Mérida AD vs Arenas Club de Getxo – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
3:0
05/10/2025 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Primera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 6
  • Where to Watch on TV:
spainSpainFootballclub, LaLiga+, Movistar Plus+

Match Stats

Ball Possession
45%55%
Total shots
134
Shots on target
73
Corner Kicks
44
Yellow Cards
26
Red Cards
01
Total shots
134
Shots on target
73
Shots off target
61
Corner Kicks
44

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (3 - 0)
  • 2', Diocou B. 🟨,
  • 16', 1 - 0, Garcia A. , Pipe (A),
  • 22', 2 - 0, Lancho J. , Doncel C. (A),
  • 40', Herranz Jimenez G. 🟨,
  • 45+7', 🟨,
  • 45+9', 3 - 0, Doncel C. ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Herranz Jimenez G. , Sustatxa A. ,
  • 46', Honrado A. , Rodriguez J. L. ,
  • 46', Zabaleta E. , Boriko S. ,
  • 46', Doncel C. , Artola J. ,
  • 46', Beneit R. , Capitas M. ,
  • 54', 🟨,
  • 55', 🟨,
  • 55', Diocou B. 🟨,
  • 59', 🟨,
  • 62', Vazquez A. , Messina F. ,
  • 67', Chiqui , Miki ,
  • 67', Garcia A. , Pereira R. ,
  • 73', Alvarez P. , Lartitegi J. ,
  • 78', Areso J. , Jacobo R. ,
  • 90+1', 🟨,

Chances of winning


Mérida AD
51.8%
Draw
27.5%
Arenas Club de Getxo
20.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
42.7% 28.1% 29.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.1% 27.7% 29.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Mérida AD has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Mérida AD's performance.
  • Arenas Club de Getxo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Arenas Club de Getxo might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mérida AD than the current prediction. (-9.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Mérida AD that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arenas Club de Getxo than the current prediction. (+9%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Arenas Club de Getxo could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Mérida AD - Arenas Club de Getxo Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.82
    (2.14)
    3.38
    (3.24)
    4.47
    (3.12)
    7%
    (9.7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    Preview Facts
    • The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation and 11).
    • Recent form of Mérida AD has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Arenas has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Arenas may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Mérida AD will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • Recently, there has been no match between the teams.
    Latest results of Mérida AD
    28.09.2025 Zamora - Mérida AD 3:0
    20.09.2025 Cacereño - Mérida AD 2:1
    06.09.2025 Tenerife - Mérida AD 3:0
    30.08.2025 Mérida AD - Barakaldo 1:0
    Latest results of Arenas Club de Getxo
    Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Tenerife32199452:193366
    2Celta Vigo B32169752:421057
    3Real Madrid B321471151:411049
    4Zamora321310943:37649
    5Pontevedra321213738:241449
    6Barakaldo321212841:33848
    7Ponferradina321381136:28847
    8Unionistas321381145:42347
    9Lugo321112932:34-245
    10AD Merida321291142:45-345
    11Arenas Getxo321351438:47-944
    12Ath Bilbao B321281233:36-344
    13Racing Club Ferrol321261435:41-642
    14Real Aviles321171446:53-740
    15Ourense CF329101336:37-137
    16CF Talavera32981532:41-935
    17Guadalajara32981535:47-1235
    18Cacereno327131230:41-1134
    19Osasuna B32791623:38-1530
    20Arenteiro32691729:43-1427

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