Nasaf Qarshi vs Surkhon Termez – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:1
20/03/2026 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Super League - Round 4
  • Referee: Jasur M. (Uzb)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
uzbekistanUzbekistanMTRK Sport

Match Stats

Ball possession
59%41%
Total shots
1210
Shots on target
34
Corner kicks
42
Yellow cards
11
Total shots
1210
Shots on target
34
Shots off target
96
Corner kicks
42

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 46', Mukhitdinov S. , Abdunazarov D. ,
  • 46', Tursunov D. , Friday R. ,
  • 46', Kodirov F. , Chinedu S. ,
  • 56', Gaybullaev G. 🟨,
  • 58', Otubanjo Y. , Usmonov D. ,
  • 58', Abdikholikov B. , Bakhromov S. ,
  • 78', Shamsiev B. , Dzebniauri T. ,
  • 81', Abdukhamidov S. , Uktamov B. ,
  • 81', Abdullazhonov S. , Shukurullaev B. ,
  • 84', Rustamov O. , Sokari K. ,
  • 84', Rakhmatov M. , Komilov A. ,
  • 90+2', 0 - 1, Dzebniauri T. ,
  • 90+5', 🟨,

Highlights

Official Live

Chances of winning


Nasaf Qarshi
58.8%
Draw
25.8%
Surkhon Termez
15.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
59.7% 24.7% 15.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.8% 23.9% 15.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Nasaf Qarshi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)
  • Surkhon Termez has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nasaf Qarshi than the current prediction. (+3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Surkhon Termez than the current prediction. (-0.2%)
  • Nasaf Qarshi - Surkhon Termez Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.56
    (1.54)
    3.55
    (3.73)
    5.97
    (5.9)
    9.1%
    (8.7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Nasaf won 4.
    • Nasaf is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Surkhon's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Nasaf may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Nasaf is considered a favorite.
    • We predict that Nasaf will win today's game, with odds of 1.55.
    • In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Nasaf won 13 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 36:10. (average 2.4:0.7).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Nasaf won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 20:3. (average 2.9:0.4).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Nasaf Qarshi - Surkhon Termez were as follows:
    23.08.2025 Surkhon Termez - Nasaf Qarshi 1:2
    13.04.2025 Nasaf Qarshi - Surkhon Termez 1:0
    18.10.2024 Nasaf Qarshi - Surkhon Termez 1:1
    20.05.2024 Surkhon Termez - Nasaf Qarshi 0:1
    29.08.2023 Surkhon Termez - Nasaf Qarshi 1:2
    Latest results of Nasaf Qarshi
    Latest results of Surkhon Termez
    Uzbek League Table
    2026
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Neftchi Fargona1090125:32227
    2Pakhtakor1081121:111025
    3Buxoro1162315:11420
    4Navbahor Namangan1061314:8619
    5Bunyodkor1061313:10319
    6OKMK1043314:14015
    7Lok. Tashkent1042413:14-114
    8Andijan1041513:11213
    9Nasaf Qarshi1034312:11113
    10Xorazm Urganch103439:10-113
    11Qizilqum104158:14-613
    12Din. Samarkand1132617:21-411
    13Termez Surkhon1032510:17-711
    14Sogdiana1123619:25-69
    15Kokand 1912101549:15-68
    16Mashal Muborak1100114:21-170

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