York City vs Carlisle United – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football English National League York City - Carlisle United
23/09/2025 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Chances of winning


York City
48.3%
Draw
25.4%
Carlisle United
26.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
50% 25.2% 24.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.9% 24.3% 23.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • York City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)
  • Carlisle United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for York City than the current prediction. (+3.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Carlisle United than the current prediction. (-2.4%)
  • York City - Carlisle United Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.91
    (1.85)
    3.63
    (3.67)
    3.58
    (3.72)
    7.8%
    (8.4%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • Preview Facts
    • The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ National League (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ National League (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).
    • Right now, both teams are showing solid form.
    • York may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, York has had a series of away games.
    • In this match, York is the team to beat.
    • In the last 4 head-to-head matches, York won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:3. (average 1.5:0.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, York won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:2. (average 1:1).
    Latest results of York City
    20.09.2025 York City - Solihull Moors 0:1
    13.09.2025 Braintree Town - York City 2:3
    09.09.2025 York City - Tamworth 4:0
    06.09.2025 Yeovil Town - York City 1:3
    25.08.2025 Woking - York City 1:1
    Latest results of Carlisle United
    English National League Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Forest Green1073018:51324
    2Carlisle1072121:71423
    3Rochdale870116:41221
    4Boreham Wood962119:11820
    5Southend953115:6918
    6Scunthorpe853015:7818
    7Tamworth1051412:14-216
    8York City843115:7815
    9Hartlepool103529:4514
    10Brackley Town93429:8113
    11Wealdstone1041516:16013
    12Aldershot1033423:19412
    13Altrincham1040614:16-212
    14FC Halifax1033412:17-512
    15Gateshead1032514:25-1111
    16Eastleigh931510:13-310
    17Yeovil1031610:15-510
    18Solihull Moors1024412:18-610
    19Braintree1031611:17-610
    20Woking1022611:15-48
    21Boston Utd92258:15-78
    22Morecambe721411:20-97
    23Sutton1012712:21-95
    24Truro101186:19-134

          Promotion ~ League Two
          Promotion ~ National League (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Promotion ~ National League (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
          Relegation