Cádiz vs Castellón – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:0
21/12/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • LaLiga2 - Round 19
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
brazilBrazilDisney+
chileChileDisney+
colombiaColombiaDisney+
mexicoMexicoSky Sport
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaSky Sports Norte
peruPeruDisney+
spainSpainDAZN Espana, LaLiga Hypermotion, LaLiga TV Bar 2
uruguayUruguayDisney+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.301.36
Ball Possession
33%67%
Total shots
1018
Shots on target
42
Big Chances
32
Corner Kicks
612
Passes
71% (180/253)86% (448/520)
Yellow Cards
42
Expected Goals (xG)
1.301.36
xG on target (xGOT)
1.960.32
Total shots
1018
Shots on target
42
Shots off target
36
Blocked Shots
310
Shots inside the Box
78
Shots outside the Box
310
Hit the Woodwork
01
Big Chances
32
Corner Kicks
612
Touches in opposition box
1739
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
11
Free Kicks
1311
Passes
71% (180/253)86% (448/520)
Long passes
40% (25/63)57% (27/47)
Passes in final third
47% (35/75)83% (168/202)
Crosses
13% (2/16)24% (8/34)
Expected assists (xA)
0.501.67
Throw-ins
2216
Fouls
1113
Tackles
56% (5/9)53% (8/15)
Duels won
4547
Clearances
3526
Interceptions
115
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
22
xGOT faced
0.321.96
Goals prevented
-0.68-0.04

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 9', Carcelen I. 🟨,
  • 39', Diakite M. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 53', de la Rosa J. , Tabatadze I. ,
  • 53', Marti R. , Pascual A. ,
  • 64', Santiago P. , Suero I. ,
  • 66', Camara O. 🟨,
  • 67', Suero I. 🟨,
  • 69', 1 - 0, Camara D. , Pascual A. (A),
  • 71', Ocampo B. , Ontiveros J. ,
  • 73', Gerenabarrena B. , Doue M. ,
  • 73', Sienra A. , Mamah K. ,
  • 78', Pereira R. 🟨,
  • 82', 2 - 0, Camara D. , Pascual A. (A),
  • 86', Barri , Tincho ,
  • 86', Mabil A. , Markanich N. ,
  • 87', Ortuno S. , Fernandez A. ,
  • 87', Camara D. , Diarra Y. ,
  • 88', Ontiveros J. 🟨,

Highlights

https://tinyurl.com/mry9hhjv

Chances of winning


Cádiz
24.9%
Draw
27.6%
Castellón
47.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
34% 27.7% 38.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.4% 27.2% 39%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Cádiz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Cádiz's form might have worsened.
  • Castellón has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Castellón's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cádiz than the current prediction. (+8.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Cádiz, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Castellón than the current prediction. (-8.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Castellón, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Cádiz - Castellón Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.75
    (2.75)
    3.39
    (3.37)
    1.99
    (2.43)
    6.5%
    (7.2%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Cádiz - Castellón?
  • Users Predictions: 23 users predict this event. Cádiz will win (votes: 6 - 26.1%). Castellón will win (votes: 15 - 65.2%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 8.7%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Castellón: 45.7%84.7%.
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Cádiz (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Castellón (votes: 4 - 66.7%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • AH 0 - Cádiz (2.85) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 1.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 1.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. Cádiz (votes: 3 - 42.9%). Castellón (votes: 4 - 57.1%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 8 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ LaLiga2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)).
    • Recent performances by Cádiz have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Castellón is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 5 wins).
    • Cádiz may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Castellón will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Cádiz: Climent M. (Yellow Cards) Fali (Knee Injury) Gonzalez J. (Ankle Injury) Kovacevic B. (Injury) Suso (Injury)
    • There will not play in Castellón: Cipenga B. (International duty)
    • There are questionable in Castellón: Jakobsen A. (Injury)
    • In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Cádiz won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1. (average 1.5:0.5).
    • Including home match between the teams, Cádiz won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Cádiz - Castellón were as follows:
    23.02.2025 Cádiz - Castellón 0:0
    09.09.2024 Castellón - Cádiz 1:3
    Latest results of Cádiz
    13.12.2025 Zaragoza - Cádiz 1:2
    07.12.2025 Cádiz - Racing Santander 2:3
    03.12.2025 Real Murcia - Cádiz 3:2
    30.11.2025 Córdoba - Cádiz 1:2
    23.11.2025 Cádiz - Leonesa 1:2
    Latest results of Castellón
    Spanish LaLiga2 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Racing Santander382261079:572272
    2Dep. La Coruna381911859:411868
    3Almeria372071074:561867
    4Castellon3818101065:481764
    5Malaga381891166:491763
    6Las Palmas371712849:311863
    7Burgos CF3717101044:331161
    8Eibar3817101147:361161
    9Cordoba381691354:56-257
    10Andorra3815101356:48855
    11Ceuta381591446:58-1254
    12Gijon381571651:49252
    13Albacete3813111449:51-250
    14Granada CF3812121448:49-148
    15Valladolid3711101640:48-843
    16Leganes3810121641:46-542
    17Real Sociedad B371181846:54-841
    18Cadiz CF381091936:55-1939
    19Mirandes37991940:60-2036
    20Huesca38992039:59-2036
    21Zaragoza388111933:51-1835
    22Cultural Leonesa38892135:62-2733

          Promotion ~ LaLiga
          Promotion ~ LaLiga2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation