Result
2:1
14/03/2026 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Division 1 - Round 25
- Referee: Lezny S. (Pol)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Poland | sport.tvp.pl, TVP 3, TVP Sport app |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 54% | 46% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 10 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 18 | 24 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 9 | 9 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 2', 0 - 1, Kruszelnicki P. ⚽,
- 11', 1 - 1, Nagamatsu S. ⚽,
- 32', Szczepan D. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 49', 2 - 1, Ventura D. ⚽,
- 60', Fucak K. 🟨,
- 62', Bukowski A. ↓, Domanski M. ↑,
- 71', Szczepan D. ↓, Kolar M. ↑,
- 74', Nunez C. ↓, Tsykalo Y. ↑,
- 75', Puerto I. 🟨,
- 78', Cybulski K. ↓, Kowalski J. ↑,
- 78', Kruszelnicki P. ↓, Gerbowski F. ↑,
- 83', Nagamatsu S. ↓, Ceglarz P. ↑,
- 83', Ventura D. ↓, Szwoch M. ↑,
- 87', Karasinski S. ↓, Preisler D. ↑,
- 87', Szwedzik P. ↓, Rosol M. ↑,
Chances of winning
Ruch Chorzów
47.3% | Draw
26% | Stal Mielec
26.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ruch Chorzów has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)Stal Mielec has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ruch Chorzów than the current prediction. (+1.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stal Mielec than the current prediction. (+0.6%)
Ruch Chorzów - Stal Mielec Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.97 ↓
(1.98) |
3.6 ↓
(3.69) |
3.45 ↑
(3.2) |
7.5%
(9.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Ruch Chorzów - Stal Mielec?
Users Predictions:
Ruch Chorzów will win
(6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.78% – 100%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Ruch Chorzów will win (2 of 2 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 8 and 15).
- The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
- Ruch Chorzów may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Ruch Chorzów is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ruch Chorzów won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 5:9. (average 1:1.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Ruch Chorzów won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3. (average 1:1.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Ruch Chorzów won against Stal Mielec?
Ruch Chorzów has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Stal Mielec won against Ruch Chorzów?
Stal Mielec has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Ruch Chorzów - Stal Mielec were as follows:
31.08.2025
Stal Mielec
-
Ruch Chorzów
2:2
10.03.2024
Stal Mielec
-
Ruch Chorzów
3:1
01.09.2023
Ruch Chorzów
-
Stal Mielec
1:1
Latest results of Ruch Chorzów
Latest results of Stal Mielec
Polish Division 1 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Wisla | 28 | 16 | 9 | 3 | 62:28 | 34 | 57 |
| 2 | Slask Wroclaw | 28 | 14 | 8 | 6 | 55:40 | 15 | 50 |
| 3 | Chrobry Glogow | 28 | 13 | 6 | 9 | 39:27 | 12 | 45 |
| 4 | Wieczysta Krakow | 27 | 12 | 7 | 8 | 54:40 | 14 | 43 |
| 5 | Legnica | 28 | 12 | 7 | 9 | 47:46 | 1 | 43 |
| 6 | Grodzisk M | 27 | 11 | 9 | 7 | 45:40 | 5 | 42 |
| 7 | Ruch Chorzow | 28 | 11 | 9 | 8 | 41:39 | 2 | 42 |
| 8 | LKS Lodz | 27 | 11 | 8 | 8 | 40:38 | 2 | 41 |
| 9 | Polonia Warszawa | 28 | 11 | 8 | 9 | 43:43 | 0 | 41 |
| 10 | S. Rzeszow | 28 | 11 | 6 | 11 | 41:45 | -4 | 39 |
| 11 | Polonia Bytom | 27 | 10 | 8 | 9 | 41:34 | 7 | 38 |
| 12 | Puszcza | 28 | 9 | 11 | 8 | 37:34 | 3 | 38 |
| 13 | Odra Opole | 28 | 9 | 10 | 9 | 28:33 | -5 | 37 |
| 14 | Pogon Siedlce | 28 | 7 | 9 | 12 | 27:32 | -5 | 30 |
| 15 | Stal Mielec | 28 | 8 | 5 | 15 | 40:53 | -13 | 29 |
| 16 | Leczna | 28 | 4 | 11 | 13 | 33:49 | -16 | 23 |
| 17 | Pruszkow | 28 | 6 | 5 | 17 | 30:54 | -24 | 23 |
| 18 | Tychy | 28 | 4 | 6 | 18 | 32:60 | -28 | 18 |
Promotion ~ Ekstraklasa
Promotion ~ Division 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation ~ Division 2
