Result
2:1
15/02/2026 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Segunda RFEF - Group 1 - Round 23
- Where to Watch on TV:
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 Spain | Footballclub |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 13', 1 - 0, Lucas Rey N. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 78', 1 - 1, de Prado S. ⚽,
- 86', 2 - 1, Juancho ⚽,
Chances of winning
Numancia
50.6% | Draw
28.2% | UD Ourense
21.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Numancia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Numancia's performance.UD Ourense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.9%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and UD Ourense might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Numancia than the current prediction. (-6.7%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Numancia that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for UD Ourense than the current prediction. (+5.4%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that UD Ourense could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Numancia - UD Ourense Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.81 ↓
(2.17) |
3.26 ↑
(2.99) |
4.33 ↑
(3.22) |
9%
(10.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Numancia - UD Ourense?
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Numancia will win (votes: 3 - 75%). UD Ourense will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Numancia (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 8 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs).
- Numancia has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- UD Ourense is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- In this match, Numancia is a strong favorite.
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, Numancia won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:0.
How many head-to-head matches has Numancia won against UD Ourense?
Numancia has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has UD Ourense won against Numancia?
UD Ourense has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Numancia - UD Ourense were as follows:
07.12.2025
UD Ourense
-
Numancia
0:3
Latest results of Numancia
Latest results of UD Ourense
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Dep. Fabril ✔ | 33 | 20 | 9 | 4 | 57:20 | 37 | 69 |
| 2 | Oviedo B ✔ | 33 | 15 | 10 | 8 | 47:33 | 14 | 55 |
| 3 | UD Ourense ✔ | 33 | 15 | 9 | 9 | 39:33 | 6 | 54 |
| 4 | Gimnastica Segoviana | 33 | 14 | 9 | 10 | 36:33 | 3 | 51 |
| 5 | Numancia | 33 | 13 | 11 | 9 | 43:33 | 10 | 50 |
| 6 | Real Avila | 33 | 14 | 8 | 11 | 48:48 | 0 | 50 |
| 7 | Coruxo FC | 33 | 14 | 7 | 12 | 43:36 | 7 | 49 |
| 8 | Salamanca | 33 | 13 | 8 | 12 | 41:35 | 6 | 47 |
| 9 | Rayo Cantabria | 33 | 10 | 15 | 8 | 59:47 | 12 | 45 |
| 10 | Marino de Luanco | 33 | 11 | 12 | 10 | 31:25 | 6 | 45 |
| 11 | Bergantinos | 33 | 12 | 9 | 12 | 39:37 | 2 | 45 |
| 12 | Atl. Astorga | 33 | 12 | 8 | 13 | 40:42 | -2 | 44 |
| 13 | Langreo | 33 | 11 | 10 | 12 | 33:38 | -5 | 43 |
| 14 | Valladolid Promesas | 33 | 11 | 9 | 13 | 57:58 | -1 | 42 |
| 15 | Sarriana | 33 | 11 | 7 | 15 | 39:38 | 1 | 40 |
| 16 | Burgos CF B ✔ | 33 | 8 | 12 | 13 | 38:53 | -15 | 36 |
| 17 | Lealtad ✔ | 33 | 7 | 7 | 19 | 30:52 | -22 | 28 |
| 18 | UD Samano ✔ | 33 | 3 | 6 | 24 | 23:82 | -59 | 15 |
Promotion
Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs
Segunda RFEF ~ Play Out (Play Out: )
Relegation
Clinched Spots for Teams
Dep. Fabril is Confirmed as championsnQualified for
Oviedo B is Qualified for Segunda RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs
UD Ourense is Qualified for Segunda RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs
Burgos CF B is Relegated to
Lealtad is Relegated to
UD Samano is Relegated to
