Result
1:3
04/10/2025 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga Portugal - Round 8
- Referee: Silva D. (Por)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Africa | ZAP |
 Angola | Z Sports 1 |
 Finland | Veikkaus TV |
 Portugal | Sport TV1 |
 Ukraine | MEGOGO Futbol 4, MEGOGO Sport, MEGOGO Ukraine |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.42 | 1.26 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 49% | 51% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 5 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 0 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (346/422) | 82% (368/447) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.42 | 1.26 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.99 | 2.34 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 5 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 9 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 0 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 14 | 18 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 16 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (346/422) | 82% (368/447) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 54% (33/61) | 46% (25/54) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 70% (77/110) | 63% (58/92) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 17% (4/24) | 19% (3/16) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.40 | 0.66 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 26 | 14 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 16 | 6 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 62% (13/21) | 78% (14/18) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 44 | 54 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 23 | 26 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 5 | 11 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.34 | 0.99 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.66 | -0.01 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 10', 1 - 0, Pedro Lima ⚽, Rivas D. (A),
- 24', Pedro Lima 🟨,
- 40', Akinsola T. 🟨,
- 45+4', 1 - 1, Amorim ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 2)
- 52', 1 - 2, Figueiredo ⚽, Lincoln (A),
- 57', Pedro Lima ↓, Kiki ↑,
- 57', Rivas D. ↓, Lourenco B. ↑,
- 60', Bane S. 🟨,
- 61', Marezi ↓, Sandro Lima ↑,
- 66', Meupiyou B. 🟨,
- 71', Assuncao G. ↓, Kodisang K. ↑,
- 72', Barbosa R. ↓, Mendonca G. ↑,
- 74', Gui D. ↓, Mendes T. ↑,
- 75', Figueiredo ↓, Nuozzi C. ↑,
- 84', Tomane ↓, Nene ↑,
- 88', Lincoln ↓, Esteves G. ↑,
- 88', Amorim ↓, Cabezas G. ↑,
- 90+5', 1 - 3, Esteves G. ⚽, Sandro Lima (A),
- 90+6', Esteves G. 🟨,
Chances of winning
AVS
34.4% | Draw
30.1% | Alverca
35.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
AVS has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)Alverca has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for AVS than the current prediction. (-2.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alverca than the current prediction. (+2.1%)
AVS - Alverca Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.76 ↓
(3.04) |
3.26 ↑
(3.18) |
2.86 ↑
(2.46) |
1.9%
(5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for AVS - Alverca?
Users Predictions:
6 users predict this event. AVS will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Alverca will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Liga Portugal 2 and 13).
- AVS has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- In recent matches, Alverca has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
- There will not play in AVS: Kodisang K.
(Inactive)
Molina G.
(Inactive)
Paulo Vitor
(Red Card)
Perea O.
(International duty)
- There will not play in Alverca: Abdulai S.
(Red Card)
Leo Chu
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Alverca: Chiquinho
(Injury)
- Recently, the teams have not faced each other.
How many head-to-head matches has AVS won against Alverca?
AVS has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Alverca won against AVS?
Alverca has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between AVS - Alverca were as follows:
Latest results of Alverca
Liga Portugal Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | FC Porto | 8 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 19:1 | 18 | 22 |
| 2 | Sporting CP | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 20:5 | 15 | 19 |
| 3 | Benfica | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 13:4 | 9 | 18 |
| 4 | Gil Vicente | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 10:4 | 6 | 16 |
| 5 | Moreirense | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 12:11 | 1 | 15 |
| 6 | Famalicao | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 8:4 | 4 | 13 |
| 7 | Vitoria Guimaraes | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 9:12 | -3 | 11 |
| 8 | Braga | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 12:8 | 4 | 10 |
| 9 | Alverca | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 11:12 | -1 | 10 |
| 10 | Nacional | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 9:12 | -3 | 10 |
| 11 | Arouca | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 10:19 | -9 | 9 |
| 12 | Rio Ave | 8 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 11:13 | -2 | 8 |
| 13 | Santa Clara | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 6:10 | -4 | 8 |
| 14 | Casa Pia | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 8:13 | -5 | 8 |
| 15 | Estrela | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 6:8 | -2 | 7 |
| 16 | Estoril | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 10:13 | -3 | 6 |
| 17 | Tondela | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 4:14 | -10 | 5 |
| 18 | AFS | 8 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 5:20 | -15 | 1 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Liga Portugal (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Liga Portugal 2
