Nasaf Qarshi vs Al-Hilal – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football AFC Champions League
Football AFC Champions League Nasaf Qarshi - Al-Hilal
Result
2:3
29/09/2025 at 09:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • AFC Champions League - League phase - Round 2
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 1, beIN Sports MENA English 1, TOD
australiaAustraliaAmazon Prime Video, Paramount+
brazilBrazilClaro TV+, Disney+, ESPN 4, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
bulgariaBulgariaNova Sport
chinaChinaiQIYI, Migu, ZhiBo8
croatiaCroatiaSportKlub 1
germanyGermanyMagenta Sport, Sportdigital1+
hong-kongHong-kongHOY TV, M Plus Live
indiaIndiaFanCode, FanCode, Vision+
iranIranIRIB Varzesh
japanJapanDAZN Japan
macaoMacaoMacau Cable TV 34 Football
mexicoMexicoDisney+, ESPN
netherlandsNetherlandsCanal+, ESPN 1
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaDisney+ Caribbean, ESPN Norte
north-macedoniaNorth-macedoniaTDM Desporto
peruPeruDisney+
russiaRussiaTV Start
serbiaSerbiaSportKlub 1
sloveniaSloveniaSportKlub 3
south-koreaSouth-koreaCoupang Play
surinameSurinameSCCN
turkeyTurkeySpor Smart 1
uruguayUruguayDisney+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.182.69
Ball Possession
38%62%
Total shots
517
Shots on target
311
Big Chances
14
Corner Kicks
07
Passes
77% (281/367)87% (520/601)
Yellow Cards
01
Expected Goals (xG)
0.182.69
xG on target (xGOT)
0.314.01
Total shots
517
Shots on target
311
Shots off target
24
Blocked Shots
02
Shots inside the Box
212
Shots outside the Box
35
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
14
Corner Kicks
07
Touches in opposition box
933
Accurate through passes
02
Offsides
25
Free Kicks
710
Passes
77% (281/367)87% (520/601)
Long passes
37% (23/62)64% (41/64)
Passes in final third
62% (60/97)77% (144/186)
Crosses
10% (1/10)33% (9/27)
Expected assists (xA)
0.201.11
Throw-ins
1714
Fouls
107
Tackles
67% (6/9)87% (13/15)
Duels won
3048
Clearances
2917
Interceptions
1014
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
10
Goalkeeper Saves
70
xGOT faced
4.010.31
Goals prevented
1.01-1.69

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 2)
  • 21', 0 - 1, Milinkovic-Savic S. ⚽,
  • 27', 1 - 1, Bakhromov S. ⚽, Eshmurodov U. (A),
  • 45+2', 1 - 2, Hernandez T. ⚽, Al Bulayhi A. (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 46', Mukhitdinov S. ↓, Ceran D. ↑,
  • 46', Golban I. ↓, Sidikov J. ↑,
  • 60', 2 - 2, Sidikov J. ⚽, Eshmurodov U. (A),
  • 67', Abdirakhmatov Z. ↓, Nurulloev S. ↑,
  • 72', Al Bulayhi A. ↓, Kaio Cesar ↑,
  • 73', Sidikov J. ↓, Ubaydullayev J. ↑,
  • 78', Bozorov O. ↓, Colovic S. ↑,
  • 79', 2 - 3, Marcos Leonardo ⚽, Milinkovic-Savic S. (A),
  • 85', Kanno M. ↓, Al Dawsari N. ↑,
  • 85', Al Hamdan A. ↓, Lajami A. ↑,
  • 90+1', Al Yami H. ↓, Al Harbi M. ↑,
  • 90+1', Marcos Leonardo ↓, Radif A. ↑,
  • 90+7', Neves R. 🟨,

Highlights

https://tinyurl.com/42fycthk

Official Live

Chances of winning


Nasaf Qarshi
11.3%		Draw
18.5%		Al-Hilal
70.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
12% 18.4% 69.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

11.6% 17.8% 71.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Nasaf Qarshi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)
  • Al-Hilal has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nasaf Qarshi than the current prediction. (+0.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al-Hilal than the current prediction. (+1.6%)
    •

    Nasaf Qarshi - Al-Hilal Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 8.6 ↑
    (7.65)    		 5.27 ↑
    (4.98)    		 1.39 ↑
    (1.32)    		 2.7%
    (8.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
    •
    What is the prediction for Nasaf Qarshi - Al-Hilal?
  • Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Nasaf will win (votes: 1 - 7.7%). Al-Hilal will win (votes: 12 - 92.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Al-Hilal: 77.8% – 100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Al-Hilal (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • Currently, both teams are in excellent shape.
    • Al-Hilal may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Al-Hilal is the clear favorite.
    • In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.
    Latest results of Nasaf Qarshi
    25.09.2025 Nasaf Qarshi - Xorazm Urganch 2:1
    21.09.2025 Qizilqum - Nasaf Qarshi 0:1
    15.09.2025 Al-Ahli Jeddah - Nasaf Qarshi 4:2 ✺
    10.09.2025 Nasaf Qarshi - Buxoro 5:0 ✺
    23.08.2025 Surkhon Termez - Nasaf Qarshi 1:2
    Latest results of Al-Hilal
    25.09.2025 Al-Hilal - Al Akhdoud 3:1 ✺
    22.09.2025 Al-Adalh - Al-Hilal 0:1 ✺
    19.09.2025 Al-Ahli Jeddah - Al-Hilal 3:3 ✺
    16.09.2025 Al-Hilal - Al Duhail 2:1 ✺
    13.09.2025 Al-Hilal - Al-Qadisiya 2:2 ✺
    AFC Champions League Table
    League phase

    East
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Vissel Kobe22004:046
    2Seoul21104:134
    3Sanfrecce Hiroshima21103:124
    4Ulsan HD21103:214
    5Gangwon21012:203
    6Chengdu Rongcheng21012:203
    7Buriram21012:4-23
    8Machida20201:102
    9Shanghai Shenhua20112:3-11
    10Johor DT20111:2-11
    11Shanghai Port20111:4-31
    12Melbourne City20020:3-30


    West
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Al Hilal22005:326
    2Al Ahli SC21106:424
    3Al Sharjah21105:414
    4Al Wahda21102:114
    5Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai21102:114
    6Al-Gharafa21015:413
    7Al-Sadd20202:202
    8Tractor20201:102
    9Al-Duhail20113:4-11
    10Al Shorta20111:3-21
    11Al Ittihad20021:3-20
    12Nasaf Qarshi20024:7-30

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