Al-Gharafa vs Al-Shorta Baghdad – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:0
29/09/2025 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • AFC Champions League - League phase - Round 2
  • Where to Watch on TV:
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 1, beIN Sports MENA English 1, TOD
australiaAustraliaAmazon Prime Video, Paramount+
bulgariaBulgariaNova Sport
chinaChinaiQIYI, Migu, ZhiBo8
hong-kongHong-kongHOY TV, M Plus Live
indiaIndiaFanCode, FanCode, Vision+
iranIranIRIB Varzesh
japanJapanDAZN Japan
macaoMacaoMacau Cable TV 35 Sports
north-macedoniaNorth-macedoniaTDM Desporto
russiaRussiaTV Start
south-koreaSouth-koreaCoupang Play
turkeyTurkeySpor Smart 2

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.121.85
Ball Possession
41%59%
Total shots
817
Shots on target
49
Big Chances
35
Corner Kicks
113
Passes
82% (301/368)88% (447/508)
Yellow Cards
10
Expected Goals (xG)
1.121.85
xG on target (xGOT)
1.590.89
Total shots
817
Shots on target
49
Shots off target
37
Blocked Shots
11
Shots inside the Box
712
Shots outside the Box
15
Hit the Woodwork
21
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
35
Corner Kicks
113
Touches in opposition box
2332
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
14
Free Kicks
32
Passes
82% (301/368)88% (447/508)
Long passes
52% (32/61)54% (22/41)
Passes in final third
56% (37/66)81% (112/139)
Crosses
40% (2/5)22% (6/27)
Expected assists (xA)
0.591.80
Throw-ins
1826
Fouls
23
Tackles
29% (5/17)71% (12/17)
Duels won
4138
Clearances
2817
Interceptions
104
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
01
Goalkeeper Saves
81
xGOT faced
0.891.59
Goals prevented
0.89-0.41

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 49', 1 - 0, Joselu , Brahimi Y. (A),
  • 54', 2 - 0, Sassi F. , Brahimi Y. (A),
  • 69', Leonel Ateba , Farhan A. ,
  • 69', Qasim A. , Moumouni B. ,
  • 69', Sadoun M. , Abdulkadhim S. ,
  • 73', Al Ganehi A. , Coman F. ,
  • 83', Gunnarsson A. , Holgate M. ,
  • 83', Ashabi M. , Amin R. ,
  • 89', Jang Hyun-Soo , Traore D. ,
  • 90+2', Joselu 🟨,

Chances of winning


Al-Gharafa
47.8%
Draw
26.8%
Al-Shorta Baghdad
25.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
60.6% 23.1% 16.3%

Al-Gharafa - Al-Shorta Baghdad Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
1.98
(1.55)
3.53
(4.05)
3.73
(5.75)
5.7%
(6.8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Al-Gharafa - Al-Shorta Baghdad?
  • Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Al-Gharafa will win (votes: 7 - 70%). Al-Shorta will win (votes: 2 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 10%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Al-Gharafa: 41.6%98.4%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Al-Gharafa (votes: 1 - 50%). Al-Shorta (votes: 1 - 50%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH -0.25 - Al-Shorta (2.24) (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Al-Gharafa has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Al-Gharafa may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, Al-Gharafa has had a series of away games.
    • In this match, Al-Gharafa is the team to beat.
    • Recently, the teams have not faced each other.
    Latest results of Al-Gharafa
    25.09.2025 Al-Rayyan - Al-Gharafa 2:3
    22.09.2025 Muaither - Al-Gharafa 5:2
    20.09.2025 Al-Shamal - Al-Gharafa 0:0
    15.09.2025 Al-Sharjah - Al-Gharafa 4:3
    12.09.2025 Al-Gharafa - Al-Sailiya 2:0
    Latest results of Al-Shorta Baghdad
    AFC Champions League Table
    League phase

    East
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Vissel Kobe540110:4612
    2Melbourne City53026:519
    3Seoul52217:438
    4Machida52217:438
    5Sanfrecce Hiroshima52215:328
    6Ulsan HD52214:318
    7Johor DT52126:517
    8Buriram52125:6-17
    9Gangwon52037:9-26
    10Chengdu Rongcheng51223:5-25
    11Shanghai Shenhua51135:8-34
    12Shanghai Port50142:11-91


    West
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Al Hilal ✔ 550014:5915
    2Al Wahda ✔ 541010:4613
    3Tractor53208:1711
    4Al Ahli SC531112:6610
    5Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai53119:6310
    6Al-Duhail521212:1027
    7Al Sharjah52126:12-67
    8Al Ittihad520310:826
    9Al-Gharafa51046:12-63
    10Al-Sadd50235:10-52
    11Al Shorta50142:12-101
    12Nasaf Qarshi50056:14-80

          Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Al Hilal is Qualified for AFC Champions League (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Al Wahda is Qualified for AFC Champions League (Play Offs 1/8~finals)