Result
2:1
27/09/2023 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- BRAZIL: SERIE A - ROUND 22
- Referee: Pereira Sampaio S. (Bra)
Chances of winning
São Paulo
65.1% | Draw
21.5% | Coritiba
13.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
São Paulo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in São Paulo's performance.Coritiba has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for São Paulo than the current prediction. (-3.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Coritiba than the current prediction. (+2.6%)
São Paulo - Coritiba Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.44 ↓
(1.56) |
4.34 ↑
(3.9) |
7.09 ↑
(5.67) |
6.7%
(7.5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for São Paulo - Coritiba?
Users Predictions:
20 users predict this event. São Paulo will win (votes: 17 - 85%). Coritiba will win (votes: 3 - 15%).
Confidence interval (95%) for São Paulo: 69.4% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 11 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: ) and 19 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie B).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches São Paulo won 1.
- São Paulo is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- Coritiba has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
- Coritiba could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
- In this match São Paulo is the unquestionable favorite.
- Last 17 head-to-head matches São Paulo won 5 matches, drawn 8 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 23-21.
- Including matches at home between the teams São Paulo won 3 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 13-9.
How many head-to-head matches has São Paulo won against Coritiba?
São Paulo has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Coritiba won against São Paulo?
Coritiba has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between São Paulo - Coritiba were as follows:
20.10.2022
São Paulo
-
Coritiba
3:1
Latest results of São Paulo
Latest results of Coritiba
Brazilian Serie A Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Palmeiras | 29 | 19 | 5 | 5 | 53:26 | 27 | 62 |
| 2 | Flamengo RJ | 29 | 18 | 7 | 4 | 56:16 | 40 | 61 |
| 3 | Cruzeiro | 30 | 16 | 9 | 5 | 42:21 | 21 | 57 |
| 4 | Mirassol | 30 | 15 | 10 | 5 | 52:31 | 21 | 55 |
| 5 | Bahia | 30 | 14 | 7 | 9 | 40:34 | 6 | 49 |
| 6 | Botafogo RJ | 30 | 13 | 8 | 9 | 41:28 | 13 | 47 |
| 7 | Fluminense | 29 | 13 | 5 | 11 | 36:35 | 1 | 44 |
| 8 | Vasco | 30 | 12 | 6 | 12 | 49:41 | 8 | 42 |
| 9 | Sao Paulo | 30 | 11 | 8 | 11 | 33:33 | 0 | 41 |
| 10 | Corinthians | 30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | 32:35 | -3 | 39 |
| 11 | Gremio | 30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | 33:38 | -5 | 39 |
| 12 | Bragantino | 30 | 10 | 6 | 14 | 34:47 | -13 | 36 |
| 13 | Atletico-MG | 29 | 9 | 9 | 11 | 27:32 | -5 | 36 |
| 14 | Ceara | 29 | 9 | 8 | 12 | 27:28 | -1 | 35 |
| 15 | Internacional | 30 | 9 | 8 | 13 | 35:43 | -8 | 35 |
| 16 | Santos | 29 | 8 | 8 | 13 | 30:42 | -12 | 32 |
| 17 | Vitoria | 30 | 7 | 10 | 13 | 27:44 | -17 | 31 |
| 18 | Fortaleza | 29 | 7 | 6 | 16 | 27:44 | -17 | 27 |
| 19 | Juventude | 30 | 7 | 5 | 18 | 24:56 | -32 | 26 |
| 20 | Sport Recife | 29 | 2 | 11 | 16 | 22:46 | -24 | 17 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )
Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet
