Carlisle United vs York City – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:3
21/01/2026 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • National League - Round 28
  • Where to Watch on TV:
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Match Stats

Ball possession
36%64%
Total shots
66
Shots on target
14
Corner kicks
63
Total shots
66
Shots on target
14
Shots off target
52
Corner kicks
63

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 6', 0 - 1, Stones J. , Brookes B. (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 2)
  • 67', Hayden A. , Mugabi B. ,
  • 71', Harper C. , Galvin R. ,
  • 71', Ellis J. , Armstrong L. ,
  • 75', 0 - 2, Hunt A. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 76', Brookes B. , Newby A. ,
  • 76', Hunt A. , Batty D. ,
  • 85', Howe C. , Fallowfield R. ,
  • 85', Stones J. , Banks O. ,
  • 85', Kitching M. , Williams M. ,
  • 85', Gilliead A. , Embleton E. ,
  • 90+8', 0 - 3, Newby A. ,

Chances of winning


Carlisle United
31.4%
Draw
26.9%
York City
41.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
30.5% 26.3% 43.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.9% 25.8% 44%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Carlisle United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)
  • York City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Carlisle United than the current prediction. (-1.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for York City than the current prediction. (+2.3%)
  • Carlisle United - York City Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.96
    (3.04)
    3.42
    (3.53)
    2.21
    (2.15)
    8.2%
    (7.7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
    What is the prediction for Carlisle United - York City?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • DC - York (1.36) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 3 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Users Predictions: York City will win (8 of 9 users predict this - 88.89%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 68.36%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): York City will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 4 high ROI users predict this event. York (votes: 4 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ National League (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ League Two).
    • At the moment, both teams are looking strong and ready to play.
    • York is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Carlisle won 0 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:11. (average 0.6:2.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Carlisle won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 1:4. (average 0.5:2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Carlisle United - York City were as follows:
    23.09.2025 York City - Carlisle United 5:0
    Latest results of Carlisle United
    Latest results of York City
    10.01.2026 Sutton United - York City 1:2
    30.12.2025 Altrincham - York City 1:2
    26.12.2025 York City - Boston United 2:2
    20.12.2025 York City - Truro City 4:0
    English National League Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1York City34248291:325980
    2Rochdale33254463:234079
    3Carlisle34215862:412168
    4Boreham Wood33197763:392464
    5Scunthorpe33179757:461160
    6Forest Green351611858:421659
    7Southend31157952:292352
    8FC Halifax351571353:51252
    9Hartlepool341312942:37551
    10Boston Utd3511101446:51-543
    11Solihull Moors331191355:51442
    12Aldershot331261560:61-142
    13Tamworth331191342:52-1042
    14Wealdstone321091338:51-1339
    15Eastleigh341091543:58-1539
    16Woking311081341:38338
    17Yeovil331151735:47-1238
    18Altrincham341141939:54-1537
    19Brackley Town32991428:42-1436
    20Sutton338111446:54-835
    21Braintree34791824:49-2530
    22Morecambe34691946:74-2827
    23Gateshead32752039:74-3526
    24Truro33662131:58-2724

          Promotion ~ League Two
          Promotion ~ National League (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Promotion ~ National League (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
          Relegation