Leonesa vs Valladolid – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:0
04/04/2026 at 12:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • LaLiga2 - Round 34
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDirecTV Sports, DSports 7
chileChileDirecTV Sports
ecuadorEcuadorDirecTV Sports, DSports 7
mexicoMexicoIzzi TV, Sky Sport
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaDirecTV Sports Caribbean, Sky Sports Norte
peruPeruDirecTV Sports
south-americaSouth-americaDGO Latin America
spainSpainDAZN Espana, LaLiga Hypermotion 2, LaLiga Hypermotion, Movistar Plus+
uruguayUruguayDirecTV Sports, DSports 7
venezuelaVenezuelaDirecTV Sports, Inter

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
0.820.15
Ball possession
44%56%
Total shots
74
Shots on target
32
Big chances
20
Corner kicks
32
Passes
84% (334/400)88% (440/500)
Yellow cards
63
Expected goals (xG)
0.820.15
xG on target (xGOT)
1.440.43
Total shots
74
Shots on target
32
Shots off target
42
Blocked shots
00
Shots inside the box
53
Shots outside the box
21
Hit the woodwork
10
Big chances
20
Corner kicks
32
Touches in opposition box
1311
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
02
Free kicks
1216
Passes
84% (334/400)88% (440/500)
Long passes
38% (21/55)60% (33/55)
Passes in final third
66% (59/90)74% (87/118)
Crosses
27% (3/11)14% (3/22)
Expected assists (xA)
0.630.34
Throw ins
1516
Fouls
1612
Tackles
93% (13/14)71% (10/14)
Duels won
4345
Clearances
163
Interceptions
612
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
22
xGOT faced
0.431.44
Goals prevented
0.430.44

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 17', Maestre S. 🟨,
  • 19', Juric S. 🟨,
  • 21', Barzic M. 🟨,
  • 29', 1 - 0, Chacon L. , Garcia V. (A),
  • 34', Ribeiro L. , Collado D. ,
  • 37', Clerc C. 🟨,
  • 45+1', Al Amin H. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 51', Canos S. , Biuk S. ,
  • 53', Calero I. 🟨,
  • 63', Tresaco R. , Hinojo R. ,
  • 63', Maestre S. , Bicho ,
  • 66', Latasa J. , Marcos Andre ,
  • 66', Peter Federico , Ohio N. ,
  • 75', Juric S. , Meseguer Cavas V. A. ,
  • 75', Michelin C. , Alejo I. ,
  • 78', de la Barrera R. 🟨,
  • 78', Ponceau J. 🟨,
  • 89', Collado D. , Diallo Selu M. ,
  • 89', Al Amin H. , Sobrino R. ,
  • 90+2', Badia E. 🟨,

Highlights

https://tinyurl.com/3u277a6b

Chances of winning


Leonesa
34.2%
Draw
28.7%
Valladolid
37%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
37.3% 28.5% 34.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.1% 30.7% 31.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Leonesa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)
  • Valladolid has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leonesa than the current prediction. (+5.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Leonesa, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Valladolid than the current prediction. (-5.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Valladolid, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Leonesa - Valladolid Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.74
    (2.53)
    3.27
    (3.31)
    2.56
    (2.76)
    6.1%
    (6%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Leonesa - Valladolid?
  • Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Valladolid will win (votes: 7 - 77.8%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 22.2%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Valladolid: 50.6%100%.
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Valladolid (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 22 in the zone Relegation and 17).
    • Leonesa is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • In recent matches, Valladolid has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Leonesa may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
    • There will not play in Valladolid: Bueno G. (Knee Injury) Garriel I. (Knee Injury) Guilherme Fernandes (Muscle Injury) Ndiaye A. (Leg Injury)
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Leonesa won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 7:12. (average 1.4:2.4).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Leonesa won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:9. (average 1.3:3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Leonesa - Valladolid were as follows:
    28.09.2025 Valladolid - Leonesa 0:1
    Latest results of Leonesa
    01.04.2026 Huesca - Leonesa 1:1
    29.03.2026 Leonesa - FC Andorra 0:4
    23.03.2026 Castellón - Leonesa 1:1
    14.03.2026 Leonesa - Racing Santander 1:2
    09.03.2026 Almería - Leonesa 3:0
    Latest results of Valladolid
    31.03.2026 Valladolid - Cádiz 3:0
    28.03.2026 Valladolid - Burgos 0:1
    22.03.2026 Mirandés - Valladolid 2:1
    14.03.2026 Valladolid - Leganés 3:2
    07.03.2026 Málaga - Valladolid 3:3
    Spanish LaLiga2 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Racing Santander352051072:541865
    2Dep. La Coruna351710853:381561
    3Almeria351871067:521561
    4Malaga35179958:411760
    5Burgos CF35179942:291360
    6Castellon351610958:431558
    7Las Palmas351512845:301557
    8Eibar3515101040:31955
    9Andorra3513101251:47449
    10Gijon351471445:44149
    11Ceuta351471442:55-1349
    12Cordoba351391347:52-548
    13Granada CF3511121244:41345
    14Albacete3511111344:47-344
    15Leganes3510121340:38242
    16Real Sociedad B351181645:50-541
    17Valladolid3510101539:47-840
    18Cadiz CF351081733:48-1538
    19Zaragoza358101731:47-1634
    20Huesca35891835:53-1833
    21Mirandes35891837:56-1933
    22Cultural Leonesa35881931:56-2532

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