Result
1:1
06/04/2025 at 11:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Tercera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 29
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 20', 0 - 1, Fernandez Rodriguez M. A. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 83', 1 - 1, ⚽,
Chances of winning
Gran Peña
17% | Draw
24.6% | UD Ourense
58.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Gran Peña has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)UD Ourense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.6%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and UD Ourense might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gran Peña than the current prediction. (-5.1%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Gran Peña that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for UD Ourense than the current prediction. (+11.6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that UD Ourense could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Gran Peña - UD Ourense Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
5.33 ↓
(7.37) |
3.69 ↓
(4.4) |
1.55 ↑
(1.36) |
10.2%
(9.8%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
Preview Facts
- During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 10 and 1 in the zone Promotion).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Gran Peña won 2.
- Recent matches Gran Peña is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- UD Ourense is in super shape now and in the last match got series of victories (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
- In this match UD Ourense is absolute favorite.
- Last 8 head-to-head matches Gran Peña won 4 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 15:10 (average 1.9:1.3).
- Including matches at home between the teams Gran Peña won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 9:3 (average 2.3:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Gran Peña won against UD Ourense?
Gran Peña has won 4 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has UD Ourense won against Gran Peña?
UD Ourense has won 2 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Gran Peña - UD Ourense were as follows:
24.11.2024
UD Ourense
-
Gran Peña
2:0
09.06.2024
Gran Peña
-
UD Ourense
2:1
02.06.2024
UD Ourense
-
Gran Peña
3:3
24.02.2024
UD Ourense
-
Gran Peña
0:2
08.10.2023
Gran Peña
-
UD Ourense
1:1
Latest results of Gran Peña
Latest results of UD Ourense
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 1 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Compostela | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 10:3 | 7 | 13 |
| 2 | Arosa SC | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 11:5 | 6 | 11 |
| 3 | Alondras | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 9:4 | 5 | 10 |
| 4 | Estradense | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 4:2 | 2 | 9 |
| 5 | Montaneros | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 7:5 | 2 | 8 |
| 6 | Lugo B | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 5:4 | 1 | 8 |
| 7 | Racing Club Villalbes | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 4:3 | 1 | 8 |
| 8 | Somozas | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 3:5 | -2 | 8 |
| 9 | Noia | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 6:5 | 1 | 7 |
| 10 | Barco | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 3:5 | -2 | 6 |
| 11 | Viveiro | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4:6 | -2 | 5 |
| 12 | Boiro | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3:5 | -2 | 5 |
| 13 | Barbadas-Bentraces | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5:9 | -4 | 5 |
| 14 | Celtiga | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 9:7 | 2 | 4 |
| 15 | Atletico Arteixo | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4:7 | -3 | 4 |
| 16 | Gran Pena | 5 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 4:7 | -3 | 4 |
| 17 | Cambados | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 2:4 | -2 | 3 |
| 18 | Silva SD | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2:9 | -7 | 1 |
Promotion
Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 1 (Play Offs: )
Relegation
