Result
2:1
18/03/2026 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie A Betano - Round 7
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Africa | Sporty TV, Sporty TV App, StarTimes App |
 Austria | DAZN |
 Brazil | Claro TV+, Globoplay, Premiere, Sky+, SporTV, Vivo Play, Zapping |
 Ecuador | Canal del Futbol, El Canal del Futbol app, El Canal del Futbol |
 Germany | DAZN Deutsch, Sportdigital FUSSBALL |
 Israel | Sport 1 |
 Mexico | Azteca Deportes |
 Portugal | Canal 11 |
 Russia | MATCH! Futbol 3, Match TV, Sportbox.ru |
 Spain | M+ Liga de Campeones 2, Movistar+ Vamos Bar 2 |
 Switzerland | DAZN Switzerland, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV |
 United-kingdom | Premier Sports 1, Premier Sports Player |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.71 | 0.60 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 52% | 48% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 19 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (344/401) | 83% (304/368) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.71 | 0.60 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.18 | 0.74 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 19 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 11 | 1 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 13 | 4 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 31 | 13 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 5 | 0 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (344/401) | 83% (304/368) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 57% (21/37) | 67% (39/58) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 73% (63/86) | 71% (65/92) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 36% (4/11) | 8% (1/12) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.28 | 0.40 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 25 | 16 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 13 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 59% (13/22) | 53% (10/19) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 54 | 54 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 14 | 14 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 3 | 10 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.74 | 2.18 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.26 | 0.18 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 9', 1 - 0, Allan Elias ⚽, Andreas Pereira (A),
- 45', Medina C. 🟥,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Junior Santos ↓, Rodriguez S. ↑,
- 53', 2 - 0, Arias J. ⚽, Andreas Pereira (A),
- 57', Barrera J. ↓, Villalba Jaume L. M. ↑,
- 59', 2 - 1, Danilo ⚽,
- 70', Ferraresi N. ↓, Justino G. ↑,
- 71', Bastos ↓, Artur ↑,
- 71', Mauricio ↓, Sosa R. ↑,
- 72', Lopez J. ↓, Vitor Roque ↑,
- 72', Andreas Pereira ↓, Lucas Evangelista ↑,
- 80', Matheus Martins ↓, Correa J. ↑,
- 85', Allan Elias ↓, Felipe Anderson ↑,
- 85', Arias J. ↓, Larson ↑,
- 88', Sosa R. 🟨,
- 89', Correa J. 🟨,
- 90+6', Villalba Jaume L. M. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Palmeiras
61.6% | Draw
23.3% | Botafogo RJ
15.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Palmeiras has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)Botafogo RJ has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Palmeiras than the current prediction. (+4.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Botafogo RJ than the current prediction. (-0.4%)
Palmeiras - Botafogo RJ Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.54 ↑
(1.5) |
4.08 ↓
(4.47) |
6.27 ↑
(6.15) |
5.4%
(5.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Palmeiras - Botafogo RJ?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Palmeiras (votes: 1 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -1.5 - Botafogo (1.57) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Palmeiras will win
(14 of 17 users predict this - 82.35%).
Confidence interval (95%): 64.23% – 100%.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Palmeiras (votes: 1 - 50%). Botafogo (votes: 1 - 50%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Palmeiras won 2.
- Palmeiras is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Botafogo has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Palmeiras may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, Botafogo has had a series of home games.
- In this match, Palmeiras is a strong favorite.
- There will not play in Palmeiras: Figueiredo
(Injury)
Murilo
(Inactive)
Paulinho
(Leg Injury)
Vitor Roque
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Botafogo: Allan
(Yellow Cards)
Barboza A.
(Red Card)
Kaio Pantaleao
(Inactive)
Marcal
(Knee Injury)
Ramos C.
(Knock)
Rodriguez S.
(Injury)
- We predict that Palmeiras will win today's game, with odds of 1.56.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Palmeiras won 11 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 29:18. (average 1.5:0.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Palmeiras won 6 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 15:7. (average 1.4:0.6).
How many head-to-head matches has Palmeiras won against Botafogo RJ?
Palmeiras has won 3 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Botafogo RJ won against Palmeiras?
Botafogo RJ has won 4 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Palmeiras - Botafogo RJ were as follows:
17.08.2025
Botafogo RJ
-
Palmeiras
0:1
30.03.2025
Palmeiras
-
Botafogo RJ
0:0
26.11.2024
Palmeiras
-
Botafogo RJ
1:3
21.08.2024
Palmeiras
-
Botafogo RJ
2:2
14.08.2024
Botafogo RJ
-
Palmeiras
2:1
Latest results of Palmeiras
Latest results of Botafogo RJ
Brazilian Serie A Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Palmeiras | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 21:10 | 11 | 25 |
| 2 | Sao Paulo | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 15:7 | 8 | 20 |
| 3 | Fluminense | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 17:11 | 6 | 20 |
| 4 | Flamengo RJ | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 16:9 | 7 | 17 |
| 5 | Bahia | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 13:9 | 4 | 17 |
| 6 | Athletico-PR | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 15:13 | 2 | 16 |
| 7 | Coritiba | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 11:10 | 1 | 15 |
| 8 | Atletico-MG | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 14:12 | 2 | 14 |
| 9 | Bragantino | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 10:10 | 0 | 14 |
| 10 | Botafogo RJ | 9 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 16:19 | -3 | 12 |
| 11 | Gremio | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 14:14 | 0 | 12 |
| 12 | Vasco | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 15:16 | -1 | 12 |
| 13 | Internacional | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 9:10 | -1 | 12 |
| 14 | Vitoria | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 9:14 | -5 | 11 |
| 15 | Santos | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 13:16 | -3 | 10 |
| 16 | Corinthians | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 8:11 | -3 | 10 |
| 17 | Chapecoense-SC | 9 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 10:16 | -6 | 8 |
| 18 | Remo | 10 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 10:17 | -7 | 7 |
| 19 | Cruzeiro | 10 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 12:20 | -8 | 7 |
| 20 | Mirassol | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 10:14 | -4 | 6 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )
Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet
