Result
2:1
04/10/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- League Two - Round 11
- Referee: Martin S. (Eng)
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.54 | 0.62 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 34% | 66% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 59% (130/219) | 74% (340/458) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.54 | 0.62 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.86 | 0.74 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 19 | 18 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 15 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 59% (130/219) | 74% (340/458) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 27% (20/74) | 39% (39/100) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 51% (49/97) | 52% (68/130) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 24% (4/17) | 20% (3/15) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.62 | 0.30 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 25 | 25 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 15 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 47% (9/19) | 67% (16/24) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 61 | 62 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 35 | 22 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.74 | 0.86 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.26 | -1.14 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 20', Chang A. 🟨,
- 27', 0 - 1, Cavegn F. ⚽, Harrison E. (A),
- 39', Harrison E. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 46', Warrington L. ↓, Comley B. ↑,
- 46', Finnigan R. ↓, Clarke C. ↑,
- 57', Burke H. ↓, Farquharson P. ↑,
- 65', Lakin C. ↓, Jellis J. ↑,
- 67', McEachran J. ↓, Conteh K. ↑,
- 69', 1 - 1, Pressley A. ⚽, Harper V. (A),
- 75', Kanu D. ↓, Adomah A. ↑,
- 77', Bilongo B. ↓, Sotiriou R. ↑,
- 78', 2 - 1, Pressley A. ⚽, Barrett C. (A),
- 83', Sparkes J. 🟨,
- 84', Clarke C. 🟨,
- 87', Harrison E. ↓, Issaka F. ↑,
- 87', Thomas L. ↓, Dewsbury O. ↑,
- 90+3', Weir E. 🟨,
- 90+10', Comley B. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Walsall
37.3% | Draw
30.5% | Bristol Rovers
32.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Walsall has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.6%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Walsall's form might have worsened.Bristol Rovers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.6%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Bristol Rovers's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Walsall than the current prediction. (+11.7%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Walsall, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bristol Rovers than the current prediction. (-8.2%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Bristol Rovers, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Walsall - Bristol Rovers Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.82 ↑
(2.04) |
3.32 ↑
(3.28) |
3.09 ↓
(3.66) |
-2.1%
(6.8%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
Preview Facts
- The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ League One and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Walsall won 1.
- Each of the two teams have built a series of wins lately.
- Walsall could have a small edge in this match.
- There will not play in Walsall: Hancock M.
(Knee Injury)
Williams H.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
- There will not play in Bristol Rovers: Forde S.
(Injury)
Negru S.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Walsall: Jellis J.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Bristol Rovers: Howley R.
(Inactive)
Omochere P.
(Injury)
Young B.
(Ankle Injury)
- In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Walsall won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 12:14. (average 1.2:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Walsall won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 6:8. (average 1.2:1.6).
How many head-to-head matches has Walsall won against Bristol Rovers?
Walsall has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Bristol Rovers won against Walsall?
Bristol Rovers has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Walsall - Bristol Rovers were as follows:
Latest results of Walsall
Latest results of Bristol Rovers
English League Two Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Walsall | 11 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 17:9 | 8 | 25 |
| 2 | Swindon | 11 | 8 | 0 | 3 | 22:13 | 9 | 24 |
| 3 | Grimsby | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 23:13 | 10 | 21 |
| 4 | Gillingham | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 17:10 | 7 | 21 |
| 5 | Salford | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 17:15 | 2 | 19 |
| 6 | MK Dons | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 19:12 | 7 | 18 |
| 7 | Cambridge Utd | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 14:10 | 4 | 18 |
| 8 | Chesterfield | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 20:19 | 1 | 18 |
| 9 | Notts Co | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 20:13 | 7 | 17 |
| 10 | Barnet | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 14:12 | 2 | 17 |
| 11 | Bristol Rovers | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 13:13 | 0 | 17 |
| 12 | Crewe | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 14:11 | 3 | 16 |
| 13 | Bromley | 11 | 3 | 6 | 2 | 17:15 | 2 | 15 |
| 14 | Fleetwood | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 15:16 | -1 | 15 |
| 15 | Oldham | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 10:9 | 1 | 14 |
| 16 | Harrogate | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 11:12 | -1 | 14 |
| 17 | Barrow | 11 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 9:12 | -3 | 13 |
| 18 | Tranmere | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 16:15 | 1 | 11 |
| 19 | Colchester | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 16:16 | 0 | 11 |
| 20 | Accrington | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 7:13 | -6 | 9 |
| 21 | Crawley | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 9:20 | -11 | 8 |
| 22 | Cheltenham | 11 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 6:24 | -18 | 7 |
| 23 | Shrewsbury | 11 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 7:20 | -13 | 6 |
| 24 | Newport | 11 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 10:21 | -11 | 5 |
Promotion ~ League One
Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation ~ National League
