Gran Peña vs Polvorín – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
3:2
23/03/2025 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • SPAIN: Tercera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 27

Match Stats

Red Cards
01

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 27', 0 - 1, ,
  • 28', 1 - 1, Avinu J. ,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 1)
  • 50', 1 - 2, ,
  • 53', 2 - 2, Avinu J. ,
  • 63', 🟥,
  • 84', 3 - 2, Avinu J. ,

Chances of winning


Gran Peña
36.4%
Draw
29.1%
Polvorín
34.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
40.5% 30% 29.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.9% 30.3% 29.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Gran Peña has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)
  • Polvorín has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gran Peña than the current prediction. (+4.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Polvorín than the current prediction. (-5.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Polvorín, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Gran Peña - Polvorín Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.48
    (2.25)
    3.11
    (3.04)
    2.62
    (3.08)
    10.5%
    (9.8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    Preview Facts
    • This time we will watch a game between teams from the middle of a tournament table (ranked 10 and 8).
    • Gran Peña is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
    • Recent matches Polvorín is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Gran Peña will have a mini benefit in this match.
    • Last 3 head-to-head matches Gran Peña won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2:3 (average 0.7:1).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Gran Peña won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1:0
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Gran Peña - Polvorín were as follows:
    10.11.2024 Polvorín - Gran Peña 2:0
    27.04.2024 Polvorín - Gran Peña 1:1
    17.12.2023 Gran Peña - Polvorín 1:0
    Latest results of Gran Peña
    16.03.2025 RC Villalbes - Gran Peña 0:0
    23.02.2025 Gran Peña - Sarriana 1:3
    16.02.2025 Alondras - Gran Peña 0:0
    09.02.2025 Gran Peña - Silva SD 0:3
    02.02.2025 Estradense - Gran Peña 2:2
    Latest results of Polvorín
    02.03.2025 Polvorín - Villalonga 1:0
    23.02.2025 Valladares - Polvorín 3:3
    16.02.2025 Polvorín - Arosa 2:3
    02.02.2025 Polvorín - UD Ourense 2:2
    Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 1 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Compostela30179449:242560
    2Arosa SC301610451:331858
    3Atletico Arteixo30149748:341451
    4Somozas301210831:26546
    5Racing Club Villalbes301113632:211146
    6Barco301361133:35-245
    7Estradense301111838:29944
    8Boiro301111834:25944
    9Montaneros301110941:36543
    10Gran Pena301012844:38642
    11Lugo B301011931:32-141
    12Celtiga301171243:38540
    13Alondras301091140:42-239
    14Viveiro308101225:37-1234
    15Cambados304141223:33-1026
    16Silva SD30681623:43-2026
    17Noia30471919:47-2819
    18Barbadas-Bentraces30471923:55-3219

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