Ciudad de Bolívar vs General San Martín de Formosa – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
4:1
28/09/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Torneo Federal - Play Offs - Quarter-finals

Match Stats

Ball Possession
47%53%
Total shots
172
Shots on target
140
Corner Kicks
120
Yellow Cards
24
Red Cards
01
Total shots
172
Shots on target
140
Shots off target
32
Corner Kicks
120

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 1)
  • 5', Bobadilla M. 🟨,
  • 12', 1 - 0, Caraballo K. (Pen),
  • 13', Tapia R. 🟨,
  • 14', Brienzo N. 🟨,
  • 15', 2 - 0, Duarte B. ,
  • 22', 2 - 1, Tapia R. ,
  • 27', Leiva D. 🟨,
  • 32', Vicedo M. 🟥,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 48', (Pen),
  • 57', Schonfeld G. 🟨,
  • 76', Diaz A. 🟨,
  • 79', 3 - 1, Maciel J. ,
  • 89', 4 - 1, Diaz A. ,

Chances of winning


Ciudad de Bolívar
73.8%
Draw
18.4%
General San Martín de Formosa
7.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
64.4% 22.7% 13%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66.7% 21.9% 12.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Ciudad de Bolívar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Ciudad de Bolívar's performance.
  • General San Martín de Formosa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and General San Martín de Formosa might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ciudad de Bolívar than the current prediction. (-7.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Ciudad de Bolívar that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for General San Martín de Formosa than the current prediction. (+4.8%)
  • Ciudad de Bolívar - General San Martín de Formosa Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.34
    (1.41)
    5.37
    (4)
    12.65
    (7)
    1.3%
    (10.2%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    What is the prediction for Ciudad de Bolívar - General San Martín de Formosa?
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Ciudad de Bolívar (votes: 2 - 50%). Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • 1X2, 1st Half - Ciudad de Bolívar (2.02) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Ciudad de Bolívar (votes: 3 - 60%). Tie (votes: 2 - 40%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • 1st leg result: 1-0. 2nd leg.
    • This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Federal (Play Offs: ) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Federal (Play Offs: )).
    • Ciudad de Bolívar is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • San Martín Formosa has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • In this match, Ciudad de Bolívar is the obvious favorite.
    • We predict that Ciudad de Bolívar will win today's game, with odds of 1.39.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Ciudad de Bolívar won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Ciudad de Bolívar - General San Martín de Formosa were as follows:
    21.09.2025 General San Martín de Formosa - Ciudad de Bolívar 0:1
    Argentinian Torneo Federal Table
    2026

    Group 1
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Douglas Haig660011:4718
    2Defensores Belgrano VR632111:7411
    3Sportivo Belgrano72418:3510
    49 de Julio Rafaela631211:8310
    5Independiente Chivilcoy73139:9010
    6Chivilcoy63125:5010
    7El Linqueno62135:9-47
    8Sportivo Las Parejas61234:7-35
    9Atletico Escobar61146:12-64
    10Gimnasia E.R60154:10-61


    Group 2
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Juventud Antoniana53117:4310
    2Bartolome Mitre62313:219
    3San Martin Formosa52215:508
    4Boca Unidos52129:817
    5Defensores de Vilelas62139:907
    6Tucuman Central52125:507
    7Sol de America52124:407
    8Sarmiento Resistencia60516:8-25
    9Sarmiento de La Banda50322:5-33


    Group 3
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Cipolletti632110:7311
    2Biblioteca Atenas53117:3410
    3Juventud U.U62317:439
    4Huracan Las Heras62314:409
    5Costa Brava71426:517
    6Argentino MM51312:3-16
    7Deportivo Rincon51226:7-15
    8San Martin Mendoza51221:4-35
    9Fundacion Amigos50234:10-62


    Group 4
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Olimpo Bahia Blanca55007:0715
    2Kimberley72415:4110
    3Sol de Mayo62314:229
    4Alvarado62314:319
    5Santamarina61416:427
    6Germinal51313:306
    7Villa Mitre51223:305
    8Circulo Deportivo61143:10-74
    9Guillermo Brown60246:12-62

          Promotion ~ Torneo Federal (Winners stage: )
          Torneo Federal (Losers stage: )