Barakaldo vs CD Guadalajara – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:1
18/01/2026 at 12:15 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Primera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 20
  • Where to Watch on TV:
spainSpainCMM TV, Footballclub, LaLiga+

Match Stats

Ball possession
55%45%
Total shots
106
Shots on target
43
Corner kicks
65
Yellow cards
24
Total shots
106
Shots on target
43
Shots off target
63
Corner kicks
65

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 0)
  • 29', 🟨,
  • 30', 1 - 0, Huidobro J. ,
  • 32', 🟨,
  • 34', 2 - 0, Galarza A. ,
  • 44', 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 50', 2 - 1, Calvo T. ,
  • 56', Arana M. 🟨,
  • 57', Jimenez I. 🟨,
  • 69', Ropero I. , Sabin ,
  • 69', San Bartolome V. , Molina E. ,
  • 70', San Bartolome V. , Dufur U. ,
  • 79', Galarza A. , Valino A. ,
  • 80', Neskes , Alvarez U. ,
  • 80', Calvo T. , Canizo A. ,
  • 84', Mandiang S. , Albizua U. ,
  • 89', 🟨,

Chances of winning


Barakaldo
51.5%
Draw
27.5%
CD Guadalajara
21%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
54.3% 26.1% 19.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.3% 25.6% 19.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Barakaldo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)
  • CD Guadalajara has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Barakaldo than the current prediction. (+3.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for CD Guadalajara than the current prediction. (-1.7%)
  • Barakaldo - CD Guadalajara Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.77
    (1.71)
    3.32
    (3.56)
    4.29
    (4.72)
    10%
    (7.8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 11 and 19 in the zone Relegation).
    • Recent performances by Barakaldo have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Guadalajara is going through a series of losses (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • Barakaldo may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Barakaldo is considered a favorite.
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Barakaldo won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 10:3. (average 2:0.6).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Barakaldo won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:2. (average 2:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Barakaldo - CD Guadalajara were as follows:
    18.10.2025 CD Guadalajara - Barakaldo 1:1
    Latest results of Barakaldo
    Latest results of CD Guadalajara
    Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Tenerife342010455:203570
    2Celta Vigo B341710756:431361
    3Zamora341510946:38855
    4Real Madrid B341581154:431153
    5Pontevedra341314743:261753
    6Ponferradina341491138:29951
    7Barakaldo341312944:341051
    8Unionistas3413101147:44349
    9AD Merida341391244:47-348
    10Arenas Getxo341451540:49-947
    11Lugo3411131032:37-546
    12Racing Club Ferrol341371438:43-546
    13Ath Bilbao B341291334:38-445
    14Real Aviles341191449:56-742
    15Ourense CF349111438:40-238
    16CF Talavera34991633:43-1036
    17Guadalajara34991637:52-1536
    18Cacereno347141331:45-1435
    19Osasuna B34891724:39-1533
    20Arenteiro34691929:46-1727

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