Result
2:1
06/02/2026 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Primera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 23
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Spain | CMM TV, Footballclub, LaLiga+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 61% | 39% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 3 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 3 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 21', 0 - 1, Moreno M. ⚽,
- 40', 1 - 1, Galarza A. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Naveira U. ↓, Molina E. ↑,
- 48', Farrando M. 🟨,
- 56', Montero Sergio 🟨,
- 60', Sabin ↓, Pena A. ↑,
- 60', de Leon J. ↓, Mandiang S. ↑,
- 66', Molina E. 🟥,
- 70', Montero Sergio ↓, Nordin M. ↑,
- 73', Galarza A. ↓, Valino A. ↑,
- 79', Munoz I. ↓, Torra M. ↑,
- 81', Gomez V. ↓, Ouacharaf B. ↑,
- 81', Moreno M. ↓, Di Renzo G. ↑,
- 82', Pena A. 🟨,
- 86', 2 - 1, Huidobro J. ⚽,
- 90+1', Pitu ↓, Sanchez L. ↑,
- 90+4', Valino A. 🟨,
- 90+8', Molina A. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Barakaldo
57% | Draw
26.2% | Talavera de la Reina
16.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Barakaldo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.8%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Barakaldo's performance.Talavera de la Reina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.5%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Talavera de la Reina might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Barakaldo than the current prediction. (-9.7%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Barakaldo that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Talavera de la Reina than the current prediction. (+7.9%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Talavera de la Reina could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Barakaldo - Talavera de la Reina Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.62 ↓
(2.01) |
3.51 ↑
(3.25) |
5.46 ↑
(3.67) |
8.5%
(7.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 10 and 17 in the zone Relegation).
- Barakaldo is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Talavera has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- In this match, Barakaldo is considered a favorite.
- In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Barakaldo won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:3. (average 1.3:1).
- Including home match between the teams, Barakaldo won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.
How many head-to-head matches has Barakaldo won against Talavera de la Reina?
Barakaldo has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Talavera de la Reina won against Barakaldo?
Talavera de la Reina has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Barakaldo - Talavera de la Reina were as follows:
21.09.2025
Talavera de la Reina
-
Barakaldo
1:1
Latest results of Barakaldo
Latest results of Talavera de la Reina
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Tenerife | 28 | 18 | 6 | 4 | 49:17 | 32 | 60 |
| 2 | Celta Vigo B | 28 | 14 | 8 | 6 | 43:35 | 8 | 50 |
| 3 | Ath Bilbao B | 28 | 12 | 7 | 9 | 30:30 | 0 | 43 |
| 4 | Barakaldo | 28 | 11 | 10 | 7 | 38:29 | 9 | 43 |
| 5 | Pontevedra | 27 | 10 | 12 | 5 | 32:20 | 12 | 42 |
| 6 | Zamora | 28 | 11 | 9 | 8 | 36:31 | 5 | 42 |
| 7 | Real Madrid B | 28 | 12 | 6 | 10 | 38:36 | 2 | 42 |
| 8 | Lugo | 28 | 10 | 11 | 7 | 27:27 | 0 | 41 |
| 9 | Racing Club Ferrol | 28 | 12 | 5 | 11 | 34:33 | 1 | 41 |
| 10 | Ponferradina | 28 | 11 | 7 | 10 | 28:23 | 5 | 40 |
| 11 | AD Merida | 28 | 11 | 7 | 10 | 37:38 | -1 | 40 |
| 12 | Unionistas | 28 | 10 | 8 | 10 | 37:36 | 1 | 38 |
| 13 | Arenas Getxo | 27 | 10 | 4 | 13 | 31:38 | -7 | 34 |
| 14 | Real Aviles | 28 | 9 | 6 | 13 | 40:48 | -8 | 33 |
| 15 | Ourense CF | 28 | 8 | 8 | 12 | 31:33 | -2 | 32 |
| 16 | Guadalajara | 28 | 8 | 7 | 13 | 30:41 | -11 | 31 |
| 17 | CF Talavera | 28 | 8 | 6 | 14 | 29:38 | -9 | 30 |
| 18 | Cacereno | 28 | 6 | 11 | 11 | 26:37 | -11 | 29 |
| 19 | Arenteiro | 28 | 6 | 7 | 15 | 25:36 | -11 | 25 |
| 20 | Osasuna B | 28 | 5 | 9 | 14 | 18:33 | -15 | 24 |
Promotion ~ LaLiga2
Promotion ~ Primera RFEF ~ Group 1
Relegation
