Baku Sporting vs Shahdag Qusar – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:1
10/12/2025 at 05:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • I Liqa - Round 10

Match Stats

Red Cards
10

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 1)
  • 1', 1 - 0, Stevanovic L. ,
  • 14', Mursalov A. 🟥,
  • 23', 1 - 1, Voronsov R. ,
  • 28', 2 - 1, Mammadli K. ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)

Official Live

Chances of winning


Baku Sporting
43.4%
Draw
30.1%
Shahdag Qusar
26.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
43.2% 26% 30.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.3% 25.4% 30%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Baku Sporting has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)
  • Shahdag Qusar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Baku Sporting than the current prediction. (+0.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shahdag Qusar than the current prediction. (+3.5%)
  • Baku Sporting - Shahdag Qusar Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.19
    (2.08)
    3.16
    (3.45)
    3.58
    (2.92)
    5.2%
    (11.3%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Baku Sporting - Shahdag Qusar?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH -0.5 - Sporting (1.78) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Sporting (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 4 and 7).
    • Sporting is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Shahdag's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Shahdag may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Sporting will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Sporting won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:2.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Baku Sporting - Shahdag Qusar were as follows:
    18.09.2025 Shahdag Qusar - Baku Sporting 2:3
    Latest results of Baku Sporting
    03.12.2025 Shamakhi - Baku Sporting 1:0
    21.11.2025 Baku Sporting - Səbail 0:0
    05.11.2025 Baku Sporting - Cəbrayıl 2:0
    28.10.2025 Göygöl - Baku Sporting 0:2
    Latest results of Shahdag Qusar
    27.11.2025 Shahdag Qusar - Şəfa 0:2
    20.11.2025 Zagatala - Shahdag Qusar 1:0
    06.11.2025 Shahdag Qusar - Shimal 4:2
    29.10.2025 Shimal - Shahdag Qusar 0:2
    Azerbaijan First Division Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Safa Baku16106038:122636
    2Baku Sporting1696125:131233
    3Mingachevir1685328:151329
    4Sabail1676319:12727
    5Sahdag Qusar1673625:22324
    6Zaqatala1663717:19-221
    7MOIK Baku1653817:23-618
    8Cebrayil16411127:33-613
    9Difai Agsu16331022:39-1712
    10Shimal16221214:44-308

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