Ciudad de Bolívar vs General San Martín de Formosa – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
4:1
28/09/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Torneo Federal - Play Offs - Quarter-finals

Match Stats

Ball Possession
47%53%
Total shots
172
Shots on target
140
Corner Kicks
120
Yellow Cards
24
Red Cards
01
Total shots
172
Shots on target
140
Shots off target
32
Corner Kicks
120

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 1)
  • 5', Bobadilla M. 🟨,
  • 12', 1 - 0, Caraballo K. (Pen),
  • 13', Tapia R. 🟨,
  • 14', Brienzo N. 🟨,
  • 15', 2 - 0, Duarte B. ,
  • 22', 2 - 1, Tapia R. ,
  • 27', Leiva D. 🟨,
  • 32', Vicedo M. 🟥,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 48', (Pen),
  • 57', Schonfeld G. 🟨,
  • 76', Diaz A. 🟨,
  • 79', 3 - 1, Maciel J. ,
  • 89', 4 - 1, Diaz A. ,

Chances of winning


Ciudad de Bolívar
73.8%
Draw
18.4%
General San Martín de Formosa
7.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
64.4% 22.7% 13%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66.7% 21.9% 12.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Ciudad de Bolívar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Ciudad de Bolívar's performance.
  • General San Martín de Formosa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and General San Martín de Formosa might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ciudad de Bolívar than the current prediction. (-7.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Ciudad de Bolívar that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for General San Martín de Formosa than the current prediction. (+4.8%)
  • Ciudad de Bolívar - General San Martín de Formosa Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.34
    (1.41)
    5.37
    (4)
    12.65
    (7)
    1.3%
    (10.2%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    What is the prediction for Ciudad de Bolívar - General San Martín de Formosa?
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Ciudad de Bolívar (votes: 2 - 50%). Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • 1X2, 1st Half - Ciudad de Bolívar (2.02) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Ciudad de Bolívar (votes: 3 - 60%). Tie (votes: 2 - 40%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • 1st leg result: 1-0. 2nd leg.
    • This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Federal (Play Offs: ) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Federal (Play Offs: )).
    • Ciudad de Bolívar is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • San Martín Formosa has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • In this match, Ciudad de Bolívar is the obvious favorite.
    • We predict that Ciudad de Bolívar will win today's game, with odds of 1.39.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Ciudad de Bolívar won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Ciudad de Bolívar - General San Martín de Formosa were as follows:
    21.09.2025 General San Martín de Formosa - Ciudad de Bolívar 0:1
    Argentinian Torneo Federal Table
    2026

    Group 1
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Douglas Haig44009:4512
    2Independiente Chivilcoy43018:449
    3Defensores Belgrano VR42118:627
    49 de Julio Rafaela42118:717
    5Sportivo Belgrano41304:136
    6El Linqueno42024:5-16
    7Chivilcoy41122:5-34
    8Sportivo Las Parejas40222:4-22
    9Gimnasia E.R40132:6-41
    10Atletico Escobar40134:9-51


    Group 2
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Juventud Antoniana32105:237
    2Defensores de Vilelas32016:426
    3Tucuman Central32013:126
    4Bartolome Mitre41211:105
    5Sol de America31112:204
    6Boca Unidos41126:7-14
    7San Martin Formosa31113:4-14
    8Sarmiento Resistencia30212:4-22
    9Sarmiento de La Banda40222:5-32


    Group 3
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Costa Brava41305:236
    2Juventud U.U41303:126
    3Deportivo Rincon31204:225
    4Cipolletti41216:515
    5Biblioteca Atenas31113:214
    6San Martin Mendoza31111:3-24
    7Huracan Las Heras40311:3-23
    8Argentino MM40310:2-23
    9Fundacion Amigos30212:5-32


    Group 4
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Olimpo Bahia Blanca33005:059
    2Kimberley41301:016
    3Santamarina41216:425
    4Sol de Mayo41213:215
    5Germinal41213:305
    6Alvarado41212:205
    7Villa Mitre31022:203
    8Circulo Deportivo31022:7-53
    9Guillermo Brown30122:6-41

          Promotion ~ Torneo Federal (Winners stage: )
          Torneo Federal (Losers stage: )