UD Ourense vs Real Ávila – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1 UD Ourense - Real Ávila
Result
1:1
05/10/2025 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Segunda RFEF - Group 1 - Round 5

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 76', 1 - 0, Barbosa J. ,
  • 90+1', 1 - 1, Lorenzo D. ,

Chances of winning


UD Ourense
37.1%
Draw
30.7%
Real Ávila
32.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
26.4% 28.2% 45.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.1% 26.8% 47.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • UD Ourense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in UD Ourense's performance.
  • Real Ávila has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Real Ávila might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for UD Ourense than the current prediction. (-12%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with UD Ourense that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Ávila than the current prediction. (+15.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Real Ávila could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • UD Ourense - Real Ávila Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.59
    (3.52)
    2.99
    (3.3)
    2.96
    (2.05)
    5.9%
    (7.5%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    Preview Facts
    • UD Ourense is going through a poor run of results (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • Real Ávila is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • Real Ávila may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
    • In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.
    Latest results of UD Ourense
    28.09.2025 Salamanca - UD Ourense 1:0
    21.08.2025 UD Ourense - Lugo 0:1
    17.08.2025 Arenteiro - UD Ourense 3:0
    Latest results of Real Ávila
    Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Dep. Fabril660016:31318
    2R. Oviedo B541014:7713
    3Salamanca641110:5513
    4Real Avila54109:4513
    5Gimnastica Segoviana63218:3511
    6Marino de Luanco63216:2411
    7Sarriana630311:929
    8Bergantinos52218:628
    9Valladolid Promesas62139:907
    10Numancia52127:9-27
    11Rayo Cantabria61327:8-16
    12Burgos CF B61325:10-56
    13Coruxo FC51225:7-25
    14UD Ourense60333:6-33
    15Langreo60335:10-53
    16Atl. Astorga61054:13-93
    17Lealtad60244:12-82
    18UD Samano50143:11-81

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