Châteauroux vs Caen – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football French National League Châteauroux - Caen
26/09/2025 at 13:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Chances of winning


Châteauroux
28.2%
Draw
28.5%
Caen
43.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
28.1% 28.4% 43.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.7% 27.9% 44.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Châteauroux has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)
  • The chances for Caen have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Châteauroux than the current prediction. (-0.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Caen than the current prediction. (+0.7%)
  • Châteauroux - Caen Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.28
    (3.31)
    3.25
    (3.28)
    2.13
    (2.15)
    8.1%
    (7.4%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • Preview Facts
    • Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 9 and 5).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Châteauroux won 1.
    • Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
    • Caen could have a small edge in this match.
    • In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Châteauroux won 1 match, drew 5 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 9:11. (average 1.1:1.4).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Châteauroux won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:7. (average 1.5:1.8).
    Latest results of Châteauroux
    Latest results of Caen
    19.09.2025 Caen - Valenciennes 0:0
    12.09.2025 Sochaux - Caen 1:1
    05.09.2025 Caen - Dijon 0:0
    29.08.2025 Fleury-Merogis - Caen 1:2
    22.08.2025 Caen - Versailles 0:2
    French National League Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Rouen742112:6614
    2Versailles541010:2813
    3Sochaux741213:6713
    4Dijon62407:4310
    5Caen72417:5210
    6Fleury-Merogis63129:4510
    7Orleans73136:10-410
    8Aubagne62317:709
    9Chateauroux71519:908
    10Valenciennes72237:8-18
    11Concarneau62226:7-18
    12Villefranche62224:7-38
    13Paris 13 Atl72147:11-47
    14Le Puy-en-Velay71337:11-46
    15Stade Briochin71246:12-65
    16Quevilly Rouen61147:9-24
    17Bourg en Bresse60333:9-63

          Promotion ~ Ligue 2
          Promotion ~ Ligue 2 (Promotion: )
          Relegation