Al-Gharafa vs Al-Shorta Baghdad – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football AFC Champions League
Football AFC Champions League Al-Gharafa - Al-Shorta Baghdad
Result
2:0
29/09/2025 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • AFC Champions League - League phase - Round 2
  • Where to Watch on TV:
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 1, beIN Sports MENA English 1, TOD
australiaAustraliaAmazon Prime Video, Paramount+
bulgariaBulgariaNova Sport
chinaChinaiQIYI, Migu, ZhiBo8
hong-kongHong-kongHOY TV, M Plus Live
indiaIndiaFanCode, FanCode, Vision+
iranIranIRIB Varzesh
japanJapanDAZN Japan
macaoMacaoMacau Cable TV 35 Sports
north-macedoniaNorth-macedoniaTDM Desporto
russiaRussiaTV Start
south-koreaSouth-koreaCoupang Play
turkeyTurkeySpor Smart 2

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.121.85
Ball Possession
41%59%
Total shots
817
Shots on target
49
Big Chances
35
Corner Kicks
113
Passes
82% (301/368)88% (447/508)
Yellow Cards
10
Expected Goals (xG)
1.121.85
xG on target (xGOT)
1.590.89
Total shots
817
Shots on target
49
Shots off target
37
Blocked Shots
11
Shots inside the Box
712
Shots outside the Box
15
Hit the Woodwork
21
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
35
Corner Kicks
113
Touches in opposition box
2332
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
14
Free Kicks
32
Passes
82% (301/368)88% (447/508)
Long passes
52% (32/61)54% (22/41)
Passes in final third
56% (37/66)81% (112/139)
Crosses
40% (2/5)22% (6/27)
Expected assists (xA)
0.591.80
Throw-ins
1826
Fouls
23
Tackles
29% (5/17)71% (12/17)
Duels won
4138
Clearances
2817
Interceptions
104
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
01
Goalkeeper Saves
81
xGOT faced
0.891.59
Goals prevented
0.89-0.41

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 49', 1 - 0, Joselu ⚽, Brahimi Y. (A),
  • 54', 2 - 0, Sassi F. ⚽, Brahimi Y. (A),
  • 69', Leonel Ateba ↓, Farhan A. ↑,
  • 69', Qasim A. ↓, Moumouni B. ↑,
  • 69', Sadoun M. ↓, Abdulkadhim S. ↑,
  • 73', Al Ganehi A. ↓, Coman F. ↑,
  • 83', Gunnarsson A. ↓, Holgate M. ↑,
  • 83', Ashabi M. ↓, Amin R. ↑,
  • 89', Jang Hyun-Soo ↓, Traore D. ↑,
  • 90+2', Joselu 🟨,

Chances of winning


Al-Gharafa
47.8%		Draw
26.8%		Al-Shorta Baghdad
25.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
60.6% 23.1% 16.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Al-Gharafa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Al-Gharafa's form might have worsened.
  • Al-Shorta Baghdad has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Al-Shorta Baghdad's recent form is better than expected.
    •

    Al-Gharafa - Al-Shorta Baghdad Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 1.98 ↑
    (1.55)    		 3.53 ↓
    (4.05)    		 3.73 ↓
    (5.75)    		 5.7%
    (6.8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    •
    What is the prediction for Al-Gharafa - Al-Shorta Baghdad?
  • Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Al-Gharafa will win (votes: 7 - 70%). Al-Shorta will win (votes: 2 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 10%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Al-Gharafa: 41.6% – 98.4%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Al-Gharafa (votes: 1 - 50%). Al-Shorta (votes: 1 - 50%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH -0.25 - Al-Shorta (votes: 4 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • Al-Gharafa has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Al-Gharafa may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, Al-Gharafa has had a series of away games.
    • In this match, Al-Gharafa is the team to beat.
    • Recently, the teams have not faced each other.
    Latest results of Al-Gharafa
    25.09.2025 Al-Rayyan - Al-Gharafa 2:3 ✺
    22.09.2025 Muaither - Al-Gharafa 5:2 ✺
    20.09.2025 Al-Shamal - Al-Gharafa 0:0
    15.09.2025 Al-Sharjah - Al-Gharafa 4:3 ✺
    12.09.2025 Al-Gharafa - Al-Sailiya 2:0
    Latest results of Al-Shorta Baghdad
    25.09.2025 Al-Shorta Baghdad - Newroz 3:2
    21.09.2025 Al-Shorta Baghdad - Duhok 2:0
    15.09.2025 Al-Shorta Baghdad - Al-Sadd 1:1 ✺
    12.07.2025 Zakho - Al-Shorta Baghdad 1:0
    08.07.2025 Al-Shorta Baghdad - Al-Talaba 2:1
    AFC Champions League Table
    League phase

    East
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Vissel Kobe22004:046
    2Seoul21104:134
    3Sanfrecce Hiroshima21103:124
    4Ulsan HD21103:214
    5Gangwon21012:203
    6Chengdu Rongcheng21012:203
    7Buriram21012:4-23
    8Machida20201:102
    9Shanghai Shenhua20112:3-11
    10Johor DT20111:2-11
    11Shanghai Port20111:4-31
    12Melbourne City20020:3-30


    West
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Al Hilal22005:326
    2Al Ahli SC21106:424
    3Al Sharjah21105:414
    4Al Wahda21102:114
    5Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai21102:114
    6Al-Gharafa21015:413
    7Al-Sadd20202:202
    8Tractor20201:102
    9Al-Duhail20113:4-11
    10Al Shorta20111:3-21
    11Al Ittihad20021:3-20
    12Nasaf Qarshi20024:7-30

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