Mérida AD vs Cacereño – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:0
22/02/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Primera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 25
  • Where to Watch on TV:
spainSpainFootballclub, LaLiga+

Match Stats

Ball possession
51%49%
Total shots
97
Shots on target
15
Corner kicks
37
Yellow cards
53
Total shots
97
Shots on target
15
Shots off target
82
Corner kicks
37

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 16', Csenterics A. 🟨,
  • 18', Lancho J. 🟨,
  • 26', Gomes R. 🟨,
  • 36', 1 - 0, Hallsson S. ,
  • 39', de Diego J. 🟨,
  • 45+3', Alonso J. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Dominguez J. , Pareja L. ,
  • 62', Palacin P. , Vazquez K. ,
  • 62', Gomes R. , El Ftouhi S. ,
  • 77', Hallsson S. , Capitas M. ,
  • 77', Monerris A. , Gomez C. ,
  • 77', Valdera R. , Gutierrez D. ,
  • 77', Conesa N. , Kaptoum W. ,
  • 85', Verges E. 🟨,
  • 87', Alonso J. , Crespo A. ,
  • 89', Dibrani B. , Pipe ,
  • 89', Beneit R. , Herranz Corral V. ,
  • 90+3', Vazquez K. 🟨,
  • 90+6', 🟨,

Chances of winning


Mérida AD
45.4%
Draw
29.6%
Cacereño
24.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
50.4% 27.7% 21.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.1% 29.2% 20.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Mérida AD has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)
  • Cacereño has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mérida AD than the current prediction. (+7.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Mérida AD, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cacereño than the current prediction. (-4.2%)
  • Mérida AD - Cacereño Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.03
    (1.84)
    3.1
    (3.35)
    3.61
    (4.25)
    9.3%
    (7.7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 11 and 16 in the zone Relegation).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Mérida AD won 2.
    • Mérida AD has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Cacereño is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Mérida AD might have a minor edge in this game.
    • In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Mérida AD won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 7:5. (average 1.2:0.8).
    • Including home match between the teams, Mérida AD won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Mérida AD - Cacereño were as follows:
    20.09.2025 Cacereño - Mérida AD 2:1
    12.08.2023 Cacereño - Mérida AD 0:0
    Latest results of Mérida AD
    14.02.2026 Ourense CF - Mérida AD 3:1
    08.02.2026 Mérida AD - Zamora 2:0
    31.01.2026 Real Avilés - Mérida AD 1:2
    23.01.2026 Mérida AD - Pontevedra 1:1
    Latest results of Cacereño
    14.02.2026 Cacereño - Pontevedra 1:0
    08.02.2026 Osasuna B - Cacereño 2:2
    01.02.2026 Cacereño - Barakaldo 0:0
    25.01.2026 Ourense CF - Cacereño 0:1
    Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Tenerife352110457:203773
    2Celta Vigo B351710856:441261
    3Zamora351610949:381158
    4Real Madrid B351681155:431256
    5Pontevedra351315743:261754
    6Ponferradina351491238:32651
    7Barakaldo3513121044:36851
    8Unionistas3513101247:45249
    9AD Merida341391244:47-348
    10Racing Club Ferrol351381438:43-547
    11Arenas Getxo351451641:51-1047
    12Lugo3411131032:37-546
    13Ath Bilbao B341291334:38-445
    14Real Aviles3511101451:58-743
    15CF Talavera351091635:44-939
    16Ourense CF349111438:40-238
    17Guadalajara359101639:54-1537
    18Osasuna B35991725:39-1436
    19Cacereno347141331:45-1435
    20Arenteiro34691929:46-1727

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