CD Guadalajara vs Real Avilés – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1 CD Guadalajara - Real Avilés
Result
3:4
05/10/2025 at 12:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Primera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 6
  • Where to Watch on TV:
spainSpainFootballclub, LaLiga+, Movistar Plus+

Match Stats

Ball Possession
47%53%
Total shots
1711
Shots on target
99
Corner Kicks
126
Yellow Cards
45
Total shots
1711
Shots on target
99
Shots off target
82
Corner Kicks
126

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 2)
  • 7', 🟨,
  • 9', 0 - 1, Santamaria A. ,
  • 33', Gete A. 🟨,
  • 43', 0 - 2, Santamaria A. (Pen),
  • 2nd Half (3 - 2)
  • 46', Samuel , Calvo T. ,
  • 46', Isi Ros , Ortega G. ,
  • 53', Fernandez A. 🟨,
  • 54', 1 - 2, Neskes (Pen),
  • 61', Ramirez M. , Munoz P. ,
  • 61', Neskes , Alvarez U. ,
  • 62', Campabadal E. 🟨,
  • 64', 2 - 2, Munoz P. ,
  • 68', Santamaria A. , Granero B. ,
  • 73', Amigo D. , Canizo A. ,
  • 76', Granero B. 🟨,
  • 80', Calvo T. , Diaz B. ,
  • 81', Rubio R. , Cueto J. ,
  • 81', Gete A. , Bari Q. ,
  • 86', 2 - 3, Bari Q. ,
  • 88', Hernandez R. , Viti ,
  • 89', Tavares R. 🟨,
  • 90', 🟨,
  • 90+1', 🟨,
  • 90+11', 3 - 3, Diaz B. ,
  • 90+16', 🟨,
  • 90+17', 3 - 4, Cueto J. ,

Chances of winning


CD Guadalajara
46.7%
Draw
29.1%
Real Avilés
24.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
39% 31.9% 29.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.9% 32% 29.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • CD Guadalajara has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in CD Guadalajara's performance.
  • Real Avilés has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for CD Guadalajara than the current prediction. (-7.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with CD Guadalajara that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Avilés than the current prediction. (+5%)
  • CD Guadalajara - Real Avilés Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.1
    (2.34)
    3.27
    (2.87)
    3.75
    (3.13)
    4.7%
    (9.5%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for CD Guadalajara - Real Avilés?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Guadalajara (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera RFEF ~ Group 1 and 10).
    • Guadalajara is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • In recent matches, Real Avilés has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Guadalajara may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Guadalajara is seen as the favorite.
    • In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.
    Latest results of CD Guadalajara
    Latest results of Real Avilés
    Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Tenerife660016:21418
    2Celta Vigo B641110:4613
    3Racing Club Ferrol63217:5211
    4Guadalajara63129:7210
    5Barakaldo72418:7110
    6Real Aviles631211:11010
    7Pontevedra63126:6010
    8Zamora62316:429
    9Ath Bilbao B72326:609
    10Osasuna B62313:309
    11Arenteiro62226:518
    12CF Talavera62227:708
    13Lugo62134:5-17
    14Arenas Getxo62137:11-47
    15Cacereno61326:8-26
    16Real Madrid B62046:9-36
    17Merida AD62047:12-56
    18Ponferradina61147:9-24
    19Ourense CF60334:9-53
    20Unionistas61054:10-63

          Promotion ~ LaLiga2
          Promotion ~ Primera RFEF ~ Group 1
          Relegation