Result
1:0
24/01/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- League Two - Round 28
- Referee: Mather S. (Eng)
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.14 | 0.23 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 45% | 55% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 52% (116/222) | 56% (156/280) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.14 | 0.23 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.20 | 0.03 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 31 | 7 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 52% (116/222) | 56% (156/280) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 27% (18/67) | 25% (24/97) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 43% (51/120) | 42% (46/109) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 19% (3/16) | 11% (2/18) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.96 | 0.35 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 36 | 29 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 9 | 9 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 50% (5/10) | 59% (10/17) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 60 | 60 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 45 | 42 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.03 | 1.20 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.03 | 0.20 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 8', 1 - 0, Graydon R. ⚽, N'Mai K. (A),
- 29', Garbutt L. 🟨,
- 43', Mnoga H. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Kilgour A. ↓, Lockyer T. ↑,
- 46', Thomas L. ↓, Senior J. ↑,
- 46', Hutchinson I. ↓, Harrison E. ↑,
- 70', Forde S. ↓, Akhamrich Y. ↑,
- 70', Austerfield J. ↓, Woodburn B. ↑,
- 70', Mnoga H. ↓, Longelo-Mbule R. ↑,
- 78', Thompson-Sommers K. ↓, Conteh K. ↑,
- 83', Grant J. ↓, Ashley O. ↑,
- 83', Cesay K. ↓, Butcher M. ↑,
Chances of winning
Salford City
56.6% | Draw
23.3% | Bristol Rovers
20.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Salford City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)Bristol Rovers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Salford City than the current prediction. (+0.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bristol Rovers than the current prediction. (+0.5%)
Salford City - Bristol Rovers Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.66 ↓
(1.72) |
4.02 ↑
(3.81) |
4.6 ↑
(4.31) |
6.9%
(7.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Salford City - Bristol Rovers?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- O/U 3 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- BTTS - no (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Salford City will win
(13 of 13 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Salford City will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 21).
- Salford is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Bristol Rovers's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Bristol Rovers may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, Bristol Rovers has had a series of home games.
- In this match, Salford is considered a favorite.
- There will not play in Salford: Bird J.
(Inactive)
Edwards T.
(Inactive)
Harris K.
(Inactive)
Oluwo A.
(Inactive)
Rose M.
(Leg Injury)
- There will not play in Bristol Rovers: McEachran J.
(Inactive)
Morton C.
(Inactive)
Southam-Hales M.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Salford: Ashley O.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Bristol Rovers: Omochere P.
(Injury)
- We predict that Salford will win today's game, with odds of 1.72.
- In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Salford won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:4. (average 0.7:1.3).
- Including home match between the teams, Salford won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.
How many head-to-head matches has Salford City won against Bristol Rovers?
Salford City has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Bristol Rovers won against Salford City?
Bristol Rovers has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Salford City - Bristol Rovers were as follows:
27.09.2025
Bristol Rovers
-
Salford City
2:1
Latest results of Salford City
Latest results of Bristol Rovers
English League Two Table
Main | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Bromley ✔ | 46 | 24 | 15 | 7 | 71:46 | 25 | 87 |
| 2 | MK Dons ✔ | 46 | 24 | 14 | 8 | 86:45 | 41 | 86 |
| 3 | Cambridge Utd | 46 | 22 | 16 | 8 | 66:33 | 33 | 82 |
| 4 | Salford | 46 | 25 | 6 | 15 | 61:51 | 10 | 81 |
| 5 | Notts Co | 46 | 24 | 8 | 14 | 74:52 | 22 | 80 |
| 6 | Chesterfield | 46 | 21 | 16 | 9 | 71:56 | 15 | 79 |
| 7 | Grimsby | 46 | 22 | 12 | 12 | 74:50 | 24 | 78 |
| 8 | Barnet | 46 | 21 | 13 | 12 | 70:53 | 17 | 76 |
| 9 | Swindon | 46 | 22 | 9 | 15 | 70:59 | 11 | 75 |
| 10 | Oldham | 46 | 18 | 14 | 14 | 60:44 | 16 | 68 |
| 11 | Crewe | 46 | 19 | 10 | 17 | 64:58 | 6 | 67 |
| 12 | Colchester | 46 | 18 | 12 | 16 | 62:49 | 13 | 66 |
| 13 | Walsall | 46 | 18 | 11 | 17 | 56:56 | 0 | 65 |
| 14 | Bristol Rovers | 46 | 19 | 5 | 22 | 56:65 | -9 | 62 |
| 15 | Fleetwood | 46 | 15 | 16 | 15 | 57:58 | -1 | 61 |
| 16 | Accrington | 46 | 14 | 11 | 21 | 47:58 | -11 | 53 |
| 17 | Gillingham | 46 | 13 | 14 | 19 | 53:72 | -19 | 53 |
| 18 | Cheltenham | 46 | 14 | 10 | 22 | 53:79 | -26 | 52 |
| 19 | Shrewsbury | 46 | 13 | 10 | 23 | 42:69 | -27 | 49 |
| 20 | Newport | 46 | 12 | 7 | 27 | 48:77 | -29 | 43 |
| 21 | Tranmere | 46 | 10 | 11 | 25 | 54:79 | -25 | 41 |
| 22 | Crawley | 46 | 8 | 16 | 22 | 44:68 | -24 | 40 |
| 23 | Harrogate | 46 | 10 | 9 | 27 | 39:68 | -29 | 39 |
| 24 | Barrow | 46 | 9 | 9 | 28 | 45:78 | -33 | 36 |
Promotion ~ League One
Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation ~ National League
Clinched Spots for Teams
Bromley is Qualified for League One
MK Dons is Qualified for League One
