Barakaldo vs Cacereño – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1 Barakaldo - Cacereño
Result
1:1
27/09/2025 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Primera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 5
  • Where to Watch on TV:
spainSpainFootballclub, LaLiga+

Match Stats

Ball Possession
50%50%
Total shots
164
Shots on target
72
Corner Kicks
65
Yellow Cards
23
Total shots
164
Shots on target
72
Shots off target
92
Corner Kicks
65

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 5', 0 - 1, Berlanga M. ,
  • 28', Berlanga M. 🟨,
  • 33', Munoz I. 🟨,
  • 37', Hernandez E. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 55', Deco 🟨,
  • 56', San Bartolome V. , Sabin ,
  • 56', Munoz I. , Mandiang S. ,
  • 60', Berlanga M. , Gonzalez C. ,
  • 60', Gomez D. , El Goumiri O. ,
  • 65', 1 - 1, Sabin ,
  • 69', Deco , Rementeria U. ,
  • 72', Valino E. , Galarza L. ,
  • 75', Valino A. , de Leon J. ,
  • 75', Perez E. , Galarza A. ,
  • 85', Naveira U. , Molina E. ,
  • 85', Hyjek J. , Gutierrez D. ,
  • 90+1', Dufur U. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Barakaldo
37.4%
Draw
35.6%
Cacereño
27%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
42.9% 29% 28.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45% 30.4% 26.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Barakaldo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Barakaldo's form might have worsened.
  • Cacereño has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Barakaldo than the current prediction. (+7.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Barakaldo, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cacereño than the current prediction. (-0.2%)
  • Barakaldo - Cacereño Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.83
    (2.11)
    2.69
    (3.13)
    4.11
    (3.23)
    -3.1%
    (10.4%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    Preview Facts
    • Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
    • Barakaldo may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Barakaldo will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • The teams have not played against each other recently.
    Latest results of Barakaldo
    Latest results of Cacereño
    20.09.2025 Cacereño - Mérida AD 2:1
    14.09.2025 Cacereño - Arenteiro 0:2
    30.08.2025 Pontevedra - Cacereño 1:1
    16.08.2025 CD Extremadura - Cacereño 1:2
    Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Tenerife660016:21418
    2Celta Vigo B641110:4613
    3Racing Club Ferrol63217:5211
    4Guadalajara63129:7210
    5Barakaldo72418:7110
    6Real Aviles631211:11010
    7Pontevedra63126:6010
    8Zamora62316:429
    9Ath Bilbao B72326:609
    10Osasuna B62313:309
    11Arenteiro62226:518
    12CF Talavera62227:708
    13Lugo62134:5-17
    14Arenas Getxo62137:11-47
    15Cacereno61326:8-26
    16Real Madrid B62046:9-36
    17Merida AD62047:12-56
    18Ponferradina61147:9-24
    19Ourense CF60334:9-53
    20Unionistas61054:10-63

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