Sho Shimabukuro vs Yuta Shimizu – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:0
29/04/2026 at 06:50 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Jiujiang, hard - 1/16-finals

Match Stats

Aces
51
Double Faults
03
1st serve percentage
57%63%
1st serve points won
83% (24/29)52% (17/33)
2nd serve points won
55% (12/22)37% (7/19)
Break Points Saved
2/24/8
1st return points won
48% (16/33)17% (5/29)
2nd return points won
63% (12/19)45% (10/22)
Break Points Converted
4/80/2
Winners
2212
Unforced errors
1829
Net points won
86% (6/7)40% (6/15)
Service Points Won
71% (36/51)47% (24/51)
Return Points Won
53% (27/51)29% (15/51)
Total Points Won
62% (63/102)38% (39/102)
Last 10 balls
91
Match points saved
00
Service games won
100% (8/8)43% (3/7)
Return games won
57% (4/7)0% (0/8)
Total games won
80% (12/15)20% (3/15)

Chances of winning


Sho Shimabukuro
61.9%
Yuta Shimizu
38.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
55.4% 44.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.5% 48.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Sho Shimabukuro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Sho Shimabukuro's performance.
  • Yuta Shimizu has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Yuta Shimizu might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sho Shimabukuro than the current prediction. (-10.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Sho Shimabukuro that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Yuta Shimizu than the current prediction. (+10.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Yuta Shimizu could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Sho Shimabukuro - Yuta Shimizu Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.52
    (1.66)

    2.47
    (2.06)
    6.4%
    (8.8%)
    What is the prediction for Sho Shimabukuro - Yuta Shimizu?
  • Users Predictions: Sho Shimabukuro will win (7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 64.58%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Shimabukuro is ranked ATP: 108. Shimizu is ranked ATP: 390.
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Shimabukuro won 0.
    • Shimabukuro has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Shimizu is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • Shimabukuro may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, both players have almost equal chances to win.
    • In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Shimabukuro won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 4:9. (average 0.7:1.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Sho Shimabukuro - Yuta Shimizu were as follows:
    22.04.2026 Sho Shimabukuro - Yuta Shimizu 1:2
    02.09.2025 Yuta Shimizu - Sho Shimabukuro Canceled
    19.08.2025 Yuta Shimizu - Sho Shimabukuro 2:1
    14.04.2025 Sho Shimabukuro - Yuta Shimizu 0:2
    12.03.2024 Yuta Shimizu - Sho Shimabukuro 2:0
    Latest results of Sho Shimabukuro
    Latest results of Yuta Shimizu
    20.04.2026 Yuta Shimizu - Yasutaka Uchiyama Uchiyama Y. Retired