Səbail vs Baku Sporting – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:0
02/04/2026 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • I Liqa - Round 20

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 87', 1 - 0, Bagirov S. ,

Official Live

Chances of winning


Səbail
46.9%
Draw
29%
Baku Sporting
24.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
42.7% 28.4% 28.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.6% 27.8% 28.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Səbail has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)
  • Baku Sporting has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Səbail than the current prediction. (-3.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Baku Sporting than the current prediction. (+4.2%)
  • Səbail - Baku Sporting Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.93
    (2.13)
    3.13
    (3.2)
    3.77
    (3.15)
    10.2%
    (10%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Səbail - Baku Sporting?
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Sporting (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
    • In this match, Səbail is seen as the favorite.
    • In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Səbail won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0. (average 0:0).
    • Including home match between the teams, Səbail won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Səbail - Baku Sporting were as follows:
    24.02.2026 Səbail - Baku Sporting 0:0
    21.11.2025 Baku Sporting - Səbail 0:0
    Latest results of Səbail
    18.03.2026 Səbail - MOIK Baku 2:2
    12.03.2026 Mingachevir - Səbail 0:1
    06.03.2026 Cəbrayıl - Səbail 1:4
    24.02.2026 Səbail - Baku Sporting 0:0
    18.02.2026 MOIK Baku - Səbail 1:0
    Latest results of Baku Sporting
    Azerbaijan First Division Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Safa Baku ✔ 24158150:193153
    2Sabail24137442:172546
    3Mingachevir24136548:232545
    4Baku Sporting24119433:201342
    5Sahdag Qusar24115833:26738
    6MOIK Baku24851127:36-929
    7Zaqatala24741325:37-1225
    8Cebrayil24731436:49-1324
    9Shimal24441619:57-3816
    10Difai Agsu24351627:56-2914

          Promotion ~ Premier League
          I Liqa (Relegation)
          Relegation

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Safa Baku is Qualified for Premier League