Lealtad vs Sámano – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1 Lealtad - Sámano
Result
2:2
21/09/2025 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Segunda RFEF - Group 1 - Round 3

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 29', 0 - 1, Castillo Marcilla A. ,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 1)
  • 56', 1 - 1, ,
  • 72', 2 - 1, ,
  • 90+5', 2 - 2, ,

Chances of winning


Lealtad
51.1%
Draw
28%
Sámano
21%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
46.7% 28.5% 24.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.7% 26.1% 27.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Lealtad has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)
  • Sámano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lealtad than the current prediction. (-8.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Lealtad that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sámano than the current prediction. (+6.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Sámano could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Lealtad - Sámano Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.8
    (1.95)
    3.28
    (3.2)
    4.38
    (3.67)
    8.9%
    (9.9%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    Preview Facts
    • Lealtad has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Sámano is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Sámano may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, Lealtad has had a series of away games.
    • Recently, Sámano has had a series of home games.
    • In this match, Lealtad is the team to beat.
    • The teams have not played against each other recently.
    Latest results of Lealtad
    14.09.2025 Sarriana - Lealtad 2:0
    06.09.2025 Lealtad - Numancia 1:1
    13.08.2025 Avilés Stadium - Lealtad 1:0
    06.08.2025 Covadonga - Lealtad 0:1
    Latest results of Sámano
    13.09.2025 Sámano - Real Oviedo B 0:2
    14.08.2025 Castro - Sámano 1:0
    09.08.2025 Sámano - Vimenor 3:1
    Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Dep. Fabril660016:31318
    2R. Oviedo B642015:8714
    3Real Avila642010:5514
    4Salamanca641110:5513
    5Gimnastica Segoviana63218:3511
    6Marino de Luanco63216:2411
    7Bergantinos63219:6311
    8Sarriana630311:929
    9Numancia62227:9-28
    10Valladolid Promesas62139:907
    11Rayo Cantabria61327:8-16
    12Burgos CF B61325:10-56
    13Coruxo FC61235:8-35
    14UD Ourense60333:6-33
    15Langreo60335:10-53
    16Atl. Astorga61054:13-93
    17Lealtad60244:12-82
    18UD Samano60243:11-82

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