Result
0:2
25/09/2025 at 23:50 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- ATP - SINGLES: Tokyo, hard - 1/8-finals
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Bulgaria | Max Sport 3 |
 Germany | Sky Sport Tennis |
 Netherlands | Ziggo Sport 4 |
 United-kingdom | Sky Sports Tennis |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Aces |
|---|
| 4 | 9 |
| Double Faults |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| 1st Serve Percentage |
|---|
| 62% | 56% |
| 1st Serve Points Won |
|---|
| 62% (18/29) | 80% (32/40) |
| 2nd Serve Points Won |
|---|
| 50% (9/18) | 52% (16/31) |
| Break Points Saved |
|---|
| 50% (3/6) | 100% (7/7) |
| 1st Return Points Won |
|---|
| 20% (8/40) | 34% (10/29) |
| 2nd Return Points Won |
|---|
| 48% (15/31) | 50% (9/18) |
| Break Points Converted |
|---|
| 0% (0/7) | 50% (3/6) |
| Service Points Won |
|---|
| 57% (27/47) | 68% (48/71) |
| Return Points Won |
|---|
| 32% (23/71) | 43% (20/47) |
| Total Points Won |
|---|
| 42% (50/118) | 58% (68/118) |
| Last 10 Balls |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Match Points Saved |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Service Games Won |
|---|
| 63% (5/8) | 100% (9/9) |
| Return Games Won |
|---|
| 0% (0/9) | 38% (3/8) |
| Total Games Won |
|---|
| 29% (5/17) | 71% (12/17) |
Chances of winning
Sho Shimabukuro
27.3% | Sebastian Korda
72.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sho Shimabukuro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)Sebastian Korda has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sho Shimabukuro than the current prediction. (+1.4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sebastian Korda than the current prediction. (-1.4%)
Sho Shimabukuro - Sebastian Korda Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.53 ↑
(3.4) |
|
1.31 ↓
(1.33) |
4.7%
(4.6%) | |
What is the prediction for Sho Shimabukuro - Sebastian Korda?
Users Predictions:
6 users predict this event. Shimabukuro will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Korda will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
Preview Facts
- Shimabukuro is ranked ATP: 273. Korda is ranked ATP: 74.
- Both players are showing inconsistent performances lately.
- Korda may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Korda is seen as the favorite.
- Recently, there has been no match between the players.
How many head-to-head matches has Sho Shimabukuro won against Sebastian Korda?
Sho Shimabukuro has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Sebastian Korda won against Sho Shimabukuro?
Sebastian Korda has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Sho Shimabukuro - Sebastian Korda were as follows:
Latest results of Sho Shimabukuro
Latest results of Sebastian Korda
Draw
Singles - Main1/16-finals| 1 | Alcaraz C. (1) | Baez S. | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Bergs Z. | Tabilo A. | 2 : 1 |
| 3 | Thompson J. | Nakashima B. | 1 : 2 |
| 4 | Fucsovics M. (Q) | Tiafoe F. (8) | 2 : 1 |
| 5 | Ruud C. (4) | Mochizuki S. (WC) | 2 : 1 |
| 6 | Munar J. | Berrettini M. | 0 : 2 |
| 7 | Dzumhur D. | Vukic A. (Q) | 1 : 2 |
| 8 | Altmaier D. | Shapovalov D. (7) | 2 : 0 |
| 9 | Humbert U. (6) | Brooksby J. (PR) | 0 : 2 |
| 10 | Nishioka Y. (WC) | Darderi L. | 0 : 2 |
| 11 | Michelsen A. | Quinn E. (Q) | 0 : 2 |
| 12 | Medjedovic H. | Rune H. (3) | 0 : 2 |
| 13 | Machac T. (5) | Shimabukuro S. (Q) | 0 : 2 |
| 14 | Giron M. | Korda S. | 1 : 2 |
| 15 | Watanuki Y. (WC) | Borges N. | 1 : 2 |
| 16 | Diallo G. | Fritz T. (2) | 1 : 2 |
1/8-finals| 1 | Alcaraz C. (1) | Bergs Z. | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Nakashima B. | Fucsovics M. | 2 : 0 |
| 3 | Ruud C. (4) | Berrettini M. | 2 : 0 |
| 4 | Vukic A. | Altmaier D. | 2 : 0 |
| 5 | Brooksby J. | Darderi L. | 2 : 0 |
| 6 | Quinn E. | Rune H. (3) | 0 : 2 |
| 7 | Shimabukuro S. | Korda S. | 0 : 2 |
| 8 | Borges N. | Fritz T. (2) | 0 : 2 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Alcaraz C. (1) | Nakashima B. | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Ruud C. (4) | Vukic A. | 2 : 0 |
| 3 | Brooksby J. | Rune H. (3) | 2 : 0 |
| 4 | Korda S. | Fritz T. (2) | 1 : 2 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Alcaraz C. (1) | Ruud C. (4) | 2 : 1 |
| 2 | Brooksby J. | Fritz T. (2) | 0 : 2 |
Final| 1 | Alcaraz C. (1) | Fritz T. (2) | |
