Result
0:1
29/09/2025 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- LaLiga2 - Round 7
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
---|
Argentina | DirecTV Sports, Dsports 9 |
Australia | Amazon Prime Video, beIN Connect |
Austria | DAZN |
Bulgaria | Max Sport 2 |
Chile | DirecTV Sports |
Croatia | Arena Sport 6, MAXtv To Go |
Czech-republic | Nova Sport 3, Oneplay |
Ecuador | DirecTV Sports, DSports 9 |
Germany | Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Deutsch |
Greece | Nova Sports Start |
Indonesia | beIN Connect, Vidio |
Japan | DAZN Japan |
Laos | beIN Connect |
Malaysia | beIN Sports 3, Sooka |
Mexico | Sky Sport |
New-zealand | beIN Connect |
North-central-america | DirecTV Sports Caribbean, Sky Sports Norte |
Peru | DirecTV Sports, DSports 9 |
Philippines | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3 |
Portugal | DAZN 3, DAZN / App |
Romania | Prima Sport PPV 1 |
Serbia | Arena Sport 1x2 |
Singapore | beIN Sports 3 |
Slovakia | Voyo |
South-america | DGO Latin America |
Spain | DAZN Espana, LaLiga Hypermotion |
Thailand | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3 |
Turkey | S Sport+ |
Uruguay | DirecTV Sports |
Venezuela | DirecTV Sports, Inter |
Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
0.38 | 0.56 |
Ball Possession |
---|
58% | 42% |
Total shots |
---|
7 | 10 |
Shots on target |
---|
0 | 1 |
Big Chances |
---|
0 | 2 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
6 | 2 |
Passes |
---|
78% (325/417) | 71% (228/322) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
3 | 2 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
0.38 | 0.56 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
0.00 | 0.76 |
Total shots |
---|
7 | 10 |
Shots on target |
---|
0 | 1 |
Shots off target |
---|
4 | 5 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
3 | 4 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
6 | 5 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
1 | 5 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
0 | 0 |
Big Chances |
---|
0 | 2 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
6 | 2 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
20 | 24 |
Accurate through passes |
---|
0 | 1 |
Offsides |
---|
1 | 0 |
Free Kicks |
---|
20 | 18 |
Passes |
---|
78% (325/417) | 71% (228/322) |
Long passes |
---|
31% (18/58) | 33% (20/61) |
Passes in final third |
---|
48% (39/81) | 52% (55/106) |
Crosses |
---|
24% (7/29) | 14% (1/7) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
0.49 | 0.51 |
Throw-ins |
---|
35 | 15 |
Fouls |
---|
18 | 20 |
Tackles |
---|
21% (3/14) | 65% (13/20) |
Duels won |
---|
61 | 67 |
Clearances |
---|
24 | 45 |
Interceptions |
---|
7 | 14 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
3 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
0 | 1 |
xGOT faced |
---|
0.76 | 0.00 |
Goals prevented |
---|
-0.24 | 0.00 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 4', Doue M. 🟨,
- 21', Diawara A. 🟨,
- 31', 0 - 1, Cipenga B. ⚽,
- 40', Brignani F. ↓, Ruiz S. ↑,
- 44', Aguilar Lopez G. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Duk ↓, Franquesa E. ↑,
- 50', Millan A. 🟨,
- 60', Melero G. ↓, Lopez R. ↑,
- 60', Millan A. ↓, Guirao C. ↑,
- 69', Ronaldo ↓, Barri ↑,
- 69', Jakobsen A. ↓, Camara O. ↑,
- 75', Garcia N. ↓, Pauwels B. ↑,
- 81', Mamah K. ↓, Mabil A. ↑,
- 81', Cruz J. ↓, Garcia D. ↑,
- 81', Doue M. ↓, Gerenabarrena B. ↑,
- 83', Mellot J. 🟨,
Highlights
https://tinyurl.com/2swhtem8
Chances of winning
Leganés 39.7% | Draw 28.2% | Castellón 32.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Leganés has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)Castellón has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leganés than the current prediction. (+4.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Castellón than the current prediction. (-2.2%)
Leganés - Castellón Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.37 ↑ (2.12) |
3.36 ↓ (3.53) |
2.97 ↓ (3.08) |
5.7% (8%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Leganés - Castellón?
Users Predictions:
19 users predict this event. Leganés will win (votes: 11 - 57.9%). Castellón will win (votes: 3 - 15.8%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 26.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Leganés: 35.7% – 80.1%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Leganés (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 15 and 21 in the zone Relegation).
- Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
- Leganés is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Leganés: Cisse S.
(Red Card)
Pulido R.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Castellón: Aurelio D.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Castellón: Camara O.
(Inactive)
- In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Leganés won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2. (average 0:1).
- Including home match between the teams, Leganés won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.
How many head-to-head matches has Leganés won against Castellón?
Leganés has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Castellón won against Leganés?
Castellón has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Leganés - Castellón were as follows:
Latest results of Leganés
Latest results of Castellón
Spanish LaLiga2 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Dep. La Coruna | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 16:5 | 11 | 15 |
2 | Cadiz CF | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 9:5 | 4 | 15 |
3 | Andorra | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 12:8 | 4 | 14 |
4 | Racing Santander | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 18:14 | 4 | 13 |
5 | Burgos CF | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 12:7 | 5 | 12 |
6 | Eibar | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 10:6 | 4 | 11 |
7 | Valladolid | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 8:5 | 3 | 11 |
8 | Las Palmas | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 7:5 | 2 | 11 |
9 | Almeria | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 13:13 | 0 | 11 |
10 | Huesca | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 6:9 | -3 | 10 |
11 | Gijon | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 10:11 | -1 | 9 |
12 | Castellon | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 10:11 | -1 | 8 |
13 | Malaga | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 6:7 | -1 | 8 |
14 | Albacete | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 14:16 | -2 | 8 |
15 | Ceuta | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 7:12 | -5 | 8 |
16 | Leganes | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 6:6 | 0 | 7 |
17 | Mirandes | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 8:11 | -3 | 7 |
18 | Cultural Leonesa | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 7:12 | -5 | 7 |
19 | Real Sociedad B | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 9:11 | -2 | 6 |
20 | Zaragoza | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 4:7 | -3 | 6 |
21 | Cordoba | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 8:12 | -4 | 6 |
22 | Granada CF | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 6:13 | -7 | 5 |
Promotion ~ LaLiga
Promotion ~ LaLiga2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation