Malmö vs Ludogorets Razgrad – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:2
24/09/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Europa League - League phase - Round 1
  • Referee: Lukjancukas M. (Ltu)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 2, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 2, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 2, TOD
australiaAustraliaStan Sport
bulgariaBulgariaMax Sport 3
canadaCanadaAmazon Prime Video, DAZN Canada
chileChileDisney+
colombiaColombiaDisney+
denmarkDenmarkDisney+
finlandFinlandViaplay
franceFranceCanal+ Live 7
germanyGermanyRTL+
greeceGreeceCOSMOTE Sport 8
hong-kongHong-kongbeIN SPORTS MAX
icelandIcelandSÝN Sport
indonesiaIndonesiabeIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
laosLaosbeIN Connect
malaysiaMalaysiabeIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
new-zealandNew-zealandDAZN New Zealand
norwayNorwayViaplay
peruPeruDisney+
philippinesPhilippinesbeIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
portugalPortugalDAZN / App
serbiaSerbiaArena Sport 8
singaporeSingaporebeIN SPORTS MAX
south-americaSouth-americaViX Latin America
spainSpainM+ Liga de Campeones 8
swedenSwedenDisney+
switzerlandSwitzerlandBlue Sport 6, Blue Sport 6
thailandThailandbeIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
turkeyTurkeyTabii
ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 10
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomAmazon Prime Video, Discovery+ App, Discovery+, TNT Sports 7, TNT Sports Extra
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaParamount+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+
worldWorldVIX App

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.672.95
Ball Possession
60%40%
Total shots
1021
Shots on target
510
Big Chances
14
Corner Kicks
23
Passes
86% (500/581)81% (315/387)
Yellow Cards
33
Expected Goals (xG)
0.672.95
xG on target (xGOT)
0.662.56
Total shots
1021
Shots on target
510
Shots off target
54
Blocked Shots
07
Shots inside the Box
514
Shots outside the Box
57
Hit the Woodwork
01
Big Chances
14
Corner Kicks
23
Touches in opposition box
2419
Accurate through passes
11
Offsides
02
Free Kicks
149
Passes
86% (500/581)81% (315/387)
Long passes
42% (13/31)40% (25/62)
Passes in final third
71% (121/171)73% (70/96)
Crosses
24% (4/17)22% (2/9)
Expected assists (xA)
0.720.47
Throw-ins
2823
Fouls
914
Tackles
50% (7/14)56% (9/16)
Duels won
4649
Clearances
1233
Interceptions
1018
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
10
Goalkeeper Saves
74
xGOT faced
2.560.66
Goals prevented
0.56-0.34

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 2)
  • 7', Busanello 🟨,
  • 8', 0 - 1, Stanic P. (Pen),
  • 23', 0 - 2, Bile E. ,
  • 43', Skogmar A. 🟨,
  • 45+6', Christiansen A. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 60', Christiansen A. , Johnsen L. ,
  • 61', Son 🟨,
  • 63', Bile E. , Machado M. ,
  • 63', Stanic P. , Kaloc F. ,
  • 76', Haksabanovic S. , Ali T. ,
  • 76', Skogmar A. , Holmquist S. ,
  • 78', 1 - 2, Johnsen L. , Ali T. (A),
  • 81', Erick Marcus , Ivanov S. ,
  • 88', Duarte D. , Chochev I. ,
  • 88', Almeida D. , Verdon O. ,
  • 89', Caio Vidal 🟨,
  • 90+1', Pedro Naressi 🟨,

Chances of winning


Malmö
58.3%
Draw
24%
Ludogorets Razgrad
17.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
55.3% 23.7% 21%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.3% 22.9% 20.3%

Malmö - Ludogorets Razgrad Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
1.66
(1.71)
3.99
(3.99)
5.41
(4.5)
3.9%
(5.8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Malmö - Ludogorets Razgrad?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 2.25 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -1 - Malmö (2.05) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -0.5 - Malmö (1.64) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH 0 - Malmö (1.22) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Users Predictions: Malmö will win (52 of 54 users predict this - 96.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 91.27%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Malmö will win (21 of 21 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 24 high ROI users predict this event. Malmö (votes: 24 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
    • Malmö may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Malmö is the team to beat.
    • There will not play in Malmö: Botheim E. (Broken Leg) Dahlin J. (Knee Injury) Lajqi G. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Ludogorets: Terziev G. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Malmö: Olsson M. (Muscle Injury) Sigurdsson A. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Ludogorets: Camara A. (Injury) Duah K. (Injury)
    • In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Malmö won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:2. (average 1.5:1).
    • Including home match between the teams, Malmö won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.
    Latest results of Malmö
    20.09.2025 Malmö - Djurgården 0:1
    17.09.2025 Olympic - Malmö 0:1
    14.09.2025 Elfsborg - Malmö 2:2
    31.08.2025 Malmö - Degerfors 1:1
    28.08.2025 Sigma Olomouc - Malmö 0:2
    Latest results of Ludogorets Razgrad
    UEFA Europa League Table
    League phase
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Lyon870118:51321
    2Aston Villa870114:6821
    3Midtjylland861118:81019
    4Betis852113:7617
    5FC Porto852113:7617
    6Braga852111:5617
    7Freiburg852110:4617
    8AS Roma851213:6716
    9Genk851211:7416
    10Bologna843114:7715
    11Stuttgart850315:9615
    12Ferencvaros843112:11115
    13Nottingham842215:7814
    14Plzen83508:3514
    15Crvena zvezda84227:6114
    16Celta Vigo841315:11413
    17PAOK833217:14312
    18Lille840412:9312
    19Fenerbahce833210:7312
    20Panathinaikos833211:9212
    21Celtic832313:15-211
    22Ludogorets831412:15-310
    23Din. Zagreb831412:16-410
    24Brann82339:11-29
    25Young Boys830510:16-69
    26Sturm Graz82155:11-67
    27FCSB82159:16-77
    28G.A. Eagles82156:14-87
    29Feyenoord820611:15-46
    30Basel82069:13-46
    31Salzburg820610:15-56
    32Rangers81165:14-94
    33Nice81077:15-83
    34Utrecht80175:15-101
    35Malmo FF80174:15-111
    36Maccabi Tel Aviv80172:22-201

          Promotion ~ Europa League (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
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