Valladolid vs Burgos – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

28/03/2026 at 11:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Estadio José Zorrilla (Valladolid).

LaLiga2 - Round 32
Referee: Etayo G. (Esp)
Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+
Brazil	Disney+
Malta	GO TV, TSN Malta 6
Mexico	Izzi TV, Sky Sport
North-central-america	Sky Sports Norte
Peru	Disney+
Spain	DAZN Espana, LaLiga Hypermotion
Uruguay	Disney+
Venezuela	Disney+

Match Stats


Expected goals (xG)
1.40	1.06
Ball possession
54%	46%
Total shots
11	7
Shots on target
4	2
Big chances
3	1
Corner kicks
6	1
Passes
83% (405/490)	80% (345/431)
Yellow cards
1	5
Expected goals (xG)
1.40	1.06
xG on target (xGOT)
1.32	0.68
Total shots
11	7
Shots on target
4	2
Shots off target
5	1
Blocked shots
2	4
Shots inside the box
6	5
Shots outside the box
5	2
Hit the woodwork
1	0
Big chances
3	1
Corner kicks
6	1
Touches in opposition box
15	9
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
1	2
Free kicks
12	17
Passes
83% (405/490)	80% (345/431)
Long passes
32% (13/41)	46% (31/68)
Passes in final third
61% (70/115)	54% (45/84)
Crosses
24% (7/29)	67% (4/6)
Expected assists (xA)
0.69	0.18
Throw ins
23	16
Fouls
17	12
Tackles
71% (10/14)	80% (8/10)
Duels won
44	44
Clearances
8	31
Interceptions
6	11
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper saves
1	4
xGOT faced
0.68	1.32
Goals prevented
-0.32	1.32

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 0)
11', Juric S. 🟨,
14', Atienza M. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
61', Erlien V. ↓, Alejo I. ↑,
63', Nino F. 🟨,
68', Lizancos A. 🟨,
69', Nino F. ↓, Gonzalez M. ↑,
69', Curro ↓, Mollejo V. ↑,
81', Gonzalez S. ↓, Luengo O. ↑,
81', Cordoba I. ↓, Martinez B. ↑,
82', Canos S. ↓, Biuk S. ↑,
83', Chuki ↓, Ohio N. ↑,
85', Gonzalez Ballesteros D. 🟨,
90+3', 0 - 1, Gonzalez Ballesteros D. (Penalty Awarded),
90+4', Gonzalez M. 🟨,
90+5', Gonzalez Ballesteros D. ↓, Bunuel A. ↑,

Highlights

https://tinyurl.com/ka6n5ryx

Chances of winning

Valladolid
41.3%

Draw
30.8%

Burgos
28%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.3%

30.5%

27.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43%

30%

26.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Valladolid has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

Burgos has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Valladolid than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Burgos than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

Valladolid - Burgos Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.29 ↑ (2.23)	3.04 ↓ (3.08)	3.37 ↓ (3.46)	6.2% (6.3%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

What is the prediction for Valladolid - Burgos?

Users Predictions: 25 users predict this event. Valladolid will win (votes: 11 - 44%). Burgos will win (votes: 8 - 32%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 24%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Valladolid: 24.5% – 63.5%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.

Preview Facts

Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 18 and 7).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Valladolid won 2.
Valladolid has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Burgos is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
Valladolid could have a small edge in this match.
There will not play in Valladolid: Bueno G. (Injury) Garriel I. (Injury) Marcos Andre (Knee Injury) Ndiaye A. (Leg Injury) Peter Federico (Yellow Cards)
There are questionable in Valladolid: Guilherme Fernandes (Injury)
There are questionable in Burgos: Sierra G. (Broken nose)
In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Valladolid won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 14:8. (average 1.6:0.9).
Including home matches between the teams, Valladolid won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 11:2. (average 2.8:0.5).

How many head-to-head matches has Valladolid won against Burgos?

Valladolid has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Burgos won against Valladolid?

Burgos has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Valladolid - Burgos were as follows:

12.10.2025 Burgos - Valladolid 0:1

09.08.2025 Burgos - Valladolid 2:2

27.07.2024 Valladolid - Burgos 1:1

13.01.2024 Burgos - Valladolid 1:0

01.10.2023 Valladolid - Burgos 3:0

Latest results of Valladolid

22.03.2026 Mirandés - Valladolid 2:1 ✺

14.03.2026 Valladolid - Leganés 3:2 ✺

07.03.2026 Málaga - Valladolid 3:3 ✺

28.02.2026 Valladolid - Huesca 1:0 ✺

22.02.2026 Sporting de Gijón - Valladolid 2:2 ✺

Latest results of Burgos

22.03.2026 Burgos - Córdoba 4:0 ✺

15.03.2026 Eibar - Burgos 0:0 ✺

07.03.2026 Burgos - Mirandés 2:0 ✺

28.02.2026 Zaragoza - Burgos 0:1 ✺

22.02.2026 Racing Santander - Burgos 1:0 ✺

Spanish LaLiga2 Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Racing Santander	38	22	6	10	79:57	22	72
2	Dep. La Coruna	38	19	11	8	59:41	18	68
3	Almeria	37	20	7	10	74:56	18	67
4	Castellon	38	18	10	10	65:48	17	64
5	Malaga	38	18	9	11	66:49	17	63
6	Las Palmas	37	17	12	8	49:31	18	63
7	Burgos CF	37	17	10	10	44:33	11	61
8	Eibar	38	17	10	11	47:36	11	61
9	Cordoba	38	16	9	13	54:56	-2	57
10	Andorra	38	15	10	13	56:48	8	55
11	Ceuta	38	15	9	14	46:58	-12	54
12	Gijon	38	15	7	16	51:49	2	52
13	Albacete	38	13	11	14	49:51	-2	50
14	Granada CF	38	12	12	14	48:49	-1	48
15	Valladolid	37	11	10	16	40:48	-8	43
16	Leganes	38	10	12	16	41:46	-5	42
17	Real Sociedad B	37	11	8	18	46:54	-8	41
18	Cadiz CF	38	10	9	19	36:55	-19	39
19	Mirandes	37	9	9	19	40:60	-20	36
20	Huesca	38	9	9	20	39:59	-20	36
21	Zaragoza	38	8	11	19	33:51	-18	35
22	Cultural Leonesa	38	8	9	21	35:62	-27	33

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