Result
28/09/2025 at 13:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
Chances of winning
Union Berlin
46.3% | Draw
27.6% | Hamburger SV
26.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Union Berlin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)Hamburger SV has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Union Berlin than the current prediction. (-1.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hamburger SV than the current prediction. (+1.3%)
Union Berlin - Hamburger SV Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.04 ↓
(2.04) |
3.5
(3.5) |
3.59 ↓
(3.63) |
5.4%
(5.1%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
Preview Facts
- Union Berlin has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Hamburg is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Union Berlin is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Union Berlin won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:2. (average 2:1).
- Including home match between the teams, Union Berlin won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.
How many head-to-head matches has Union Berlin won against Hamburger SV?
Union Berlin has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Hamburger SV won against Union Berlin?
Hamburger SV has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Union Berlin - Hamburger SV were as follows:
Latest results of Union Berlin
Latest results of Hamburger SV
German Bundesliga Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Bayern Munich | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 14:2 | 12 | 9 |
| 2 | Dortmund | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 8:3 | 5 | 7 |
| 3 | FC Koln | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 8:4 | 4 | 7 |
| 4 | St. Pauli | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7:6 | 1 | 7 |
| 5 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8:5 | 3 | 6 |
| 6 | Hoffenheim | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7:6 | 1 | 6 |
| 7 | Stuttgart | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5:5 | 0 | 6 |
| 8 | RB Leipzig | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3:6 | -3 | 6 |
| 9 | Wolfsburg | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 7:5 | 2 | 5 |
| 10 | Werder Bremen | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 8:7 | 1 | 4 |
| 11 | Bayer Leverkusen | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 7:6 | 1 | 4 |
| 12 | Augsburg | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6:6 | 0 | 3 |
| 13 | Freiburg | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5:8 | -3 | 3 |
| 14 | Union Berlin | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4:8 | -4 | 3 |
| 15 | Mainz | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1:3 | -2 | 1 |
| 16 | B. Monchengladbach | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0:5 | -5 | 1 |
| 17 | Hamburger SV | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0:7 | -7 | 1 |
| 18 | Heidenheim | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1:7 | -6 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Bundesliga (Relegation)
Relegation ~ 2. Bundesliga
