Wieczysta Kraków vs Ruch Chorzów – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
4:2
28/09/2025 at 08:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Division 1 - Round 11
  • Referee: Sulikowski D. (Pol)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
polandPolandsport.tvp.pl, TVP Polonia, TVP Sport app

Match Stats

Ball Possession
48%52%
Total shots
1217
Shots on target
67
Corner Kicks
35
Yellow Cards
42
Total shots
1217
Shots on target
67
Shots off target
610
Corner Kicks
35
Offsides
00
Free Kicks
1612
Throw-ins
2115
Fouls
1216

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 6', 0 - 1, Lesniak-Paduch N. , Ventura D. (A),
  • 18', 1 - 1, Feiertag S. , Semedo L. (A),
  • 30', Semedo L. 🟨,
  • 45', Ventura D. 🟨,
  • 45+2', Dankowski K. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (3 - 1)
  • 48', 1 - 2, Kolar M. , Ventura D. (A),
  • 59', Donkor J. , Villar Miki ,
  • 59', Gajos M. , Lysiak P. ,
  • 61', Pazdan M. , Pietrzak R. ,
  • 64', 2 - 2, Feiertag S. , Pusic P. (A),
  • 68', Feiertag S. 🟨,
  • 72', Lesniak-Paduch N. 🟨,
  • 78', 3 - 2, Lysiak P. , Semedo L. (A),
  • 80', Feiertag S. , Rafa Lopes ,
  • 80', Pusic P. , Goralski J. ,
  • 83', Ceglarz P. , Nono ,
  • 86', Mikulko A. 🟨,
  • 88', 4 - 2, Rafa Lopes ,
  • 89', Ventura D. , Szwoch M. ,
  • 89', Szwedzik P. , Lachendro F. ,

Chances of winning


Wieczysta Kraków
45.1%
Draw
28.2%
Ruch Chorzów
26.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
51.6% 26.6% 21.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.3% 28% 20.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Wieczysta Kraków has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Wieczysta Kraków's form might have worsened.
  • Ruch Chorzów has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Wieczysta Kraków than the current prediction. (+9.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Wieczysta Kraków, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ruch Chorzów than the current prediction. (-6%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Ruch Chorzów, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Wieczysta Kraków - Ruch Chorzów Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.44
    (1.73)
    3.67
    (3.36)
    3.85
    (4.1)
    -5.8%
    (12%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    What is the prediction for Wieczysta Kraków - Ruch Chorzów?
  • Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Wieczysta will win (votes: 2 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Wieczysta (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Playing home matches at a different stadium - ArcelorMittal Park.
    • The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Division 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Division 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)).
    • Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
    • Ruch Chorzów may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Wieczysta is considered a favorite.
    • In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.
    Latest results of Wieczysta Kraków
    Latest results of Ruch Chorzów
    Polish Division 1 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Wisla25157357:243352
    2Slask Wroclaw25127649:391043
    3Grodzisk M25119544:35942
    4Chrobry Glogow25125836:241241
    5Wieczysta Krakow24117651:351640
    6Polonia Warszawa25117741:36540
    7Ruch Chorzow25117738:34440
    8Legnica25115943:43038
    9LKS Lodz25107836:36037
    10S. Rzeszow25106937:39-236
    11Polonia Bytom24105938:31735
    12Puszcza25810734:31334
    13Odra Opole2579925:32-730
    14Pogon Siedlce2579926:28-230
    15Stal Mielec25551532:50-1820
    16Pruszkow25551526:49-2320
    17Leczna252111227:46-1917
    18Tychy25351730:58-2814

          Promotion ~ Ekstraklasa
          Promotion ~ Division 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation ~ Division 2