Johor Darul Takzim vs Machida Zelvia – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football AFC Champions League
Football AFC Champions League Johor Darul Takzim - Machida Zelvia
Result
0:0
30/09/2025 at 08:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • AFC Champions League - League phase - Round 2
  • Where to Watch on TV:
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 6, TOD
australiaAustraliaAmazon Prime Video, Paramount+
bulgariaBulgariaNova Sport
chinaChinaiQIYI, Migu, ZhiBo8
croatiaCroatiaSportKlub
hong-kongHong-kongHOY TV, M Plus Live
indiaIndiaFanCode, FanCode, Vision+
israelIsraelSport 2
japanJapanDAZN Japan
macaoMacaoMacau Cable TV 35 Sports
malaysiaMalaysiaAstro Arena Bola, Astro Go, Sooka
russiaRussiaTV Start
south-koreaSouth-koreaCoupang Play
ukraineUkraineSport 2
worldWorldSport 2 Baltic

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.641.72
Ball Possession
54%46%
Total shots
1213
Shots on target
46
Big Chances
02
Corner Kicks
69
Passes
77% (299/387)73% (241/329)
Yellow Cards
10
Expected Goals (xG)
0.641.72
xG on target (xGOT)
0.200.71
Total shots
1213
Shots on target
46
Shots off target
55
Blocked Shots
32
Shots inside the Box
77
Shots outside the Box
56
Hit the Woodwork
01
Big Chances
02
Corner Kicks
69
Touches in opposition box
918
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
02
Free Kicks
1311
Passes
77% (299/387)73% (241/329)
Long passes
33% (26/78)34% (27/79)
Passes in final third
59% (55/94)62% (88/143)
Crosses
29% (6/21)23% (6/26)
Expected assists (xA)
0.370.38
Throw-ins
1919
Fouls
1113
Tackles
67% (8/12)69% (9/13)
Duels won
3943
Clearances
3427
Interceptions
1011
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
64
xGOT faced
0.710.20
Goals prevented
0.710.20

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 23', Soma Y. (Pen),
  • 30', Fazail A. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Fujio S. ↓, Duke M. ↑,
  • 46', Masuyama A. ↓, Hayashi K. ↑,
  • 65', Bergson ↓, Jairo ↑,
  • 70', Na Sang-Ho ↓, Nishimura T. ↑,
  • 70', Sento K. ↓, Shimoda H. ↑,
  • 73', Mendez N. ↓, Insa N. ↑,
  • 73', Silva J. ↓, Teto A. ↑,
  • 84', Mochizuki H. ↓, Oh Se-Hun ↑,

Highlights

https://tinyurl.com/2kxrzjwa

Chances of winning


Johor Darul Takzim
34.5%		Draw
28.4%		Machida Zelvia
37.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
32.5% 26.4% 41.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.7% 26.2% 40.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Johor Darul Takzim has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)
  • Machida Zelvia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Johor Darul Takzim than the current prediction. (-1.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Machida Zelvia than the current prediction. (+3.7%)
    •

    Johor Darul Takzim - Machida Zelvia Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 2.73 ↓
    (2.84)    		 3.32 ↓
    (3.5)    		 2.55 ↑
    (2.25)    		 6%
    (8.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    •
    What is the prediction for Johor Darul Takzim - Machida Zelvia?
  • Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Johor will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). Machida Zelvia will win (votes: 2 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 37.5%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Johor: 4% – 71%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Johor (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Machida Zelvia (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH 0 - Johor (votes: 4 - 80%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • Johor is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Machida Zelvia has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Johor may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
    • The teams have not played against each other recently.
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    Latest results of Machida Zelvia
    27.09.2025 Machida Zelvia - Fagiano Okayama 1:0 ✺
    23.09.2025 Kyoto Sanga - Machida Zelvia 1:1 ✺
    16.09.2025 Machida Zelvia - FC Seoul 1:1 ✺
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    AFC Champions League Table
    League phase

    East
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Vissel Kobe22004:046
    2Seoul21104:134
    3Sanfrecce Hiroshima21103:124
    4Ulsan HD21103:214
    5Gangwon21012:203
    6Chengdu Rongcheng21012:203
    7Buriram21012:4-23
    8Machida20201:102
    9Shanghai Shenhua20112:3-11
    10Johor DT20111:2-11
    11Shanghai Port20111:4-31
    12Melbourne City20020:3-30


    West
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Al Hilal22005:326
    2Al Ahli SC21106:424
    3Al Sharjah21105:414
    4Al Wahda21102:114
    5Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai21102:114
    6Al-Gharafa21015:413
    7Al-Sadd20202:202
    8Tractor20201:102
    9Al-Duhail20113:4-11
    10Al Shorta20111:3-21
    11Al Ittihad20021:3-20
    12Nasaf Qarshi20024:7-30

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