.4%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Oyonesa, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
San Marcial - Oyonesa Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
4.03 ↑ (3.12) |
3.18 ↑ (2.97) |
1.85 ↓ (2.25) |
10.2% (10.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
Preview Facts
- An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 15 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 16 (Play Offs: )).
- The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
- Oyonesa may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Oyonesa might have a minor edge in this game.
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, San Marcial won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.
How many head-to-head matches has San Marcial won against Oyonesa?
San Marcial has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Oyonesa won against San Marcial?
Oyonesa has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between San Marcial - Oyonesa were as follows:
14.09.2025
Oyonesa
-
San Marcial
2:1
Latest results of San Marcial
Latest results of Oyonesa
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 16 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | UD Logrones B | 27 | 19 | 8 | 0 | 68:19 | 49 | 65 |
| 2 | Varea | 27 | 19 | 4 | 4 | 44:21 | 23 | 61 |
| 3 | Arnedo | 27 | 15 | 8 | 4 | 58:23 | 35 | 53 |
| 4 | Oyonesa | 27 | 15 | 4 | 8 | 42:32 | 10 | 49 |
| 5 | Anguiano | 27 | 14 | 7 | 6 | 39:25 | 14 | 49 |
| 6 | Calahorra | 27 | 13 | 9 | 5 | 63:19 | 44 | 48 |
| 7 | Agoncillo | 27 | 11 | 7 | 9 | 46:36 | 10 | 40 |
| 8 | Haro Deportivo | 27 | 11 | 6 | 10 | 42:40 | 2 | 39 |
| 9 | Yague | 27 | 9 | 10 | 8 | 41:36 | 5 | 37 |
| 10 | Vianes | 27 | 9 | 7 | 11 | 33:36 | -3 | 34 |
| 11 | Comillas | 27 | 9 | 4 | 14 | 26:46 | -20 | 31 |
| 12 | San Marcial | 27 | 8 | 6 | 13 | 29:46 | -17 | 30 |
| 13 | Berceo | 27 | 7 | 9 | 11 | 30:38 | -8 | 30 |
| 14 | Pradejon | 27 | 7 | 7 | 13 | 22:34 | -12 | 28 |
| 15 | CDFC Calzada | 27 | 7 | 6 | 14 | 31:47 | -16 | 27 |
| 16 | Villegas | 27 | 7 | 4 | 16 | 29:55 | -26 | 25 |
| 17 | Autol | 27 | 3 | 4 | 20 | 17:64 | -47 | 13 |
| 18 | Pena Balsamaiso | 27 | 0 | 10 | 17 | 18:61 | -43 | 10 |
Promotion
Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 16 (Play Offs: )
Relegation