Result
05/05/2026 at 10:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
Chances of winning
Newroz
21.5% | Draw
25.6% | Al-Shorta Baghdad
53% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Newroz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)Al-Shorta Baghdad has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Newroz than the current prediction. (-0.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al-Shorta Baghdad than the current prediction. (+0.6%)
Newroz - Al-Shorta Baghdad Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
4.23 ↑
(4.2) |
3.55 ↓
(3.56) |
1.71 ↓
(1.71) |
10.2%
(10.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
Preview Facts
- Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 9 and 2).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Newroz won 0.
- Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
- In this match, Al-Shorta is a strong favorite.
- In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Newroz won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 12:14. (average 1.7:2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Newroz won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2. (average 0.5:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Newroz won against Al-Shorta Baghdad?
Newroz has won 0 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Al-Shorta Baghdad won against Newroz?
Al-Shorta Baghdad has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Newroz - Al-Shorta Baghdad were as follows:
25.09.2025
Al-Shorta Baghdad
-
Newroz
3:2
03.05.2025
Newroz
-
Al-Shorta Baghdad
0:1
24.01.2025
Al-Shorta Baghdad
-
Newroz
2:2
04.05.2024
Al-Shorta Baghdad
-
Newroz
4:4
29.02.2024
Newroz
-
Al-Shorta Baghdad
1:1
Latest results of Al-Shorta Baghdad
Iraqi Premier League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Al Quwa Al Jawiya | 32 | 22 | 8 | 2 | 51:20 | 31 | 74 |
| 2 | Al Shorta | 32 | 20 | 7 | 5 | 61:30 | 31 | 67 |
| 3 | Erbil | 32 | 19 | 9 | 4 | 46:26 | 20 | 66 |
| 4 | Al Talaba | 32 | 18 | 7 | 7 | 47:30 | 17 | 61 |
| 5 | Al Zawraa | 32 | 15 | 14 | 3 | 45:27 | 18 | 59 |
| 6 | Al-Karma | 32 | 14 | 11 | 7 | 44:24 | 20 | 53 |
| 7 | Zakho | 31 | 14 | 9 | 8 | 40:30 | 10 | 51 |
| 8 | Al Karkh | 32 | 13 | 10 | 9 | 38:32 | 6 | 49 |
| 9 | Newroz | 32 | 14 | 5 | 13 | 42:38 | 4 | 47 |
| 10 | Diyala | 32 | 11 | 9 | 12 | 36:34 | 2 | 42 |
| 11 | Duhok | 32 | 11 | 9 | 12 | 35:36 | -1 | 42 |
| 12 | Al Mosul | 32 | 10 | 11 | 11 | 36:40 | -4 | 41 |
| 13 | Al Naft | 32 | 9 | 12 | 11 | 28:28 | 0 | 39 |
| 14 | Al Gharraf | 32 | 10 | 8 | 14 | 33:35 | -2 | 38 |
| 15 | Baghdad | 32 | 9 | 6 | 17 | 39:57 | -18 | 33 |
| 16 | Al Minaa | 31 | 8 | 8 | 15 | 30:38 | -8 | 32 |
| 17 | Naft Missan | 31 | 7 | 9 | 15 | 34:49 | -15 | 30 |
| 18 | Al Kahraba | 31 | 8 | 3 | 20 | 35:47 | -12 | 27 |
| 19 | Al Najaf | 30 | 4 | 3 | 23 | 22:54 | -32 | 15 |
| 20 | Al-Qassim | 32 | 0 | 4 | 28 | 13:80 | -67 | 4 |
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
Stars League (Relegation)
Relegation
