Casarano vs Casertana – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
3:2
14/02/2026 at 08:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Serie C - Group C - Round 27
  • Where to Watch on TV:
italyItalyNOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 254

Match Stats

Ball possession
51%49%
Total shots
95
Shots on target
64
Corner kicks
82
Yellow cards
51
Red cards
01
Total shots
95
Shots on target
64
Shots off target
31
Corner kicks
82

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 2', 0 - 1, Casarotto M. ,
  • 7', 1 - 1, Grandolfo F. ,
  • 12', Bachini M. 🟨,
  • 15', Viscardi A. 🟥,
  • 21', Santarcangelo A. 🟨,
  • 27', Bentivegna A. , Girelli S. ,
  • 45+1', Mercadante M. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 1)
  • 46', Bachini M. , Gyamfi B. ,
  • 56', Mercadante M. , Cajazzo I. ,
  • 62', Versienti L. 🟨,
  • 68', 2 - 1, Celiento D. ,
  • 72', 2 - 2, Llano Massa M. T. ,
  • 76', Pezzella S. , Leone K. ,
  • 79', Versienti L. , Cerbone S. ,
  • 79', Chirico C. , Leonetti V. ,
  • 87', Cerbone S. 🟨,
  • 90', Casarotto M. 🟨,
  • 90', 3 - 2, Logoluso G. ,
  • 90+1', Llano Massa M. T. , Galletta U. ,

Chances of winning


Casarano
38.5%
Draw
30.8%
Casertana
30.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
31.3% 29.1% 39.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.7% 27.6% 41.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Casarano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Casarano's performance.
  • Casertana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Casertana might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Casarano than the current prediction. (-8.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Casarano that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Casertana than the current prediction. (+10.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Casertana could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Casarano - Casertana Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.39
    (2.94)
    2.98
    (3.16)
    2.98
    (2.32)
    9%
    (8.8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    Preview Facts
    • Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 10 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/32~finals) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/32~finals)).
    • In recent matches, Casarano has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Casertana is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
    • In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Casarano won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:3. (average 2:1).
    • Including home match between the teams, Casarano won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:2.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Casarano - Casertana were as follows:
    05.10.2025 Casertana - Casarano 0:3
    Latest results of Casarano
    10.02.2026 Salernitana - Casarano 3:0
    07.02.2026 Casarano - Sorrento 2:0
    31.01.2026 Cavese - Casarano 1:1
    24.01.2026 Casarano - Picerno 2:2
    17.01.2026 Benevento - Casarano 3:0
    Latest results of Casertana
    10.02.2026 Casertana - Crotone 2:2
    07.02.2026 Casertana - Foggia 3:2
    01.02.2026 Nuova Cosenza - Casertana 3:1
    25.01.2026 Casertana - Trapani 0:1
    18.01.2026 Potenza - Casertana 2:0
    Italian Serie C Group C Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Benevento ✔ 35255571:244780
    2Catania351911552:213168
    3Cosenza35189855:361963
    4Casertana35188950:401062
    5Salernitana35179943:39460
    6Crotone351671253:341955
    7Monopoli3514101136:37-152
    8Audace Cerignola3514101146:47-152
    9Casarano351481349:54-550
    10Potenza3511111348:53-544
    11Altamura3511101430:43-1343
    12Atalanta U233510101549:48140
    13Cavese358131433:40-737
    14Sorrento359101638:51-1337
    15Picerno358121539:52-1336
    16Latina358121527:40-1336
    17Giugliano35971932:49-1734
    18Foggia35682126:55-2926
    19Trapani351391344:49-523
    20Siracusa35971944:53-923

          Promotion ~ Serie B
          Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (Quarter~finals)
          Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/8~finals)
          Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/16~finals)
          Serie C ~ Play Out
          Relegation

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Benevento is Confirmed as championsnQualified for Serie B